Olympics · resolved market
Men's Group C - Germany vs. Denmark
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x468197db6647fcf5679e52b3308e0b50a799c67501ed137230060c7b8afb91df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Germanyof Germany, Denmark
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $646,920
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $657,839
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $646,920 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 310 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Germany | 73c | 395,584$287,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108,302.46 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bd…238ebacked Denmark | 28c | 173,802$48,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,361.98 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…b46ebacked Germany | 73c | 70,000$50,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,199.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Denmark | 27c | 56,500$15,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,254.91 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Denmark | 27c | 38,022$10,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,265.94 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe749…f660backed Denmark | 27c | 27,600$7,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,452 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Denmark | 28c | 25,637$7,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,172.07 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Denmark | 28c | 21,429$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Denmark | 27c | 20,700$5,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,589 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Denmark | 27c | 19,320$5,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,216.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Denmark | 27c | 17,940$4,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,843.79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Denmark | 27c | 15,000$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,050 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Germany | 72c | 15,000$10,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,199.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Germany | 73c | 12,000$8,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,240 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9931…ea8cbacked Denmark | 27c | 10,169$2,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,745.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Germany | 72c | 9,503$6,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.52 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Germany | 72c | 7,967$5,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,230.75 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Germany | 73c | 7,813$5,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,091.23 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 37cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Denmark | 27c | 7,599$2,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,057.49 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Denmark | 28c | 7,583$2,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,123.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Denmark | 27c | 7,207$1,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,946 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a6…c982backed Denmark | 27c | 7,155$1,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,931.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Denmark | 27c | 7,100$1,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,917 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Germany | 73c | 6,873$5,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855.65 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd63…42d8backed Denmark | 27c | 6,159$1,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,663.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Denmark | 27c | 6,072$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660.14 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed79…4f5dbacked Denmark | 27c | 5,632$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked Germany | 74c | 5,405$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.41 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Denmark | 28c | 5,357$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed Denmark | 28c | 5,098$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.15 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Germany | 73c | 5,000$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…9a1cbacked Denmark | 27c | 4,884$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Denmark | 26c | 4,869$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.93 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…40babacked Denmark | 28c | 4,632$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb624…b614backed Denmark | 28c | 4,297$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Denmark | 27c | 4,158$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.65 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 28cpaid | -89.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Denmark | 27c | 4,140$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.79 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Denmark | 27c | 4,139$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.43 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Denmark | 1c | 4,054$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.01 | 244 | 8.2%20 W · 224 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4a…744abacked Denmark | 27c | 3,769$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed Denmark | 27c | 3,704$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +80%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Denmark | 27c | 3,579$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Denmark | 27c | 3,464$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.2 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe06…d5d5backed Denmark | 28c | 3,062$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Germany | 73c | 2,980$2,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.53 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -6.1wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4383…3d32backed Germany | 73c | 2,530$1,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Denmark | 28c | 2,500$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Germany | 73c | 2,409$1,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.4 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Germany | 73c | 2,370$1,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.9 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 36cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Germany | 73c | 2,280$1,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe8…4dd8backed Germany | 73c | 2,182$1,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e58…3864backed Denmark | 28c | 2,070$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.71 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…274cbacked Germany | 73c | 2,030$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…c94bbacked Germany | 74c | 2,015$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Germany | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Denmark | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.98 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…88acbacked Denmark | 27c | 1,988$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.77 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Denmark | 5c | 1,984$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.95 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ff…b3ebbacked Germany | 74c | 1,950$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3535…205bbacked Germany | 73c | 1,947$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Denmark | 17c | 1,911$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.8 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…391cbacked Denmark | 27c | 1,772$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Germany | 76c | 1,680$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Denmark | 27c | 1,678$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.06 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -46%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7e…42babacked Germany | 74c | 1,667$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Denmark | 27c | 1,654$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Germany | 78c | 1,609$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.82 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b74…8b14backed Germany | 73c | 1,572$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Denmark | 20c | 1,539$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.26 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea9…e3c7backed Germany | 73c | 1,475$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62b…844abacked Germany | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.86 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb74…53c8backed Germany | 73c | 1,251$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Denmark | 18c | 1,203$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.39 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6e…2a01backed Denmark | 27c | 1,148$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Denmark | 28c | 1,100$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3390…b960backed Germany | 73c | 1,069$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Denmark | 28c | 1,043$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.9 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb06…9959backed Denmark | 27c | 1,037$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…bbbbbacked Germany | 73c | 1,033$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Germany | 73c | 1,009$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.34 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Denmark | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 55 | 16.4%9 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Germany | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Denmark | 13c | 999.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Germany | 72c | 999.62$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked Denmark | 27c | 966$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Germany | 73c | 911$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.97 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Denmark | 28c | 900$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ff…c8aabacked Denmark | 28c | 900$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Denmark | 28c | 892.86$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Denmark | 28c | 830$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.4 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 36cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Denmark | 28c | 800$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Denmark | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Germany | 67c | 724.94$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.23 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Denmark | 28c | 700$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed Germany | 72c | 700$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…df78backed Denmark | 27c | 700$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Denmark | 28c | 689.29$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Germany | 73c | 680$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x234e…240bbacked Germany | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…ce8ebacked Denmark | 15c | 652.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.