MLB · resolved market
Cubs vs. Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x103eb3be9a3ece4b8cac6bd1b35bca389b0c56f8c0c055a1e2c08b6301b31418
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jaysof Cubs, Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,520,597
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,688,202
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,520,597 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 781 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe785…e106backed Cubs | 52c | 724,513$378,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378,413.92 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Blue Jays | 48c | 473,839$227,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246,711.25 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Blue Jays | 48c | 115,983$55,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,311.11 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Blue Jays | 48c | 101,413$48,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,224.66 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Blue Jays | 47c | 82,163$38,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,546.15 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Cubs | 53c | 56,979$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x991a…2411backed Cubs | 28c | 47,931$13,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,398.43 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37be…c646backed Blue Jays | 54c | 47,064$25,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,788.07 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Cubs | 53c | 26,512$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,000 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Cubs | 53c | 25,923$13,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,668.25 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Cubs | 52c | 25,555$13,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,288.6 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jays | 56c | 22,641$12,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,853.94 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Blue Jays | 47c | 22,533$10,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,930.14 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Blue Jays | 47c | 22,000$10,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,660 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Blue Jays | 47c | 20,566$9,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,899.87 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Blue Jays | 71c | 15,627$11,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,518.12 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Cubs | 62c | 13,568$8,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,372.37 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Cubs | 50c | 12,120$6,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,060 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blue Jays | 48c | 11,956$5,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,226.72 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Cubs | 57c | 11,187$6,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,414.03 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Blue Jays | 49c | 10,841$5,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,529.89 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x930d…1dd8backed Blue Jays | 49c | 10,148$4,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,175.48 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…106abacked Cubs | 51c | 9,800$4,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,998 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Cubs | 35c | 9,504$3,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,346.8 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Blue Jays | 48c | 9,277$4,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,824.08 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Cubs | 50c | 9,162$4,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,622.73 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Blue Jays | 57c | 8,906$5,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,845.41 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Blue Jays | 47c | 8,900$4,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,717 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Blue Jays | 50c | 7,902$3,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,951 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Cubs | 53c | 7,359$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900.17 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Blue Jays | 49c | 6,332$3,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,229.39 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Cubs | 6c | 6,283$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…e1c7backed Blue Jays | 51c | 5,882$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,882.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Blue Jays | 50c | 5,200$2,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,594.5 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489c…2a36backed Cubs | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Blue Jays | 49c | 4,326$2,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,188.41 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Blue Jays | 48c | 4,168$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,167.53 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0312…b9f0backed Blue Jays | 51c | 4,118$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,017.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3d…afd7backed Cubs | 49c | 4,080$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Blue Jays | 65c | 4,032$2,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.77 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Cubs | 16c | 3,937$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.73 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…6491backed Cubs | 52c | 3,815$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Blue Jays | 60c | 3,643$2,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Cubs | 52c | 3,590$1,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,851.51 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Cubs | 53c | 3,499$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x982a…48aebacked Blue Jays | 65c | 3,353$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.55 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd0…0f3fbacked Cubs | 49c | 3,060$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f56…173abacked Cubs | 49c | 2,858$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Cubs | 52c | 2,410$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.73 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Blue Jays | 74c | 2,369$1,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.37 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Blue Jays | 59c | 2,288$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.14 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe842…5688backed Blue Jays | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaefb…6a8fbacked Blue Jays | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Blue Jays | 49c | 1,950$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.49 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef69…a854backed Blue Jays | 52c | 1,930$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.08 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Blue Jays | 48c | 1,847$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.46 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Cubs | 52c | 1,787$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.24 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -55%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Blue Jays | 59c | 1,699$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.95 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Blue Jays | 76c | 1,521$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.66 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Blue Jays | 47c | 1,490$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.7 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b2…aa49backed Cubs | 49c | 1,400$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Blue Jays | 48c | 1,394$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.36 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…2d03backed Cubs | 53c | 1,366$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.93 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f77…fdb8backed Cubs | 15c | 1,360$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…143cbacked Blue Jays | 50c | 1,348$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674 | 217 | 53.9%117 W · 100 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jays | 43c | 1,313$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.1 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…ff82backed Blue Jays | 51c | 1,300$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34cb…df96backed Blue Jays | 51c | 1,300$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1362…89e4backed Blue Jays | 49c | 1,225$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.75 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 44cpaid | +84%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21aa…515fbacked Cubs | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 54cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Cubs | 27c | 1,186$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.1 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc1…6375backed Cubs | 51c | 1,177$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.27 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8f…0a06backed Cubs | 51c | 1,173$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Cubs | 49c | 1,167$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.65 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ac…cf0dbacked Blue Jays | 49c | 1,125$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a31…5dd9backed Blue Jays | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcab0…4cd3backed Cubs | 25c | 1,000$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.53 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Blue Jays | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Cubs | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Blue Jays | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4950…0031backed Cubs | 51c | 999.95$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.98 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Blue Jays | 56c | 971.52$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.75 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked Cubs | 67c | 831.32$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.39 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Blue Jays | 37c | 821.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.87 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…dd00backed Cubs | 53c | 817.83$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.45 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Cubs | 52c | 800$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Blue Jays | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cubs | 49c | 774$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.5 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Blue Jays | 74c | 747.95$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.89 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Blue Jays | 63c | 735.63$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.67 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Blue Jays | 54c | 649.5$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.5 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cubs | 40c | 637.22$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.55 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Cubs | 6c | 609.7$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Blue Jays | 37c | 605.41$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.41 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Blue Jays | 47c | 599.99$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…4099backed Cubs | 62c | 577.92$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.31 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf482…78fabacked Cubs | 53c | 560.91$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Blue Jays | 48c | 521.56$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.21 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Blue Jays | 29c | 515.03$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.03 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…0151backed Cubs | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.