TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Tigers vs. Royals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Royalsof Tigers, Royals
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$238,730
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$237,312

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $238,730 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5d9d…02c7backed Tigers52c141,751$73,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73,710.6735952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Royals48c125,622$60,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65,323.2838043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Royals48c52,666$25,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,386.3260249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Tigers53c11,321$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00019649.5%97 W · 99 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Tigers52c6,746$3,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,507.9216347.9%78 W · 85 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ea…0fc1backed Tigers49c6,066$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0002661.5%16 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Tigers52c5,555$2,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,888.5998149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed Royals53c5,290$2,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,476.8621747%102 W · 115 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x343c…741dbacked Tigers53c4,700$2,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4914744.7%21 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3aec…0f2dbacked Royals47c4,680$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,480.391844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Royals47c3,640$1,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,916.5754345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0fd…a7dabacked Royals48c3,125$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6254153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tigers53c2,720$1,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,441.772,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Royals49c2,512$1,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,281.4833845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Tigers51c2,382$1,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,215.011,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Royals48c2,284$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,195.122,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Royals48c1,966$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.548254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Tigers27c1,537$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.7554941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Tigers52c1,143$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.31,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Tigers53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53083248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3770…88a6backed Tigers55c909.78$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.783740.5%15 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad9c…7aa1backed Royals48c857.38$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.841668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+42.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x51c2…2b13backed Tigers53c857.17$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.31952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Tigers53c700.33$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.971,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeca6…1211backed Tigers61c650$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Royals47c638$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.141,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Tigers29c616.88$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.359,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2bf…2ab3backed Tigers46c544.6$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502740.7%11 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-31.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Royals47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26530850%154 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Tigers44c484.42$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.4215749.7%78 W · 79 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Royals55c454.55$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.551,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Tigers9c430.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Royals48c406$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.316,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Tigers53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20034550.7%175 W · 170 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Tigers55c363.2$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20038455.7%214 W · 170 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Royals47c349.69$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.481,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Royals53c334.92$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.8276456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Royals47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1593,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4201…f6edbacked Tigers53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503345.5%15 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2719…28ddbacked Royals64c230$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.4225364.4%163 W · 90 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e4d…67a5backed Tigers53c215$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.9512352.8%65 W · 58 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Royals47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10695850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Royals48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1042,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Tigers52c194.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Royals48c193.75$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.751,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked Tigers52c191.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8431347.9%150 W · 163 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Tigers53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10088549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Tigers53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Royals51c150.11$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.924,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Tigers52c150$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7817243%74 W · 98 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefe7…0cdfbacked Tigers52c144.09$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.215246.2%24 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f2a…2aaebacked Royals48c142.33$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.019448.9%46 W · 48 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1126…4e82backed Royals66c110$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.6460052.2%313 W · 287 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…d68cbacked Royals52c107.85$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.696657.6%38 W · 28 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e9c…95a1backed Royals48c104$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0840144.1%177 W · 224 L-17.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Tigers41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4145732.2%147 W · 310 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8643…85b2backed Tigers52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527553.3%40 W · 35 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Royals52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4856440.4%228 W · 336 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Royals45c83.98$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.7773149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Royals47c75.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.282,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked Royals48c75.79$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.411,07846.3%499 W · 579 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b4b…94d4backed Royals48c67$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9925155.4%139 W · 112 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Royals48c62.81$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6646631.1%145 W · 321 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf647…7911backed Royals48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.51850%9 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Royals51c62$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3812,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed Royals49c61.53$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5310541%43 W · 62 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b93…1290backed Tigers53c56.49$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.941942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Royals48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2669547.5%330 W · 365 L-16.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x18ed…04cbbacked Tigers49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.57857.7%45 W · 33 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe05f…b3e8backed Royals46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2729145.4%132 W · 159 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Tigers53c49.06$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261,29956.7%737 W · 562 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73b8…aa92backed Tigers53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2535652.5%187 W · 169 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ac1…5f0fbacked Royals47c45$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8534257.6%197 W · 145 L+25.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Royals49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8221748.4%105 W · 112 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a66…5b12backed Tigers49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014450.7%73 W · 71 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Tigers61c40.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.738,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb590…15d3backed Royals48c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.89152.7%48 W · 43 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa324…1b67backed Tigers53c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.21136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick56cpaid-39.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a34…56cfbacked Tigers53c38.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3728053.9%151 W · 129 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3049…7825backed Tigers54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208351.8%43 W · 40 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b84…9d3bbacked Royals50c35.33$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5218350.3%92 W · 91 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc52…a021backed Tigers50c35.18$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5920944%92 W · 117 L-11.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2272…2e9cbacked Tigers52c31.13$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1966250.2%332 W · 330 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd287…7485backed Royals47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.954352.3%284 W · 259 L+27.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x56f6…9f57backed Royals48c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.631547.3%149 W · 166 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02c7…3df7backed Tigers53c28.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1555152.5%289 W · 262 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Royals48c26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5279740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9abd…c0edbacked Tigers52c26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5233750.4%170 W · 167 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d40…f95abacked Royals49c22.49$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.475955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Tigers53c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.131,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Tigers52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.425548.6%124 W · 131 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70d9…26ebbacked Tigers52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.415756.1%88 W · 69 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfae5…f940backed Tigers53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.681651.8%423 W · 393 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Tigers51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.218249.5%90 W · 92 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.