NBA · resolved market

Spread: Heat (-2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xddb9a4b1f701e7b8808bbf52f85e2bc859275b9fecf088ee0e224e79a068daf9

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Heatof Heat, Bulls
Resolved: Jan 30, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $240,644
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $240,084

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $240,644 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf668…5c69backed Heat	49c	56,000$27,601 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28,399.31	363	59.8%217 W · 146 L	+23.7wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Bulls	52c	29,420$15,154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,154.36	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Bulls	52c	27,594$14,349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,349.1	518	44.4%230 W · 288 L	+11.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Bulls	51c	10,242$5,223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,223.44	382	53.4%204 W · 178 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Heat	48c	10,000$4,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,200	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4263…7c89backed Heat	49c	7,424$3,638 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,786.24	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bulls	54c	7,311$3,923 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,923.39	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Heat	49c	6,546$3,208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,338.47	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Heat	49c	6,019$2,938 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,081.02	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Heat	48c	5,617$2,696 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,920.83	593	47%279 W · 314 L	-7.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Heat	49c	5,257$2,576 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,681.14	492	46.3%228 W · 264 L	-15.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Heat	48c	5,000$2,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,600	1,332	51.2%682 W · 650 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Bulls	51c	5,000$2,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,550	453	48.1%218 W · 235 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Heat	48c	4,765$2,287 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,477.79	1,139	48.3%550 W · 589 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Heat	41c	3,837$1,573 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,263.75	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Heat	49c	3,621$1,790 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,831.55	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Heat	44c	3,160$1,382 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,777.81	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Bulls	51c	3,033$1,536 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,535.96	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71a6…de14backed Heat	49c	3,016$1,478 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,538.33	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.29per pick	49cpaid	-59.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Bulls	50c	2,747$1,382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,381.51	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Bulls	33c	2,397$785 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$785.03	228	36.4%83 W · 145 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Heat	49c	2,041$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,040.82	183	43.7%80 W · 103 L	-11.0wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Bulls	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,020	267	55.8%149 W · 118 L	+12.9wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Heat	49c	2,000$970 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,029.99	125	47.2%59 W · 66 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb5c…36f0backed Heat	49c	1,698$832 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$865.96	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	+1.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Heat	49c	1,510$735 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$775.56	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed Heat	49c	1,449$710 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$738.98	143	46.2%66 W · 77 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf154…27e3backed Heat	49c	1,429$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$728.57	90	51.1%46 W · 44 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Heat	48c	1,378$661 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$717.75	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Bulls	51c	1,272$647 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$647.29	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Heat	48c	1,250$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$650	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Heat	48c	1,225$588 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$636.77	398	42.5%169 W · 229 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Heat	49c	1,086$532 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$553.71	269	49.1%132 W · 137 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Heat	50c	1,000$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	807	37.7%304 W · 503 L	-33.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Bulls	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	409	47.7%195 W · 214 L	-13.0wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d0f…f3e6backed Heat	56c	887.02$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$387.02	66	59.1%39 W · 27 L	+7.2wins	+0.11per pick	48cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Heat	43c	858.1$370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$488.49	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Heat	47c	855.01$402 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$452.75	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Bulls	42c	721.45$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	335	54.6%183 W · 152 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Heat	49c	612.24$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$312.24	485	46.4%225 W · 260 L	-14.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Bulls	51c	500$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255	196	47.4%93 W · 103 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…cb95backed Heat	49c	421.59$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215.01	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Heat	49c	408.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.16	660	46.8%309 W · 351 L	-16.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Heat	49c	408.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.16	155	43.2%67 W · 88 L	-6.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b46…121dbacked Heat	49c	404.88$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$206.49	315	51.7%163 W · 152 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Heat	47c	291.14$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.76	2,657	49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L	+42.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5ed…d25fbacked Heat	49c	238.78$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.78	26	80.8%21 W · 5 L	+6.2wins	+0.24per pick	57cpaid	+59.2%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Bulls	52c	212.76$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.33	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe72…cf52backed Heat	48c	208.33$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.33	6	50%3 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee4d…5413backed Heat	80c	200$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Bulls	12c	200$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	448	21.4%96 W · 352 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Bulls	55c	181.82$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	818	45.7%374 W · 444 L	+9.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Heat	45c	168.43$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.16	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Heat	47c	155.32$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.32	86	45.3%39 W · 47 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Heat	49c	151.12$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.07	666	46.8%312 W · 354 L	-29.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-11%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f2e…44c3backed Bulls	51c	149.98$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.49	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Heat	49c	129.24$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.91	432	44%190 W · 242 L	-18.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Heat	48c	123.71$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.33	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e57…2bf6backed Heat	49c	122.45$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.45	125	49.6%62 W · 63 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec66…e58fbacked Bulls	54c	111.11$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	242	50.8%123 W · 119 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Heat	49c	102.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.04	661	53.3%352 W · 309 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x87ae…811bbacked Heat	49c	102.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.04	175	45.7%80 W · 95 L	-9.2wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Heat	65c	99.81$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.89	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8eca…6882backed Heat	53c	95.02$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.02	159	36.5%58 W · 101 L	-11.3wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Bulls	51c	80.62$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.31	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa5b…2d6ebacked Bulls	52c	80.52$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.87	32	65.6%21 W · 11 L	+3.6wins	+0.11per pick	54cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c04…2e2dbacked Bulls	54c	62.96$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	506	48%243 W · 263 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa66d…0859backed Bulls	52c	58.76$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.63	216	45.8%99 W · 117 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe2…6158backed Bulls	54c	55.56$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	332	49.7%165 W · 167 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Bulls	52c	53.47$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.8	530	43.8%232 W · 298 L	-25.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked Bulls	53c	53.18$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.17	484	51.2%248 W · 236 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Heat	48c	52$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.04	538	39.4%212 W · 326 L	-26.8wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed Bulls	65c	50$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.4	47	55.3%26 W · 21 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Heat	53c	49.98$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.59	113	44.2%50 W · 63 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Heat	41c	44.77$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.41	807	44.1%356 W · 451 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57e5…e51ebacked Bulls	52c	44$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.88	333	60.4%201 W · 132 L	+17.6wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb15d…d581backed Heat	48c	41.67$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.67	107	39.3%42 W · 65 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Heat	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	1,573	53.4%840 W · 733 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Heat	48c	40$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.8	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Bulls	52c	40$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.8	319	47.6%152 W · 167 L	-18.8wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8677…4d2cbacked Bulls	52c	38.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	156	43.6%68 W · 88 L	-8.0wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Heat	44c	38.36$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.48	192	32.8%63 W · 129 L	-18.1wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfc33…9636backed Bulls	53c	37.72$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.99	192	42.7%82 W · 110 L	-10.7wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1600…5a08backed Bulls	35c	35.77$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.52	141	27.7%39 W · 102 L	-16.4wins	-0.12per pick	39cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Heat	36c	31.75$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.32	766	53.5%410 W · 356 L	+65.5wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Heat	55c	31.46$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.3	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb53c…c76ebacked Bulls	35c	31.43$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	487	40.7%198 W · 289 L	-13.0wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-11%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04c0…0927backed Heat	49c	30.61$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.61	188	52.7%99 W · 89 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Bulls	50c	26.39$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.2	281	47.7%134 W · 147 L	-10.5wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Bulls	54c	25.97$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.93	456	51.1%233 W · 223 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Bulls	54c	25.93$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	599	48.4%290 W · 309 L	-8.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Heat	49c	24.86$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.68	171	55.6%95 W · 76 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Heat	49c	24$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.24	193	50.3%97 W · 96 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Bulls	55c	23.47$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.01	357	47.1%168 W · 189 L	-8.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ff7…9ab6backed Heat	49c	22.19$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.28	454	60.4%274 W · 180 L	+21.6wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Bulls	54c	21.72$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.73	874	53.3%466 W · 408 L	+19.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88a8…8707backed Heat	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+1.9wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+24%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc998…f060backed Bulls	64c	18.75$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	124	58.9%73 W · 51 L	+8.5wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Heat (-2.5)this page
Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
Heat vs. BullsHeat won
Heat vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineHeat won
Heat vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
Heat vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 123.5Under won
Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 236.5Under won
Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5Under won
Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5Under won
Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 239.5Under won
Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 240.5Under won
Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5Under won
Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 242.5Under won
Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 243.5Under won
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Jalen Smith: Points O/U 12.5No won
Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 7.5No won
Josh Giddey: Points O/U 16.5No won
Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
Nikola Vučević: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Nikola Vučević: Points O/U 17.5No won
Spread: Bulls (-1.5)Heat won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Heat (-2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event