MLB · resolved market
Brewers vs. Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f75df493b5c86eab13e58dd6b11ba75e78dcbbfbba80ae34695a09becc10aac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brewersof Brewers, Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $178,605
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $195,592
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,605 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 500 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cubs | 35c | 11,652$4,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,028.25 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Cubs | 56c | 9,916$5,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,540.7 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Brewers | 45c | 8,939$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,939.04 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Cubs | 55c | 7,565$4,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,160.8 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Brewers | 70c | 6,150$4,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,856 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Cubs | 14c | 5,540$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.47 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cubs | 55c | 5,467$3,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,030.14 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Brewers | 58c | 4,999$2,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.58 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Cubs | 55c | 4,918$2,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,704.77 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Cubs | 32c | 4,239$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.64 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Brewers | 45c | 3,611$1,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,988.32 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Brewers | 43c | 3,500$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,995 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cubs | 32c | 3,188$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.95 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc9…2b7ebacked Cubs | 57c | 2,943$1,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Cubs | 57c | 2,772$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.9 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Cubs | 56c | 2,435$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.26 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Brewers | 44c | 2,272$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.32 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d04…7102backed Cubs | 57c | 2,222$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.64 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa95e…1924backed Brewers | 45c | 2,100$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63db…4401backed Brewers | 45c | 1,900$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Brewers | 68c | 1,844$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.47 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Brewers | 44c | 1,827$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.16 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Cubs | 56c | 1,820$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.19 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Brewers | 44c | 1,818$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.18 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Brewers | 66c | 1,800$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f01…6f56backed Cubs | 55c | 1,764$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b3…4ca9backed Brewers | 45c | 1,600$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed Brewers | 51c | 1,585$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.32 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Cubs | 54c | 1,386$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.12 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Brewers | 56c | 1,329$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.03 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Brewers | 43c | 1,242$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.94 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Brewers | 45c | 1,236$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.8 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Brewers | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e89…e67abacked Brewers | 45c | 1,142$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.1 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.38per pick | 47cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Brewers | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Cubs | 56c | 1,122$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Brewers | 43c | 1,118$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.41 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…2c70backed Brewers | 45c | 1,097$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eae…79d5backed Cubs | 55c | 1,082$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -34%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Brewers | 44c | 1,073$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.12 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…bf8bbacked Cubs | 55c | 1,071$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.05 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43e…a9acbacked Cubs | 55c | 1,056$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Brewers | 45c | 1,050$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.5 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba5…27a6backed Cubs | 55c | 1,029$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.95 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Brewers | 46c | 1,021$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.69 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc221…a9eebacked Cubs | 55c | 1,018$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Brewers | 69c | 1,003$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.55 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Brewers | 45c | 1,001$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.45 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Brewers | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Brewers | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Cubs | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Cubs | 57c | 999$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.43 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Cubs | 54c | 979.55$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.21 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…f599backed Cubs | 55c | 973$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b68…72c7backed Brewers | 45c | 958$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f4…377cbacked Cubs | 55c | 927$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Cubs | 56c | 900$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Cubs | 37c | 897.71$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.05 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd019…0003backed Cubs | 55c | 836$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Brewers | 43c | 822$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.54 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Cubs | 40c | 800$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…7c48backed Cubs | 55c | 764$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad09…8429backed Cubs | 55c | 727$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf35…2bbebacked Cubs | 57c | 710.53$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad48…0b10backed Brewers | 44c | 710.45$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.85 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +44%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf26…d436backed Brewers | 45c | 700$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb669…ec01backed Brewers | 45c | 700$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Brewers | 44c | 680.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.35 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…04c1backed Cubs | 55c | 673$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x63f9…b568backed Brewers | 45c | 667$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Brewers | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Brewers | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Brewers | 46c | 603.85$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.08 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Cubs | 54c | 583$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.82 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…63e0backed Brewers | 45c | 555$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Brewers | 43c | 549$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.93 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3770…88a6backed Cubs | 30c | 527.57$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.27 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Cubs | 57c | 518$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.29 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb472…9145backed Brewers | 45c | 501$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.55 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Brewers | 43c | 500.14$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.46 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Brewers | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Cubs | 10c | 493.86$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.14 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Brewers | 57c | 491.88$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.23 | 211 | 46.4%98 W · 113 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Cubs | 54c | 444.97$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.28 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Brewers | 45c | 444.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.08 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Brewers | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Brewers | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Cubs | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Brewers | 44c | 379.99$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.8 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Brewers | 45c | 357.96$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.88 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Cubs | 34c | 351.74$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.59 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Brewers | 46c | 329$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.95 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044c…a476backed Brewers | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Brewers | 45c | 308.71$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.79 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Brewers | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed Brewers | 44c | 299.99$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.99 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92ed…82c6backed Brewers | 45c | 289.78$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.38 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…d3d0backed Cubs | 57c | 284.21$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.97 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…b1e3backed Brewers | 43c | 269.75$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.76 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Brewers | 45c | 264$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.2 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brewers vs. Cubsthis page
- Brewers vs. Cubs: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Cubs (-1.5)No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.