MLB · resolved market
Cubs vs. Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12f51b3eb8729731d6c2f8f70d3cd49f23ba0b7c1ac8266f2e0fa3486f4c2fd6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jaysof Cubs, Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $157,895
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $162,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,895 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7435…a620backed Blue Jays | 54c | 83,180$45,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,179.53 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Cubs | 47c | 25,400$11,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,938 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Cubs | 44c | 17,727$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,799.81 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Cubs | 46c | 12,427$5,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,716.63 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Cubs | 45c | 9,929$4,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,468.24 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Cubs | 46c | 8,996$4,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,183.36 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Cubs | 34c | 6,135$2,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,092.59 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cubs | 46c | 5,750$2,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,645 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Blue Jays | 53c | 5,400$2,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,531.99 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Cubs | 45c | 5,000$2,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,269.99 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…45f9backed Cubs | 47c | 2,780$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.6 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cubs | 46c | 2,695$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.33 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Blue Jays | 53c | 2,660$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.79 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cubs | 47c | 2,582$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.81 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Blue Jays | 55c | 2,109$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.09 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Cubs | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.01 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Cubs | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Cubs | 47c | 1,928$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.36 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Blue Jays | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Cubs | 45c | 1,780$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Blue Jays | 55c | 1,512$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.61 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Blue Jays | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.81 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cubs | 33c | 1,400$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.5 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Cubs | 6c | 1,122$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Cubs | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x346d…828fbacked Cubs | 8c | 1,048$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cubs | 47c | 1,011$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.13 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Cubs | 46c | 893.87$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.18 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Cubs | 24c | 850$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.21 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Cubs | 47c | 840.2$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.31 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Cubs | 47c | 800$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Cubs | 45c | 778$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.1 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Cubs | 46c | 750$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Blue Jays | 60c | 601$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.07 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Cubs | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbfd…1be9backed Cubs | 47c | 582.06$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.57 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Blue Jays | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Cubs | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Blue Jays | 54c | 540.74$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.74 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Cubs | 13c | 510$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.73 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Blue Jays | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x095a…2400backed Cubs | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Cubs | 20c | 486.95$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.19 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Cubs | 35c | 475.28$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.84 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…e2eebacked Blue Jays | 54c | 464.78$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.78 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf8…ba0dbacked Blue Jays | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Cubs | 47c | 458.77$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.62 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cubs | 16c | 454.57$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.16 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Cubs | 3c | 439.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Blue Jays | 68c | 425.11$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.3 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Blue Jays | 52c | 419.99$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Cubs | 45c | 371.6$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.22 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Blue Jays | 54c | 370$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.2 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3770…88a6backed Cubs | 28c | 355.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Blue Jays | 54c | 349.65$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.84 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Cubs | 48c | 335$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.8 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Cubs | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Cubs | 47c | 320$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Blue Jays | 64c | 318.65$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.72 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Cubs | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Blue Jays | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Cubs | 46c | 299.95$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.98 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Cubs | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Cubs | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.52 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Cubs | 46c | 218$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.28 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Cubs | 47c | 214.89$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d47…bb90backed Cubs | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62bc…7dd1backed Cubs | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Cubs | 46c | 210.33$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.75 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d1…5407backed Cubs | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…ae2bbacked Cubs | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d86…57e3backed Cubs | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ab…093bbacked Cubs | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Blue Jays | 53c | 205.81$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.81 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Cubs | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Cubs | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Blue Jays | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaade…71f1backed Blue Jays | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Blue Jays | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Cubs | 18c | 158.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03a7…2710backed Cubs | 51c | 158$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.58 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.38per pick | 49cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe102…8235backed Blue Jays | 49c | 158$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.58 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.37per pick | 51cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2348…0d55backed Blue Jays | 54c | 155.78$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.66 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8822…73e9backed Blue Jays | 48c | 152$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.04 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2955…91f4backed Cubs | 52c | 152$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.04 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.40per pick | 51cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Cubs | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb219…9f58backed Cubs | 47c | 148.49$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.79 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4354…571fbacked Blue Jays | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ac…48e8backed Cubs | 45c | 144$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e15…d76bbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 144$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Blue Jays | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…65febacked Cubs | 47c | 138.72$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.2 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cubs | 17c | 129$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…5b87backed Cubs | 43c | 120$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 129 | 24.8%32 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Cubs | 45c | 119.16$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.62 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe913…74fbbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 117.2$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.74 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…8467backed Cubs | 46c | 111$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Cubs | 46c | 110$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 182 | 49.5%90 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Cubs | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.