MLB · resolved market
Phillies vs. Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2f0b0f3dbbb6144c8b6a1a7b8f9e9d3a0e47d4451e29973edaa5c633a0d861d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Redsof Phillies, Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $580,363
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $577,178
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $580,363 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 591 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Reds | 44c | 424,673$184,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239,757.71 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Phillies | 57c | 99,693$56,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,824.94 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Phillies | 56c | 86,600$48,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,562 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Phillies | 57c | 61,513$35,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,018.84 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Phillies | 56c | 43,736$24,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,488.23 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Phillies | 57c | 31,290$17,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,720.64 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Phillies | 57c | 30,000$17,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,100 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Reds | 43c | 25,555$10,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,566.35 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Phillies | 56c | 21,291$11,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,922.9 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Reds | 43c | 15,410$6,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,787.58 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Phillies | 56c | 13,500$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Phillies | 56c | 9,000$5,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,040 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Phillies | 57c | 8,364$4,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,767.49 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Reds | 43c | 7,500$3,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,275 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Phillies | 57c | 5,002$2,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,851.21 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 57c | 4,844$2,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,765.11 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Phillies | 57c | 4,760$2,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,713.2 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Reds | 45c | 4,126$1,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.89 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Phillies | 14c | 3,579$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Phillies | 56c | 3,394$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900.49 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Phillies | 57c | 2,923$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03b4…af9abacked Phillies | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Phillies | 56c | 2,448$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.02 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d7…068bbacked Reds | 42c | 2,300$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.97 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Phillies | 57c | 2,041$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.36 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e28…9bc8backed Reds | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.99 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Phillies | 55c | 1,995$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.23 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Phillies | 55c | 1,802$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.96 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa44e…40b6backed Phillies | 57c | 1,800$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +44%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Reds | 79c | 1,448$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.08 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Phillies | 56c | 1,259$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.96 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Phillies | 57c | 1,240$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.8 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d57…d7ffbacked Reds | 42c | 1,235$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.29 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Phillies | 58c | 1,171$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…6491backed Reds | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.79 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Phillies | 57c | 1,150$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.5 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Phillies | 12c | 1,125$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.79 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Phillies | 4c | 1,118$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.41 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…bf8bbacked Reds | 42c | 1,098$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…c260backed Phillies | 58c | 1,028$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6d…df6abacked Phillies | 58c | 1,022$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.76 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Phillies | 60c | 1,008$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4950…0031backed Reds | 42c | 999.95$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.97 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1239…975dbacked Phillies | 30c | 953.43$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc87c…667abacked Reds | 42c | 952$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Phillies | 56c | 937$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.72 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x195c…f698backed Phillies | 58c | 895.62$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.46 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +26%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ba…d03cbacked Reds | 43c | 895.35$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.35 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Phillies | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd08a…f1babacked Phillies | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c11…02c8backed Phillies | 58c | 773.76$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.78 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Reds | 42c | 750$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcab0…4cd3backed Reds | 50c | 704.09$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.69 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Phillies | 58c | 654.38$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.54 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e32…a30ebacked Reds | 78c | 645.2$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.52 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Reds | 71c | 634.7$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.26 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Phillies | 58c | 599.98$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.99 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Reds | 45c | 574.29$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.86 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Reds | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.18 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…45f9backed Reds | 41c | 568.02$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.13 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb3…e68cbacked Reds | 51c | 544.25$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec0…40dabacked Phillies | 2c | 539.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Phillies | 56c | 534$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.04 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Phillies | 51c | 520.88$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.65 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Phillies | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Reds | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Phillies | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x095a…2400backed Phillies | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Reds | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Reds | 43c | 465$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.05 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Reds | 40c | 453.02$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.7 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Phillies | 56c | 430$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.8 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Phillies | 46c | 427.59$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3770…88a6backed Phillies | 8c | 423.88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Phillies | 5c | 420$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Phillies | 25c | 414.67$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.93 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Reds | 43c | 380$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.1 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Reds | 42c | 359.95$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.77 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc352…51e3backed Phillies | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Reds | 50c | 348.54$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.27 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Phillies | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Reds | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Reds | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Reds | 42c | 299.97$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.98 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Phillies | 56c | 299.96$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.98 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Phillies | 37c | 272.68$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.32 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Phillies | 48c | 238.51$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.47 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Reds | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Phillies | 58c | 227.59$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Reds | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Reds | 44c | 219.89$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.14 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Reds | 50c | 209$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.5 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Phillies | 58c | 202$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.16 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…6ce2backed Phillies | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5a…d1bbbacked Reds | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e9…4ef4backed Reds | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…afbbbacked Reds | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2019…a6a9backed Reds | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7752…490bbacked Reds | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3236…8f9ebacked Reds | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.