NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Bulls
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad81d8adf5226a7617bdb8d910a953760c6eb334ee1d6e97d9613c32fc3c0806
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Heat, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,164,995
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,239,303
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,164,995 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,470 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Bulls | 45c | 222,201$99,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,990.5 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Heat | 53c | 89,723$47,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,878.31 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Heat | 54c | 86,101$46,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,272.45 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Heat | 55c | 54,608$30,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,573.71 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Bulls | 45c | 46,348$20,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,856.46 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Heat | 55c | 40,000$22,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,000 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dba…3e7bbacked Heat | 54c | 35,294$19,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,235.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Heat | 55c | 34,200$18,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,390.01 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Heat | 72c | 33,479$24,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,284.93 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Bulls | 22c | 31,375$6,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,915.75 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Heat | 55c | 30,227$16,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,569.15 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcad4…c108backed Heat | 53c | 29,209$15,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,583.87 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Heat | 55c | 26,763$14,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,043.15 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Heat | 55c | 26,038$14,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,716.95 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Heat | 55c | 25,895$14,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,763.91 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Bulls | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Heat | 55c | 22,500$12,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,145.45 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Bulls | 46c | 20,590$9,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,484.76 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Bulls | 26c | 19,999$5,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,116.36 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Bulls | 45c | 18,555$8,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,349.53 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4c…e1f2backed Bulls | 46c | 18,470$8,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,496.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Bulls | 33c | 18,149$6,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,011.39 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdc…b974backed Bulls | 46c | 17,990$8,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,275.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Heat | 55c | 17,502$9,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,875.94 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Bulls | 47c | 17,500$8,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,225 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Bulls | 47c | 17,361$8,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,227.63 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Heat | 51c | 16,326$8,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,999.51 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Bulls | 31c | 15,969$4,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,950.54 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bulls | 47c | 15,125$7,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,090.97 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Bulls | 47c | 15,023$7,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,061 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Heat | 54c | 15,000$8,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,899.99 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Bulls | 47c | 15,000$7,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,046.07 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Heat | 55c | 14,545$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,545.45 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Heat | 52c | 14,000$7,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,720 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Bulls | 47c | 13,900$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Heat | 54c | 12,401$6,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,710.87 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Bulls | 1c | 11,882$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.7 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Heat | 76c | 11,538$8,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,818.82 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Bulls | 0c | 11,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bulls | 18c | 10,316$1,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,869.46 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Bulls | 9c | 10,256$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.66 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Bulls | 46c | 10,045$4,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,637.42 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Heat | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03a9…37babacked Heat | 55c | 9,764$5,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,379.19 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Bulls | 44c | 9,728$4,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,280.46 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbab7…bc7cbacked Heat | 52c | 9,500$4,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,519.98 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c9…cd97backed Bulls | 48c | 9,500$4,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,519.97 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Bulls | 45c | 8,837$3,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,976.57 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Bulls | 26c | 8,549$2,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,196.7 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.29per pick | 35cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Bulls | 14c | 8,368$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.36 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Bulls | 46c | 8,291$3,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,813.71 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Heat | 54c | 7,893$4,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,617.19 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Bulls | 14c | 7,870$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.98 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Heat | 79c | 7,836$6,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638.39 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Heat | 79c | 7,829$6,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.82 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c28…7ba5backed Heat | 51c | 7,601$3,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,724.37 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8b…77d4backed Bulls | 48c | 7,600$3,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,647.94 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Bulls | 46c | 7,312$3,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,369.72 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19be…2541backed Heat | 54c | 7,200$3,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,312 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Bulls | 47c | 7,166$3,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,338.12 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3860…0efcbacked Bulls | 46c | 6,685$3,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,074.99 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5057…cf88backed Bulls | 46c | 6,600$3,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,035.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x009a…339ebacked Heat | 54c | 6,308$3,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,901.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Bulls | 48c | 6,178$2,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,965.43 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bulls | 25c | 6,011$1,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.63 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1520…378fbacked Bulls | 49c | 6,000$2,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,920 | 204 | 53.9%110 W · 94 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…1aa9backed Heat | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Bulls | 17c | 5,973$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.72 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Bulls | 19c | 5,838$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.19 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Bulls | 48c | 5,597$2,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,686.88 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Bulls | 45c | 5,516$2,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,482.56 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Bulls | 45c | 5,462$2,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,457.9 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Bulls | 8c | 5,383$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.25 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4885…a8f4backed Bulls | 46c | 5,100$2,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,346.16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Bulls | 0c | 5,100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Heat | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Heat | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Bulls | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.98 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2219…e243backed Heat | 80c | 4,669$3,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.76 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Heat | 50c | 4,668$2,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,334 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed Bulls | 7c | 4,665$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.67 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 20cpaid | +149.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Heat | 55c | 4,545$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,045.45 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a43…565fbacked Bulls | 45c | 4,444$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bulls | 46c | 4,251$1,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,965.96 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20cd…2530backed Heat | 52c | 4,185$2,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,008.64 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e04…0fa9backed Bulls | 45c | 4,171$1,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,876.95 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Heat | 75c | 4,106$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.54 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9315…a744backed Bulls | 46c | 4,100$1,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,885.98 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +10.7wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…6657backed Bulls | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 277 | 58.8%163 W · 114 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Heat | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.99 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Bulls | 18c | 3,914$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.23 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked Bulls | 46c | 3,800$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.99 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Heat | 54c | 3,698$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,701.08 | 292 | 43.8%128 W · 164 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…39a6backed Bulls | 45c | 3,680$1,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,656 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Bulls | 15c | 3,565$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.6 | 448 | 21.4%96 W · 352 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Heat | 55c | 3,459$1,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,556.75 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Bulls | 15c | 3,386$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Heat | 54c | 3,346$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.18 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x309b…2c72backed Bulls | 47c | 3,191$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bde…c70cbacked Bulls | 50c | 3,109$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heat vs. Bullsthis page
- Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Heat vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Heat vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Heat vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 123.5Under won
- Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 236.5Under won
- Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5Under won
- Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5Under won
- Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 239.5Under won
- Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 240.5Under won
- Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5Under won
- Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 242.5Under won
- Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 243.5Under won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jalen Smith: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Nikola Vučević: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Nikola Vučević: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Spread: Bulls (-1.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-2.5)Heat won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.