Fifa International · resolved market
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d96267f5f0028505640aa54538227c6cbe8bc7a8b519ada32d3a6d5f2a33d27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,143,923
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,379,089
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,143,923 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 710 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x547f…2937backed Under | 70c | 208,713$145,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,367.26 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 28c | 128,990$36,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,554.28 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 22c | 93,843$20,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,321.34 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 15c | 90,370$13,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,757.73 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x839e…0d3cbacked Under | 69c | 85,000$58,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,599.99 | 136 | 39%53 W · 83 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 12c | 68,541$8,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,051.71 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f12…8140backed Over | 32c | 48,662$15,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,612 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 9c | 43,606$4,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,116.01 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 9c | 39,549$3,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,752.24 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 72c | 38,801$27,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,891.52 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked Over | 31c | 38,800$12,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,125 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 13c | 22,557$2,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,998.05 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…77c4backed Over | 31c | 20,000$6,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,237.49 | 89 | 31.5%28 W · 61 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47d9…54b7backed Under | 79c | 17,502$13,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,627.87 | 259 | 42.1%109 W · 150 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 24c | 15,441$3,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,742.47 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Under | 71c | 14,096$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,096.49 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | +10.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 53c | 13,828$7,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,365.25 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb340…1ad1backed Under | 70c | 12,991$9,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,952.48 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…5040backed Under | 77c | 12,000$9,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,759.99 | 47 | 74.5%35 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Over | 10c | 11,735$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.59 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 24c | 11,687$2,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,791.96 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed4…e181backed Over | 32c | 10,947$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa984…36d0backed Over | 32c | 9,641$3,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060.75 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 80c | 8,664$6,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,734.68 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32f…ef80backed Under | 67c | 8,182$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,681.62 | 116 | 41.4%48 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Under | 71c | 8,176$5,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.16 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 30c | 8,130$2,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,406.35 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…c9a2backed Over | 30c | 8,000$2,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,380 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23b0…13a3backed Under | 69c | 8,000$5,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,519.98 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Over | 22c | 7,828$1,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,685.18 | 229 | 33.6%77 W · 152 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 31c | 7,317$2,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,257.96 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 10c | 7,068$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.19 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…33e1backed Under | 13c | 7,000$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,109.97 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +12.6wins | +0.25per pick | 14cpaid | +138.3%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Over | 3c | 6,692$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.75 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 69c | 6,666$4,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,041.46 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Over | 20c | 6,666$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.78 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Over | 2c | 6,405$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.85 | 469 | 39.4%185 W · 284 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 30c | 6,389$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,937.66 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 31c | 6,348$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960.22 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f14…29d1backed Over | 16c | 6,141$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.22 | 159 | 29.6%47 W · 112 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Over | 31c | 6,055$1,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,906.36 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Over | 32c | 6,000$1,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,894.98 | 484 | 41.9%203 W · 281 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Over | 24c | 5,756$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.73 | 372 | 23.4%87 W · 285 L | -25.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e7a9backed Over | 31c | 5,600$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760 | 441 | 44%194 W · 247 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Over | 9c | 5,190$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.5 | 372 | 42.5%158 W · 214 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03b8…b4aebacked Under | 79c | 5,186$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.73 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Over | 32c | 5,081$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610.95 | 471 | 44.8%211 W · 260 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd052…563dbacked Under | 69c | 5,076$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575.53 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 32c | 5,000$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 30c | 4,976$1,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,517.24 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 38c | 4,917$1,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,025.09 | 306 | 42.8%131 W · 175 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Over | 33c | 4,857$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 263 | 20.5%54 W · 209 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 76c | 4,844$3,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.51 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…9b21backed Under | 66c | 4,778$3,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,617.89 | 253 | 39.5%100 W · 153 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed Over | 4c | 4,621$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.15 | 178 | 27.5%49 W · 129 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc5…b199backed Over | 3c | 4,615$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb750…c6ebbacked Under | 20c | 4,607$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,691.8 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +8.5wins | +0.65per pick | 20cpaid | +308.8%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 78c | 4,230$3,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.82 | 199 | 46.7%93 W · 106 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 31c | 4,169$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.2 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked Over | 34c | 4,000$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.99 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77fc…0eacbacked Over | 32c | 4,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.99 | 105 | 18.1%19 W · 86 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 42c | 3,999$1,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,697.3 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 75c | 3,841$2,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.93 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Over | 1c | 3,750$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 217 | 22.1%48 W · 169 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 31c | 3,722$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.89 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 17c | 3,581$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.84 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 22c | 3,514$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.6 | 186 | 28.5%53 W · 133 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Over | 33c | 3,500$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.24 | 476 | 43.3%206 W · 270 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed Under | 67c | 3,450$2,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.13 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 29c | 3,390$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.76 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 18c | 3,368$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.49 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f8…4078backed Under | 37c | 3,297$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,078.46 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3416…adaabacked Over | 1c | 3,287$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 27.4%17 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Over | 13c | 3,152$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.44 | 451 | 45%203 W · 248 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Over | 33c | 3,060$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.3 | 474 | 42.8%203 W · 271 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…8393backed Over | 33c | 3,009$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 148 | 29.7%44 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Over | 1c | 3,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 186 | 42.5%79 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…2410backed Over | 17c | 2,941$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5564…1b0dbacked Under | 68c | 2,920$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.71 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Under | 66c | 2,798$1,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.85 | 338 | 43.5%147 W · 191 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Over | 22c | 2,711$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.1 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 51c | 2,700$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.31 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Over | 22c | 2,700$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.68 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd602…d370backed Under | 75c | 2,661$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.49 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Over | 19c | 2,562$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.06 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over | 20c | 2,530$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.17 | 425 | 41.6%177 W · 248 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…c5b9backed Under | 7c | 2,500$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,322.29 | 238 | 57.6%137 W · 101 L | +22.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 14c | 2,436$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.69 | 512 | 50.4%258 W · 254 L | +31.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 24c | 2,408$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.95 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 22c | 2,405$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.06 | 223 | 42.6%95 W · 128 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ab…cdafbacked Over | 1c | 2,400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 100 | 14%14 W · 86 L | +11.0wins | +0.11per pick | 3cpaid | +445.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc827…ff0fbacked Over | 1c | 2,400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 114 | 12.3%14 W · 100 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 3cpaid | +348.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 51c | 2,362$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.13 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6102…1913backed Over | 32c | 2,331$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.73 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Under | 4c | 2,327$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,234.29 | 494 | 41.5%205 W · 289 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Over | 46c | 2,307$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.16 | 147 | 57.8%85 W · 62 L | +16.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…4da4backed Under | 4c | 2,238$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,144.09 | 111 | 26.1%29 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0886…b3a6backed Over | 32c | 2,154$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 329 | 22.5%74 W · 255 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Over | 5c | 2,106$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.25 | 347 | 31.1%108 W · 239 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x434a…1578backed Over | 24c | 2,050$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.13 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5this page
- Portugal vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 6.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to AdvancePortugal won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Croatia (-1.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Croatia (-2.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Croatia (-3.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Portugal (-1.5)Croatia won
- Spread: Portugal (-2.5)Croatia won
- Spread: Portugal (-3.5)Croatia won
- Spread: Portugal (-5.5)Croatia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.