TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Rams vs. 49ers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ramsof Rams, 49ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,402,786
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,383,434

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,402,786 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 429 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5e02…817ebacked 49ers5c265,045$13,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,128.042227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed88…f3c4backed 49ers29c105,000$30,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,449.998344.6%37 W · 46 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed 49ers29c104,490$30,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,302.210333%34 W · 69 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Rams70c86,080$60,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,598.1833553.4%179 W · 156 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked 49ers30c71,167$21,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,196.5753348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked 49ers10c68,156$6,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,794.3120026%52 W · 148 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b8c…1556backed 49ers18c59,000$10,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,614.742433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-39.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Rams70c56,642$39,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,964.2624957%142 W · 107 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa987…141dbacked Rams70c45,829$32,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,748.7510061%61 W · 39 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Rams71c36,098$25,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,468.526459.4%38 W · 26 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+38.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed 49ers30c33,333$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00018650%93 W · 93 L+9.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Rams71c29,041$20,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,421.8944652.9%236 W · 210 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b8c…abbabacked Rams71c28,000$19,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,1207153.5%38 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed 49ers10c26,716$2,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,557.3820755.1%114 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed 49ers23c25,000$5,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,819.7513142%55 W · 76 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d4…13a2backed 49ers29c25,000$7,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,2503135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked 49ers30c23,024$6,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,852.021,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed 49ers29c21,307$6,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,178.9613843.5%60 W · 78 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked Rams71c20,836$14,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,042.5411168.5%76 W · 35 L+18.5wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+34.3%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed 49ers32c20,000$6,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,399.998946.1%41 W · 48 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed 49ers30c20,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,999.995236.5%19 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked 49ers27c17,929$4,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,876.5947738.6%184 W · 293 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Rams71c17,200$12,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,987.9731350.2%157 W · 156 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Rams69c16,680$11,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,170.8131240.7%127 W · 185 L-22.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Rams68c15,950$10,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,10413450%67 W · 67 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Rams71c12,211$8,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,590.691,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed 49ers30c12,036$3,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,640.837248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68df…4815backed Rams70c12,000$8,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,599.9918156.9%103 W · 78 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6392…0dc7backed 49ers33c11,517$3,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,800.68944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea80…7296backed 49ers15c9,710$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,449.8425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfda…4fe6backed 49ers29c7,931$2,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,307.32839.3%11 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rams71c7,514$5,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,200.0227348.7%133 W · 140 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Rams70c7,500$5,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,249.9814450%72 W · 72 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a2…372abacked Rams70c7,180$5,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,153.993961.5%24 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed 49ers22c6,818$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50011252.7%59 W · 53 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed 49ers6c6,745$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.712138.8%47 W · 74 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Rams70c6,319$4,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,895.717454.6%95 W · 79 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c1b…5084backed 49ers18c6,100$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ff2…49febacked 49ers17c6,067$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.595143.1%22 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdf7…9189backed 49ers25c5,956$1,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,463.98250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+212.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc03…1548backed 49ers34c5,940$2,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,044.546624.2%16 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+81.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed 49ers35c5,723$1,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,976.4822950.2%115 W · 114 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Rams70c5,714$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,714.2912744.9%57 W · 70 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed 49ers18c5,404$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.482821.4%6 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb60…137abacked 49ers30c5,017$1,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,520.782821.4%6 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-53.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b28…66f0backed Rams71c4,915$3,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,425.493650%18 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x205b…dd3cbacked Rams64c4,661$2,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,677.9714148.2%68 W · 73 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed 49ers1c4,639$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.59980%0 W · 98 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed 49ers2c4,423$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.045719.3%11 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-56.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed 49ers29c4,230$1,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,226.712944.2%57 W · 72 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa849…c825backed 49ers30c4,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2008351.8%43 W · 40 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked 49ers15c3,983$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.0419235.4%68 W · 124 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-35%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88f4…874abacked 49ers30c3,844$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,153.261747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14cf…0856backed 49ers29c3,736$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1008451.2%43 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76fc…e0bdbacked 49ers28c3,500$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9655050%25 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+22.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39b2…c7bfbacked 49ers30c3,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Rams71c3,300$2,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95722349.8%111 W · 112 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b86…0669backed Rams71c3,000$2,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87010434.6%36 W · 68 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Rams63c3,000$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,11034349.3%169 W · 174 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Rams66c2,994$1,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.331854.7%174 W · 144 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4fb7…082dbacked 49ers12c2,827$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.266338.1%24 W · 39 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed 49ers30c2,780$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.182540%10 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed 49ers31c2,773$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.5665048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked 49ers23c2,658$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.7514147.5%67 W · 74 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa04…72f4backed 49ers30c2,554$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.151020%2 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-59.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed 49ers31c2,527$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.469855.1%54 W · 44 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Rams67c2,414$1,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.0431848.1%153 W · 165 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked 49ers4c2,318$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.221969.2%18 W · 178 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-67.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68db…e12bbacked Rams74c2,300$1,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60613435.8%48 W · 86 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2000…df78backed 49ers30c2,223$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.9820851%106 W · 102 L+12.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5821…92ccbacked 49ers30c2,184$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.24341.9%18 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x383d…a9f2backed Rams65c2,157$1,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.036349.2%31 W · 32 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e2d…05e4backed 49ers19c2,105$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400825%2 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-20.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed 49ers10c2,050$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.6614215.5%22 W · 120 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid+14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed 49ers31c2,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62030446.7%142 W · 162 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed 49ers30c2,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60020646.1%95 W · 111 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23e5…d41fbacked 49ers30c2,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600825%2 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+77.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c10…a305backed 49ers9c1,978$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.722944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Rams66c1,918$1,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.8724054.6%131 W · 109 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c0…69d0backed 49ers19c1,800$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3505549.1%27 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x395c…1f55backed 49ers30c1,800$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecb6…3f9ebacked 49ers30c1,800$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked 49ers3c1,750$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.921486.8%10 W · 138 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick2cpaid+296.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7de0…7c66backed 49ers13c1,693$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22011027.3%30 W · 80 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed 49ers30c1,667$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.0814035%49 W · 91 L-12.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Rams79c1,649$1,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.7716254.9%89 W · 73 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b1b…3740backed 49ers22c1,593$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x024a…decbbacked Rams68c1,570$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.46549.2%32 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1161…ed62backed 49ers33c1,515$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Rams70c1,493$1,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44824456.6%138 W · 106 L+17.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed 49ers7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008035%28 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa727…8289backed Rams71c1,408$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.452965.5%19 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7671…7244backed Rams71c1,408$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.453562.9%22 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf05…70dabacked Rams71c1,408$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.4514763.9%94 W · 53 L+12.0wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Rams71c1,408$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.412550.4%63 W · 62 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd62b…86d0backed Rams72c1,407$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.646050%30 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x823d…8091backed 49ers22c1,386$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.875137.3%19 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed 49ers15c1,346$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.6712343.1%53 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rams76c1,336$1,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.8723850.8%121 W · 117 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbf5…6638backed 49ers30c1,333$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40011637.9%44 W · 72 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.