Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c27e486e85b10f45a7775ab3e5b83efdd35a511866efadf74fbc1f2dbc9aee1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,887,219
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,836,721
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,887,219 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,073 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 55c | 266,502$146,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146,162.22 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 43c | 160,431$69,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90,804.71 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 55c | 117,459$64,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,235.07 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 45c | 111,970$50,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,583.25 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 100,205$49,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,632.12 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 45c | 94,193$42,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,648.28 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 45c | 64,060$28,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,204 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 34c | 61,892$21,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,868.09 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 46c | 47,965$22,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,901.02 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe74a…40eebacked Yes | 54c | 45,000$24,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,300 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff32…2496backed Yes | 37c | 43,400$15,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,850 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 45c | 41,139$18,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,626.66 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Yes | 55c | 36,364$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…97e1backed Yes | 55c | 36,349$19,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,991.99 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 46c | 30,000$13,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,199.98 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Yes | 75c | 29,397$22,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,102.4 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 45c | 28,735$12,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,749.42 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Yes | 55c | 22,456$12,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,350.74 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 57c | 21,620$12,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,338.92 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed Yes | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,800 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,999.95 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…f06fbacked No | 45c | 18,000$8,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,899.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked No | 30c | 17,598$5,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,362 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 45c | 16,750$7,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,169.79 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed No | 25c | 16,707$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,546.6 | 137 | 27%37 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9bb3backed No | 46c | 16,669$7,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,065.83 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +9.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7054…af6ebacked Yes | 55c | 15,718$8,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,644.74 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 54c | 15,626$8,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,482.66 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 46c | 15,620$7,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,434.63 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 45c | 14,000$6,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,649.97 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06df…3b05backed No | 46c | 14,000$6,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,619.96 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 45c | 14,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,699.87 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64f1…eaa7backed No | 45c | 12,220$5,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,660.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 47c | 11,340$5,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,051.07 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff7a…4c4cbacked Yes | 79c | 11,234$8,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,874.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed No | 37c | 10,676$3,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,683.5 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…11a0backed Yes | 55c | 10,607$5,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,794.1 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 51c | 10,516$5,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,149.09 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed Yes | 49c | 10,169$4,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,996.82 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.92 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 64c | 9,823$6,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,575.32 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 46c | 9,566$4,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,139.56 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc70…7f2abacked Yes | 54c | 9,247$4,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,993.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 45c | 9,228$4,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,075.24 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 46c | 9,120$4,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,924.8 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +9.8wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Yes | 56c | 8,929$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 50c | 8,718$4,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,353.41 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 52c | 8,189$4,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,936.96 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdea3…e4babacked Yes | 55c | 8,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed No | 46c | 7,678$3,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,146.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed No | 46c | 7,587$3,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,129.94 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…73e3backed Yes | 55c | 7,455$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 35cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed No | 46c | 7,000$3,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,780 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf509…67b9backed Yes | 56c | 6,986$3,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,908.78 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…bed4backed Yes | 67c | 6,781$4,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,561.55 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 46c | 6,713$3,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,638.84 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0883…f9cbbacked Yes | 58c | 6,548$3,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,795.58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -66%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 54c | 6,500$3,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,510 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes | 54c | 6,000$3,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,265 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a0…1931backed No | 46c | 6,000$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,239.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 45c | 6,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,299.98 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 45c | 5,991$2,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,295.11 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8e…5032backed Yes | 54c | 5,901$3,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,174.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa7…52b4backed Yes | 55c | 5,495$3,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,022 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 42c | 5,390$2,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,238.82 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked No | 46c | 5,170$2,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,791.8 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yes | 54c | 5,045$2,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,724.75 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc89b…451fbacked No | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52e8…c4cdbacked Yes | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,649.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes | 15c | 4,693$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.92 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Yes | 54c | 4,630$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…0848backed Yes | 54c | 4,547$2,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,455.19 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4f…f290backed Yes | 77c | 4,545$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 77c | 4,542$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 45c | 4,500$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,469.97 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Yes | 55c | 4,254$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.72 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…cc66backed Yes | 51c | 4,086$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccea…a8ebbacked Yes | 54c | 4,079$2,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,202.64 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe045…c149backed No | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.99 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 63c | 3,999$2,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,509.3 | 197 | 29.4%58 W · 139 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf189…4c6bbacked Yes | 54c | 3,800$2,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,052 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 45c | 3,800$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,071.94 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes | 77c | 3,738$2,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,878.22 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb13…8bb4backed Yes | 55c | 3,635$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…35cbbacked Yes | 26c | 3,602$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.71 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Yes | 54c | 3,587$1,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,937.19 | 97 | 63.9%62 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 79c | 3,464$2,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,736.37 | 252 | 25%63 W · 189 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ac…0a7abacked Yes | 57c | 3,377$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa833…2820backed Yes | 54c | 3,340$1,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,803.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2311…dc5abacked No | 46c | 3,332$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…b290backed No | 46c | 3,331$1,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,809.86 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 49c | 3,311$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,628 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c2…176ebacked Yes | 58c | 3,289$1,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,907.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 30c | 3,281$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280.66 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 47c | 3,191$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.49 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Yes | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?this page
- Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-15?No won
- Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.