CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Acend (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8fa476e341ae1a148c763c4f299fb97eb626ec6a7d77afc9db7b1bfc512702aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sinnersof Sinners, Acend
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,480
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,311
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,480 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xce7a…75d7backed Sinners | 71c | 10,760$7,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,125.62 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Acend | 23c | 10,334$2,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,373.06 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Sinners | 77c | 8,410$6,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,934.22 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Acend | 21c | 3,916$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.1 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Acend | 40c | 3,548$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.41 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Acend | 26c | 2,059$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.35 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Acend | 27c | 1,407$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.75 | 526 | 36.5%192 W · 334 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…2ef0backed Sinners | 77c | 1,300$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299 | 240 | 55.8%134 W · 106 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb88e…08f3backed Sinners | 74c | 809.65$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.65 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Acend | 26c | 699.97$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.99 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Acend | 24c | 675$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.6 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Sinners | 75c | 508.02$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Sinners | 70c | 451.73$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.52 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Sinners | 78c | 342.59$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.68 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed Acend | 21c | 331.05$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.52 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4415…b335backed Sinners | 75c | 308.49$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.49 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Sinners | 79c | 302.74$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.58 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Sinners | 78c | 299.99$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Sinners | 75c | 282.2$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.55 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Acend | 22c | 228.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.33 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Acend | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed Acend | 44c | 205$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.2 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Acend | 27c | 199$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.15 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Sinners | 75c | 195.03$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.03 | 178 | 47.2%84 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Sinners | 67c | 187.28$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.97 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed Sinners | 79c | 180$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 300 | 62.3%187 W · 113 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Acend | 29c | 173$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked Acend | 21c | 136.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 325 | 36%117 W · 208 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3770…88a6backed Acend | 21c | 110$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Acend | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0705…41ebbacked Acend | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Acend | 22c | 99.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 246 | 33.3%82 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…a933backed Acend | 25c | 81.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Acend | 33c | 70.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc8…a5fbbacked Acend | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.46per pick | 63cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Sinners | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Acend | 33c | 50.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Acend | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked Sinners | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x403f…2b6bbacked Sinners | 73c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…2bbbbacked Sinners | 72c | 27.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…e8c3backed Sinners | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Sinners | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 200 | 52.5%105 W · 95 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Acend (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Playoffsthis page
- Map Handicap: SIN (-1.5) vs Acend (+1.5)Sinners won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.