TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,143,923
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,379,089

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,143,923 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 710 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x547f…2937backed Under70c208,713$145,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63,367.262774.1%20 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over28c128,990$36,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,554.2877152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over22c93,843$20,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,321.344,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over15c90,370$13,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,757.733,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x839e…0d3cbacked Under69c85,000$58,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,599.9913639%53 W · 83 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over12c68,541$8,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,051.713,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f12…8140backed Over32c48,662$15,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,6124025%10 W · 30 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over9c43,606$4,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,116.011,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over9c39,549$3,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,752.244,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under72c38,801$27,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,891.528,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked Over31c38,800$12,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,12514139%55 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Over13c22,557$2,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,998.056728.4%19 W · 48 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x24c7…77c4backed Over31c20,000$6,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,237.498931.5%28 W · 61 L-9.0wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-17.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under79c17,502$13,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,627.8725942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over24c15,441$3,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,742.472,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Under71c14,096$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,096.4910457.7%60 W · 44 L+10.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over53c13,828$7,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,365.2559453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb340…1ad1backed Under70c12,991$9,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,952.483167.7%21 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8718…5040backed Under77c12,000$9,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,759.994774.5%35 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over10c11,735$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,183.592,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over24c11,687$2,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,791.964,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ed4…e181backed Over32c10,947$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5007416.2%12 W · 62 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick20cpaid+20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa984…36d0backed Over32c9,641$3,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,060.751030%3 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under80c8,664$6,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,734.6841331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf32f…ef80backed Under67c8,182$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,681.6211641.4%48 W · 68 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Under71c8,176$5,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,349.1618543.8%81 W · 104 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over30c8,130$2,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,406.351,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x332a…c9a2backed Over30c8,000$2,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3807237.5%27 W · 45 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23b0…13a3backed Under69c8,000$5,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,519.9815128.5%43 W · 108 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Over22c7,828$1,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,685.1822933.6%77 W · 152 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over31c7,317$2,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,257.962,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over10c7,068$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.191,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4b2…33e1backed Under13c7,000$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,109.975139.2%20 W · 31 L+12.6wins+0.25per pick14cpaid+138.3%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over3c6,692$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.7551514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under69c6,666$4,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,041.4631851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed Over20c6,666$1,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,364.789742.3%41 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+94.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Over2c6,405$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.8546939.4%185 W · 284 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over30c6,389$1,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,937.661,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over31c6,348$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,960.221,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f14…29d1backed Over16c6,141$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.2215929.6%47 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick30cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Over31c6,055$1,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,906.3650243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Over32c6,000$1,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,894.9848441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Over24c5,756$1,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,394.7337223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Over31c5,600$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,76044144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over9c5,190$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.537242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03b8…b4aebacked Under79c5,186$4,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.7323353.2%124 W · 109 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Over32c5,081$1,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,610.9547144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd052…563dbacked Under69c5,076$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,575.535166.7%34 W · 17 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over32c5,000$1,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,57559230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over30c4,976$1,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,517.241,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under38c4,917$1,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,025.0930642.8%131 W · 175 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Over33c4,857$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60026320.5%54 W · 209 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under76c4,844$3,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.511,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Under66c4,778$3,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,617.8925339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Over4c4,621$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.1517827.5%49 W · 129 L+0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cc5…b199backed Over3c4,615$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-51.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb750…c6ebbacked Under20c4,607$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,691.81384.6%11 W · 2 L+8.5wins+0.65per pick20cpaid+308.8%equal weight75+0.22 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under78c4,230$3,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.8219946.7%93 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over31c4,169$1,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,274.22,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked Over34c4,000$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,339.997034.3%24 W · 46 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77fc…0eacbacked Over32c4,000$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,289.9910518.1%19 W · 86 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over42c3,999$1,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,697.31,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under75c3,841$2,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.931,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Over1c3,750$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5021722.1%48 W · 169 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over31c3,722$1,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,157.891,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over17c3,581$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.841,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Over22c3,514$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.618628.5%53 W · 133 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-42.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Over33c3,500$1,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,156.2447643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e73…ac97backed Under67c3,450$2,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,147.1312647.6%60 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Over29c3,390$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.7671638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over18c3,368$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.492,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81f8…4078backed Under37c3,297$1,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,078.464944.9%22 W · 27 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+31.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3416…adaabacked Over1c3,287$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206227.4%17 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-32.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Over13c3,152$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.4445145%203 W · 248 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Over33c3,060$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.347442.8%203 W · 271 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Over33c3,009$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00014829.7%44 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Over1c3,000$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8718642.5%79 W · 107 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d19…2410backed Over17c2,941$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006538.5%25 W · 40 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5564…1b0dbacked Under68c2,920$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.715335.8%19 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Under66c2,798$1,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.8533843.5%147 W · 191 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Over22c2,711$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.135034.3%120 W · 230 L-24.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over51c2,700$1,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.311,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked Over22c2,700$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.6814250%71 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd602…d370backed Under75c2,661$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.491573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Over19c2,562$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.0653629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over20c2,530$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.1742541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Under7c2,500$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,322.2923857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over14c2,436$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.6951250.4%258 W · 254 L+31.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over24c2,408$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.951,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over22c2,405$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.0622342.6%95 W · 128 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+53.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x37ab…cdafbacked Over1c2,400$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410014%14 W · 86 L+11.0wins+0.11per pick3cpaid+445.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc827…ff0fbacked Over1c2,400$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2411412.3%14 W · 100 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick3cpaid+348.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under51c2,362$1,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,158.132,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6102…1913backed Over32c2,331$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.7311637.1%43 W · 73 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Under4c2,327$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,234.2949441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x68e1…b2fabacked Over46c2,307$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,058.1614757.8%85 W · 62 L+16.7wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+24.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2c36…4da4backed Under4c2,238$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,144.0911126.1%29 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over32c2,154$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70032922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Over5c2,106$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.2534731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x434a…1578backed Over24c2,050$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.1313035.4%46 W · 84 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.