TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Diamondbacks vs. Rockies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rockiesof Diamondbacks, Rockies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,574
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$69,645

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,574 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x38c2…d3a7backed Diamondbacks59c8,523$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00036047.5%171 W · 189 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe785…e106backed Rockies37c7,000$2,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,415.284854.2%26 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Rockies60c6,173$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,472.4854345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Rockies41c5,826$2,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,414.031,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb307…5c7dbacked Rockies36c5,023$1,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,214.711850%9 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+22.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Rockies48c4,849$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,498.6338444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x930d…1dd8backed Diamondbacks64c3,388$2,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,168.322347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed Rockies60c3,373$2,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,365.0125454.3%138 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Diamondbacks36c2,835$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,012.7895930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed Diamondbacks63c2,758$1,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,737.5435952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3061…dd00backed Diamondbacks45c2,659$1,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,193.091540%6 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Diamondbacks63c2,500$1,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5752,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Rockies57c2,342$1,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,016.4843946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Diamondbacks42c2,271$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.239,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcab0…4cd3backed Diamondbacks42c1,731$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.739447.9%45 W · 49 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5cc6…f0f8backed Diamondbacks65c1,538$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011051.8%57 W · 53 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd73b…70adbacked Diamondbacks64c1,300$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83214453.5%77 W · 67 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Rockies36c1,300$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.9950843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Rockies57c1,184$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.211,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc623…9afdbacked Diamondbacks64c1,172$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75013553.3%72 W · 63 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Diamondbacks63c999.99$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.991,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Rockies35c999.98$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.9830850%154 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7836…6bc4backed Diamondbacks46c982.98$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45011331.9%36 W · 77 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-22.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6148…acadbacked Rockies36c969.99$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.824547.3%116 W · 129 L+21.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Rockies36c874.22$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.031,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rockies74c745.02$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.812,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20b9…9110backed Diamondbacks64c700$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44821656%121 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Diamondbacks63c677.93$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.123455.6%130 W · 104 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Rockies36c625.98$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.6344443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Diamondbacks52c600$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31442452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Diamondbacks44c585.91$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.5611748.7%57 W · 60 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1126…4e82backed Rockies61c585.13$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.0560052.2%313 W · 287 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Rockies37c540.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.5456351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Diamondbacks38c501.67$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.4245732.2%147 W · 310 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4950…0031backed Rockies37c500$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3155644.6%25 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Diamondbacks63c500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3151,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Rockies36c499.95$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.9722142.1%93 W · 128 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa581…45b2backed Diamondbacks64c470.14$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011463.2%72 W · 42 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Rockies36c466.16$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.3444456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Diamondbacks35c423.49$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.8773149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Diamondbacks64c400$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25692754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedbd…06c9backed Diamondbacks45c398.64$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.4923248.3%112 W · 120 L-13.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaaef…472abacked Rockies61c396.83$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.4332754.7%179 W · 148 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked Rockies37c393.24$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.741,07846.3%499 W · 579 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Diamondbacks64c390$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.61,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Diamondbacks64c389.42$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25088549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Diamondbacks55c360.61$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20034264.3%220 W · 122 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Diamondbacks31c327.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe11c…49efbacked Diamondbacks41c323.88$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13412949.6%64 W · 65 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Diamondbacks64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,38855.1%765 W · 623 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Diamondbacks64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Diamondbacks64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67fd…2b74backed Diamondbacks64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016651.8%86 W · 80 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Diamondbacks32c304.52$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.624,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Rockies37c300$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1893,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Diamondbacks54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16234051.2%174 W · 166 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Rockies58c280.74$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.956,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe299…9945backed Rockies72c277.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.272744.4%12 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-16.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfef0…1282backed Diamondbacks64c277$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.281752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Diamondbacks36c273.35$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5451334.5%177 W · 336 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xde8c…6307backed Diamondbacks30c264.52$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805834.5%20 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Diamondbacks63c259.98$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16599951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Diamondbacks44c253.09$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.361,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Rockies44c252.57$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.4439739.5%157 W · 240 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3770…88a6backed Diamondbacks40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003740.5%15 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a34…56cfbacked Diamondbacks64c237.5$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15228053.9%151 W · 129 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90b6…ba49backed Rockies45c224.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.449158.2%53 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Rockies59c220$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.8380680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Diamondbacks62c200$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1242,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02c…2cf8backed Diamondbacks64c200$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1282454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Rockies36c199.99$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.992,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Rockies37c195.05$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.881,05150.4%530 W · 521 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa452…d1efbacked Diamondbacks46c189.13$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872661.5%16 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9555…a786backed Rockies37c183.78$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.78887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.36per pick52cpaid+80.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc19a…ebafbacked Rockies37c178.38$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.38850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d8e…aea5backed Rockies37c175.68$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.68850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56f6…9f57backed Diamondbacks27c170.85$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7731547.3%149 W · 166 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9587…cd8ebacked Rockies37c165.14$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.3431244.2%138 W · 174 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed Diamondbacks44c160$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7018155.8%101 W · 80 L-11.4wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc19…d4f6backed Rockies37c159.45$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.45850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97ef…5289backed Diamondbacks64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012459.7%74 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Rockies45c153.33$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8468769.6%478 W · 209 L+60.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Rockies37c149.99$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.4912152.1%63 W · 58 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Rockies78c142.31$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3139160.4%236 W · 155 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4628…5ea0backed Rockies37c141.78$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.323151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ba6…09eabacked Rockies37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.148848.9%43 W · 45 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4e3…3464backed Diamondbacks55c127.27$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704847.9%23 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7fbf…2c1dbacked Diamondbacks63c126.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ac7…a2f7backed Diamondbacks63c126.98$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0022…66dabacked Diamondbacks63c120.63$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.41per pick56cpaid-73%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Diamondbacks64c111$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.042,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x479c…bcbcbacked Diamondbacks64c110$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.42962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x12ce…a6abbacked Rockies36c110$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.42839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabc7…6187backed Diamondbacks63c109.53$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc655…8467backed Diamondbacks63c108.33$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.2524351.4%125 W · 118 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x174e…6dabbacked Diamondbacks63c107.93$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+57.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked Diamondbacks28c107.86$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7121246.2%98 W · 114 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ee4…b575backed Rockies38c105.42$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.4251245.1%231 W · 281 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe913…74fbbacked Rockies37c104.78$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.012839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x70a7…672bbacked Diamondbacks63c104.76$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66825%2 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-54%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.