Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6cb468d25e4af1294881fe487852e9817c07eb507ed4647b4ae76d247ee499b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $444,072
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $576,533
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $444,072 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 342 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf209…97e1backed Yes | 23c | 79,492$18,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,992.12 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 77c | 50,000$38,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,500 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 18,051$10,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,867.39 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 39c | 17,265$6,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,652.45 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed No | 75c | 17,232$12,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,911.14 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 14,857$11,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,291.42 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 63c | 14,281$8,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,351.38 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 76c | 13,850$10,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,526.01 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 77c | 10,725$8,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,258.11 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 19c | 9,547$1,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,705.94 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…4f48backed Yes | 24c | 8,750$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,650 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed No | 22c | 8,592$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890.14 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7054…af6ebacked Yes | 24c | 8,496$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,495.97 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64aa…1dc7backed Yes | 70c | 8,305$5,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,468.38 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df8…a696backed Yes | 24c | 8,300$1,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,308 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed No | 75c | 7,392$5,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,533.55 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 77c | 7,380$5,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,667.53 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf509…67b9backed Yes | 71c | 7,219$5,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080.58 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes | 24c | 6,000$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,570 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…daa4backed Yes | 23c | 4,457$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,419.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +114.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe045…c149backed No | 77c | 4,000$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,079.99 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 23c | 4,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,079.98 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 76c | 3,593$2,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,730.63 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…bed4backed Yes | 31c | 3,329$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,281.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 23c | 3,185$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,452.44 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 73c | 2,666$1,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.6 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Yes | 30c | 2,588$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,811.62 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 76c | 2,500$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.94 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 31c | 2,422$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.52 | 182 | 59.3%108 W · 74 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 23c | 2,238$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.15 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 77c | 2,128$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.63 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked Yes | 69c | 2,052$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.67 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 77c | 2,000$1,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,531.98 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Yes | 16c | 1,927$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.67 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…b290backed No | 76c | 1,800$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.66 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…e8a8backed Yes | 66c | 1,664$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.41 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 61c | 1,645$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.8 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b8…63cbbacked Yes | 40c | 1,621$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 77c | 1,556$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.35 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 38c | 1,546$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.34 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 68c | 1,508$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.71 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b73…7421backed Yes | 79c | 1,325$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.46 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 74c | 1,272$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.95 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 73c | 1,246$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.51 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 24c | 1,152$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.5 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb07f…2edfbacked Yes | 23c | 1,149$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bc…06b7backed Yes | 34c | 1,147$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.06 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 23c | 1,094$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.27 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Yes | 74c | 1,050$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 77c | 1,026$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.07 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe659…57bbbacked Yes | 23c | 1,021$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.2 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Yes | 19c | 1,020$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.68 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe4…5c4fbacked No | 77c | 999.98$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.99 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…1742backed Yes | 30c | 993.73$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.73 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c33…56f1backed Yes | 23c | 991$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 24c | 925$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…2606backed No | 78c | 884.62$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 35c | 861.97$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.97 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 32c | 859.7$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.17 | 117 | 27.4%32 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 43c | 756$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.93 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8e…349fbacked Yes | 29c | 721.54$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.84 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 59c | 681.71$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 307 | 39.4%121 W · 186 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 15c | 666.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.25 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2db…31cabacked Yes | 30c | 657.91$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.91 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6501…5983backed No | 77c | 617$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1758…5d73backed Yes | 41c | 616.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.7 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14fe…99e4backed Yes | 23c | 614$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 23c | 587$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.99 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa229…576ebacked Yes | 24c | 585.67$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…e2f2backed No | 77c | 577$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7582…f6b2backed No | 77c | 560$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 76c | 555.03$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.82 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 24c | 537.85$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.85 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22a8…f4ebbacked No | 77c | 532$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d8…8d55backed Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked No | 77c | 500$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…4dc6backed No | 78c | 474.36$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa86…7414backed Yes | 23c | 469$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x045f…e343backed Yes | 32c | 468.97$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.97 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Yes | 63c | 453.84$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.76 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x007a…c3abbacked Yes | 29c | 448$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.08 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb604…b046backed Yes | 23c | 445.78$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes | 27c | 437.03$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.03 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…928dbacked Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…5e8dbacked Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7e66…53dfbacked Yes | 24c | 417.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.58 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…af75backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3874…d903backed No | 77c | 414$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 24c | 413.38$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.17 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 80c | 400$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 364 | 62.9%229 W · 135 L | +32.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…bce6backed Yes | 29c | 399.99$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.99 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 77c | 399.99$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.99 | 185 | 51.9%96 W · 89 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e4…3342backed Yes | 24c | 399$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.24 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0e…4075backed No | 12c | 395.88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 51c | 386.27$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.27 | 240 | 47.5%114 W · 126 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked No | 77c | 376.75$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.1 | 153 | 50.3%77 W · 76 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Yes | 28c | 356.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.8 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…8263backed Yes | 55c | 354.15$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.37 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 62c | 353.45$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.5 | 196 | 54.6%107 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8e…27ffbacked Yes | 16c | 353.06$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.13 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?this page
- Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-15?No won
- Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.