TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Blue Jays vs. Dodgers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Blue Jaysof Blue Jays, Dodgers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$253,550
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$263,114

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $253,550 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ffe…abf4backed Dodgers0c85,000$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x823d…8091backed Blue Jays39c8,459$3,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,151.86453.1%34 W · 30 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37be…c646backed Blue Jays63c8,448$5,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,148.416450%32 W · 32 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Blue Jays41c7,992$3,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,680.921,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d6f…482cbacked Blue Jays63c7,170$4,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,652.96553.8%35 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ca8…1a39backed Dodgers45c5,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2504050%20 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Dodgers62c4,838$2,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,979.792,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Blue Jays40c4,520$1,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,707.3754345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Dodgers62c4,073$2,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,525.0944456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x36da…e646backed Dodgers73c3,750$2,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,736.4923545.1%106 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Blue Jays38c3,716$1,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,301.431,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Dodgers29c3,376$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.992,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Blue Jays29c3,158$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,251.0438444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed Dodgers60c2,797$1,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,66524154.4%131 W · 110 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Blue Jays37c2,730$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,729.7331248.4%151 W · 161 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c54…cc1ebacked Dodgers57c2,700$1,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5391346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid+1,156.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df7…baefbacked Dodgers62c2,645$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6406144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Dodgers62c1,815$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.323455.6%130 W · 104 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Dodgers60c1,798$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,078.5720850%104 W · 104 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Blue Jays66c1,737$1,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.8341747.2%197 W · 220 L+15.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d57…d7ffbacked Blue Jays38c1,644$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.275850%29 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Dodgers61c1,474$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.6756451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Dodgers37c1,442$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.543946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb142…cd11backed Blue Jays20c1,322$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,057.9218748.1%90 W · 97 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Blue Jays39c1,282$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.0528042.1%118 W · 162 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Blue Jays53c1,212$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.751,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Blue Jays39c1,126$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.8870946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Dodgers62c1,102$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.7338751.9%201 W · 186 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Blue Jays37c930$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.950843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6148…acadbacked Blue Jays37c920.9$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.1724547.3%116 W · 129 L+21.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Blue Jays19c911.58$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.2995930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Blue Jays39c907$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.2788549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Dodgers36c840.87$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30036047.5%171 W · 189 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed Dodgers61c806.96$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.219947.5%47 W · 52 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb653…85a4backed Dodgers63c793$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.5914148.2%68 W · 73 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Blue Jays40c742.58$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.7768656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Dodgers60c723.77$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.2611449.1%56 W · 58 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0624…017dbacked Dodgers63c714.29$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45026651.1%136 W · 130 L-16.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Dodgers60c666.67$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40029948.8%146 W · 153 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x954b…ad5ebacked Dodgers17c634.06$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.632321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…5bd1backed Dodgers35c632.61$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2202941.4%12 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Blue Jays37c600$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37844443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Blue Jays42c595$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.434051.2%174 W · 166 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Blue Jays16c591$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.248,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed Blue Jays71c569.28$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.1618155.8%101 W · 80 L-11.4wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed Dodgers63c536.51$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3386243.5%27 W · 35 L-9.4wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-27.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Blue Jays38c526.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.3256351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ea…e15cbacked Blue Jays38c526.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.3222351.6%115 W · 108 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Blue Jays37c517.73$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.784,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Blue Jays39c512$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.321,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa25b…0151backed Dodgers56c500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2801258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+22.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Blue Jays55c479$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.5516947.3%80 W · 89 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Dodgers61c470$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.3592754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Blue Jays39c464.71$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.471,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Blue Jays49c463.31$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.780680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0xc921…5279backed Blue Jays59c455.23$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.073636.1%13 W · 23 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-38.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Dodgers67c450.35$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,38855.1%765 W · 623 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5555…d3d0backed Blue Jays61c407.68$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.99550.5%48 W · 47 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Dodgers61c406.56$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.81,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Blue Jays28c398$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.5410527.6%29 W · 76 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Blue Jays65c378.99$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.658454.8%46 W · 38 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Dodgers61c356.2$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.2843247.2%204 W · 228 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Blue Jays19c342.28$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.31,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x363d…fe75backed Dodgers63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021242.5%90 W · 122 L-13.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed Blue Jays38c305$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.16347.6%30 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Dodgers60c300$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Blue Jays38c300$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18630850%154 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Blue Jays38c299.98$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.9883248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Blue Jays38c299.71$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.551,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f0b…2305backed Blue Jays58c299.57$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.678042.5%34 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Blue Jays15c278.57$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.781,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Dodgers62c259.18$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.691,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Blue Jays39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.412,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x108d…508abacked Blue Jays39c254.26$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.264443.2%19 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67fd…2b74backed Blue Jays40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15016651.8%86 W · 80 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Dodgers62c243.59$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.034030%12 W · 28 L-6.9wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-47.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xaaef…472abacked Blue Jays44c232.77$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.2232754.7%179 W · 148 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe898…769fbacked Blue Jays20c220$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1762240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked Blue Jays38c213.97$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.661,07846.3%499 W · 579 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3770…88a6backed Blue Jays24c208.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.333740.5%15 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Dodgers49c206.04$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb68c…eda5backed Dodgers62c201.61$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1252321.7%5 W · 18 L-5.5wins-0.24per pick46cpaid-50.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Blue Jays39c200$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1223,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Blue Jays38c200$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1242,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Blue Jays38c200$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12418249.5%90 W · 92 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb3c…fb3fbacked Blue Jays38c196$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.562552%13 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+31.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed Blue Jays61c182$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.4325454.3%138 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Dodgers62c177.42$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11017155%94 W · 77 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a4c…0cc5backed Dodgers18c172.22$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314231%13 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Dodgers61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10047850.4%241 W · 237 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked Dodgers75c160$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204643.5%20 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd386…1887backed Dodgers34c157.88$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6819233.3%64 W · 128 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Blue Jays38c150$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9366751.9%346 W · 321 L+30.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked Dodgers61c150$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.524951.8%129 W · 120 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bf7…cdb7backed Blue Jays58c147.7$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.5945749.7%227 W · 230 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Dodgers59c147.5$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.439,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe88e…a7d4backed Blue Jays68c146.38$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.382770.4%19 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Blue Jays34c138.17$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.634164.2%219 W · 122 L+22.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+8.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Dodgers35c134.91$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6580955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Blue Jays23c125.38$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.461,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.