MLB · resolved market
Marlins vs. Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93c93cc0594a5ec430356b583ffb98fbbbab279fdbc438e61ea69430cfd1c08b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marlinsof Marlins, Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $960,463
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $982,477
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $960,463 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 319 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Mets | 63c | 671,160$420,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420,230.87 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Marlins | 37c | 625,359$234,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391,333.35 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Mets | 63c | 42,500$26,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,775 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Marlins | 37c | 36,063$13,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,589.39 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Mets | 62c | 25,222$15,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,637.63 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Marlins | 38c | 22,717$8,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,106.04 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Marlins | 38c | 17,228$6,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,681.52 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Mets | 37c | 15,602$5,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,705.32 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Marlins | 37c | 15,555$5,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,744.1 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Mets | 63c | 13,403$8,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,443.89 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Marlins | 39c | 12,821$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,820.51 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Mets | 71c | 10,000$7,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,070.88 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ea…0fc1backed Marlins | 56c | 9,007$5,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,962.97 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Marlins | 37c | 7,000$2,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,410 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Mets | 61c | 6,494$3,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,961.47 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Marlins | 64c | 5,953$3,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,114.48 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Mets | 63c | 5,667$3,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,570 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Mets | 61c | 5,555$3,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,366.33 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Marlins | 73c | 5,498$3,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.15 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Marlins | 38c | 5,434$2,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,364.61 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Mets | 61c | 5,413$3,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,322.09 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Marlins | 37c | 4,418$1,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,776.87 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Mets | 61c | 4,111$2,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,504.82 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Marlins | 57c | 3,824$2,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,647.27 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Marlins | 38c | 3,300$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,046 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Marlins | 72c | 3,131$2,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.19 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Marlins | 39c | 3,102$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,892.28 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Marlins | 53c | 2,516$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.9 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Marlins | 38c | 2,400$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Mets | 40c | 2,333$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.06 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Marlins | 38c | 2,133$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.27 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Marlins | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Marlins | 40c | 1,997$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.2 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…ca28backed Marlins | 71c | 1,897$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.49 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c4…6f2fbacked Mets | 60c | 1,670$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3aec…0f2dbacked Marlins | 39c | 1,610$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.1 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Mets | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Marlins | 61c | 1,508$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.14 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Mets | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3770…88a6backed Mets | 33c | 1,469$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.29 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Mets | 36c | 1,401$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.37 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6102…3af3backed Marlins | 72c | 1,384$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.56 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Marlins | 38c | 1,382$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.84 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db7…d372backed Mets | 64c | 1,338$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.4 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Marlins | 36c | 1,229$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.32 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Marlins | 38c | 1,192$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.11 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Marlins | 37c | 1,150$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.46 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Marlins | 31c | 1,098$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.98 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Marlins | 76c | 1,053$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.45 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x869b…776cbacked Mets | 38c | 1,044$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.53 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Marlins | 39c | 1,026$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.64 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Marlins | 40c | 900$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Marlins | 64c | 837.33$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.43 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…28ddbacked Marlins | 69c | 819.67$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.02 | 253 | 64.4%163 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Marlins | 37c | 810$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.3 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Marlins | 38c | 800$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Mets | 9c | 770.44$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Marlins | 38c | 750$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Marlins | 37c | 749.99$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.49 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Marlins | 63c | 699$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.63 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mets | 39c | 678.78$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.85 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Marlins | 59c | 677.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.97 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Mets | 63c | 600$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Marlins | 35c | 598.79$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.22 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Mets | 31c | 575$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.25 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Marlins | 35c | 539.83$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.89 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Marlins | 37c | 521$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.23 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Marlins | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…93c2backed Marlins | 37c | 499.99$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.99 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Marlins | 37c | 487$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.81 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Marlins | 37c | 475.99$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.86 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Marlins | 58c | 429.93$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.67 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Marlins | 66c | 426.76$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.1 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Marlins | 72c | 401.99$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.57 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Mets | 36c | 386.81$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…d68cbacked Marlins | 62c | 380.88$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.48 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Mets | 36c | 379.58$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.81 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30b0…b2dcbacked Mets | 61c | 362.5$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe920…e742backed Mets | 65c | 359.63$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.76 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Marlins | 37c | 350$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.5 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Mets | 62c | 350$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Marlins | 72c | 347.2$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.43 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x795d…63e7backed Mets | 45c | 342.43$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.85 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Marlins | 39c | 335.72$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.79 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Mets | 63c | 333.33$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Mets | 31c | 327.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Marlins | 55c | 323.32$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.13 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fc…5ddfbacked Mets | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d61…1808backed Mets | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Marlins | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Mets | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Marlins | 40c | 289$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.4 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Marlins | 72c | 277.76$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.77 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Marlins | 37c | 275$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.25 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b3…3e2dbacked Marlins | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Mets | 63c | 260.19$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.62 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Mets | 63c | 250.79$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Mets | 61c | 250$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Marlins | 67c | 212.58$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.53 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Marlins | 74c | 212$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.12 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Marlins vs. Metsthis page
- Marlins vs. Mets: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.