MLB · resolved market
Rangers vs. Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe15be69e0e72cdb4043dcaf1ae74f1d823f83e7b4c7801e7baf0adaba8eceaca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jaysof Rangers, Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $682,966
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $710,016
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $682,966 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe785…e106backed Rangers | 39c | 497,861$195,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195,432.89 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Blue Jays | 62c | 142,518$88,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,989.97 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Blue Jays | 61c | 101,136$61,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,626.47 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Blue Jays | 63c | 72,880$45,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,949.5 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Blue Jays | 62c | 28,958$17,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,004.04 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Blue Jays | 60c | 26,384$15,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,544.99 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Blue Jays | 62c | 25,569$15,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,792.4 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Blue Jays | 63c | 25,038$15,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,159.19 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Blue Jays | 60c | 25,000$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Rangers | 38c | 24,500$9,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,310 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rangers | 37c | 22,079$8,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,269.44 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Blue Jays | 60c | 20,000$12,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,899.99 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Rangers | 39c | 18,055$7,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,041.64 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Blue Jays | 64c | 17,582$11,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,301.77 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Blue Jays | 61c | 17,273$10,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,736.47 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Blue Jays | 61c | 10,100$6,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,939 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Rangers | 35c | 9,978$3,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,492.3 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Blue Jays | 60c | 8,888$5,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,555.2 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Blue Jays | 60c | 8,435$5,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,408.87 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jays | 69c | 7,458$5,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.63 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blue Jays | 61c | 7,229$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,829.31 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Blue Jays | 60c | 6,387$3,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,554.87 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Blue Jays | 60c | 6,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Blue Jays | 61c | 5,981$3,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,332.57 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Blue Jays | 60c | 5,030$3,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,012 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3447…3495backed Rangers | 40c | 5,030$2,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,011.97 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Rangers | 39c | 5,000$1,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,957.69 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Rangers | 42c | 4,665$1,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.16 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Rangers | 39c | 3,846$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98fd…b575backed Blue Jays | 60c | 3,555$2,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Rangers | 39c | 3,377$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.32 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Blue Jays | 67c | 2,119$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.13 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Rangers | 15c | 2,000$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Rangers | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4950…0031backed Rangers | 30c | 1,968$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.52 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Rangers | 38c | 1,911$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.07 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Rangers | 38c | 1,692$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.87 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Rangers | 4c | 1,650$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Rangers | 1c | 1,467$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…f03bbacked Rangers | 38c | 1,373$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.85 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Rangers | 41c | 1,200$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Blue Jays | 57c | 1,020$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.57 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Blue Jays | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Rangers | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Blue Jays | 61c | 908.22$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.22 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Rangers | 41c | 901$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.41 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ba…d03cbacked Blue Jays | 58c | 862.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.43 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x58df…c720backed Rangers | 43c | 862.67$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Rangers | 4c | 833.55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd180…0989backed Rangers | 43c | 744.19$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Rangers | 5c | 633.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Rangers | 40c | 621.22$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Rangers | 41c | 605$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.05 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Blue Jays | 63c | 512.82$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.4 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Rangers | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Blue Jays | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Rangers | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Rangers | 22c | 495$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.9 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Blue Jays | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…f95abacked Blue Jays | 60c | 482.25$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.9 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Rangers | 42c | 473.07$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.69 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Rangers | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Rangers | 41c | 392$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.72 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Blue Jays | 60c | 380.15$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.06 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed Blue Jays | 58c | 365.52$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.52 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Rangers | 42c | 359.99$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Rangers | 42c | 350$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Rangers | 42c | 349.99$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Rangers | 38c | 341.87$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.91 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Blue Jays | 60c | 334$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.6 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6f…e87cbacked Blue Jays | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4be9…97ecbacked Blue Jays | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Blue Jays | 60c | 300.02$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.01 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Blue Jays | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…606cbacked Rangers | 41c | 290.24$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92ed…82c6backed Rangers | 6c | 270$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Rangers | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63d8…b86abacked Blue Jays | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Blue Jays | 63c | 250$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Rangers | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0410…6556backed Blue Jays | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Blue Jays | 58c | 236.21$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.21 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…9d3bbacked Blue Jays | 64c | 223.67$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.52 | 183 | 50.3%92 W · 91 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Rangers | 16c | 223.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.42 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…be8bbacked Blue Jays | 58c | 206.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Blue Jays | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Rangers | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9026…6924backed Rangers | 41c | 199.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x991a…2411backed Blue Jays | 77c | 184.5$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x933f…d2bcbacked Rangers | 23c | 181.8$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Blue Jays | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Rangers | 40c | 170$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.91 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Blue Jays | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed Blue Jays | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Blue Jays | 60c | 166.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.4 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…143cbacked Blue Jays | 60c | 165.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.57 | 217 | 53.9%117 W · 100 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Rangers | 42c | 160$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c0…823bbacked Blue Jays | 58c | 153.98$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.98 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Rangers | 40c | 151.2$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Rangers | 15c | 150.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.