NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d2d791b17a0d7a168f986f3f9272757af5ff18c7b07226e015a76a87b3ebf22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,232
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,153
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,232 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 51c | 22,579$11,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,159.81 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 14,782$7,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,374.76 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Under | 50c | 12,969$6,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,508.64 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 50c | 12,119$6,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,050.97 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 49c | 7,451$3,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,621.43 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6757…7ecebacked Over | 52c | 7,067$3,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,647.48 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Under | 50c | 5,998$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Under | 52c | 5,769$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,769.23 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 50c | 4,869$2,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,434.56 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…5c2fbacked Under | 49c | 4,500$2,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,295 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Under | 48c | 3,854$1,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,989.77 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 49c | 3,320$1,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620.79 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Under | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.99 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a43…565fbacked Under | 49c | 2,449$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.98 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over | 48c | 2,385$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.63 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…3081backed Under | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed Under | 50c | 1,551$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.63 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 1,504$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.12 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 50c | 1,376$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.16 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Over | 53c | 1,222$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.66 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Under | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42f1…bebdbacked Over | 51c | 978.51$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.99 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Over | 49c | 836.23$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.16 | 435 | 43.4%189 W · 246 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Under | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 744$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.56 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Over | 53c | 741.77$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.14 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee4f…c0f0backed Under | 52c | 578.26$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.26 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 51c | 534.42$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.87 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 51c | 501.29$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.57 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 50c | 307.42$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.57 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 51c | 294.97$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.54 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 48c | 294.89$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.29 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 49c | 265.31$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2e…44c3backed Under | 51c | 250$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Over | 49c | 223.53$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.41 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 52c | 207$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.36 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 51c | 203.27$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Over | 52c | 196.39$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x486f…b325backed Over | 52c | 196.39$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 45c | 196.39$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.38 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc391…6cc8backed Over | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 49c | 118.81$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.59 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 109.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.89 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 49c | 109.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.32 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ccc…585fbacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ae…811bbacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 49c | 90.39$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.29 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 51c | 85.43$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Under | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 47c | 65.23$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.57 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 49c | 60.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 48c | 58.95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Over | 47c | 53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…340fbacked Under | 50c | 47.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…5ca7backed Under | 52c | 43.27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 436 | 47.9%209 W · 227 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2c…0e63backed Under | 51c | 40.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…24d2backed Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 260 | 43.8%114 W · 146 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 55c | 34.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Over | 50c | 34.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9985…9b14backed Under | 50c | 33.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11a3…8593backed Under | 52c | 33.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e7…3234backed Under | 51c | 32.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985e…6894backed Over | 49c | 32.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 44c | 29.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Under | 51c | 28.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 409 | 60.6%248 W · 161 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked Under | 53c | 27.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x640d…3168backed Under | 52c | 25.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9a…f491backed Under | 52c | 25.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Over | 49c | 25.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 204 | 56.4%115 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43af…da96backed Under | 52c | 24.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 53c | 24.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02f5…5c6cbacked Under | 50c | 20.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfedd…32c4backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 412 | 51%210 W · 202 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5this page
- Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Heat vs. BullsHeat won
- Heat vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Heat vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Heat vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 123.5Under won
- Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 236.5Under won
- Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5Under won
- Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 239.5Under won
- Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 240.5Under won
- Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5Under won
- Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 242.5Under won
- Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 243.5Under won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jalen Smith: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Nikola Vučević: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Nikola Vučević: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Spread: Bulls (-1.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-2.5)Heat won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.