TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$128,138
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$124,204

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,138 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x65b5…aa71backed Under77c8,365$6,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,923.8940655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under70c5,375$3,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,589.544,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over25c4,006$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.522,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over15c3,802$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.463,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4e1…34a5backed Over25c3,080$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7706633.3%22 W · 44 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over21c2,705$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.462,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Over55c2,691$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,479.9417569.1%121 W · 54 L+14.4wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over29c2,617$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.978,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over24c2,616$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.662,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under70c2,138$1,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.6282537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over31c1,936$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.462,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under76c1,926$1,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.632,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under74c1,817$1,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.962,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a8a…cb94backed Under33c1,650$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107.2918056.1%101 W · 79 L+14.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc52f…8d35backed Under18c1,600$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3122744.4%12 W · 15 L+7.8wins+0.29per pick16cpaid+153.3%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xc368…a3c4backed Over30c1,512$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.116953.3%90 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x072f…ffddbacked Under79c1,500$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3158450%42 W · 42 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0b9f…2087backed Under10c1,500$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3505318.9%10 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick9cpaid+115.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Over44c1,479$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.5541968.3%286 W · 133 L+65.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xcab9…baf6backed Under42c1,395$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.356855.9%38 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under43c1,154$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.921,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under74c1,141$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.281,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under43c1,116$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.0885550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under75c1,099$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.573,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Over24c1,042$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25028025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under76c1,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24046546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under18c860.93$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.552,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under74c818.05$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.174,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over36c806.45$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.014,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over24c775.48$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.712,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x461e…5ce2backed Over26c769.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008540%34 W · 51 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c47…fc6dbacked Under32c706.73$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.2712954.3%70 W · 59 L+14.2wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+89.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3c84…f6fcbacked Under15c700$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5926235.5%22 W · 40 L+12.3wins+0.20per pick16cpaid+119.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under70c651.56$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.561,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2014…54ecbacked Over12c623.06$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.772326.1%6 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over26c619.58$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.0910330.1%31 W · 72 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb085…7b10backed Over26c612.73$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.281540%6 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-40.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under75c605.62$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.793,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under75c592.66$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.533,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb4d…bb58backed Under76c586$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.6434751%177 W · 170 L+19.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under15c575.64$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.532,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd145…c438backed Over9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504327.9%12 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-24.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc36…d35dbacked Over25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1257945.6%36 W · 43 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdcc…7c07backed Over20c450$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905745.6%26 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under67c445.47$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.771,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed Over32c413.04$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.325251.2%129 W · 123 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over23c403.89$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.061,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3198…8b1fbacked Over26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006046.7%28 W · 32 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under73c383.72$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.292,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under36c368.6$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.832,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8202…f6a5backed Over30c367.05$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.683839.5%15 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under77c350$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.567354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd238…ee03backed Over24c326$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.241752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb30…97e8backed Over48c312.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507226.4%19 W · 53 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-37.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8527…009bbacked Over8c312.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257317.8%13 W · 60 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-49.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf676…b039backed Over19c300$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5718448.9%90 W · 94 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc63e…30e3backed Over34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005532.7%18 W · 37 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Over32c282.75$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.4869744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under73c277.46$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.321,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c31…5380backed Under76c271$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.0427744.8%124 W · 153 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b9…a8e7backed Over24c239.63$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.414658.7%27 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xffdc…f0bdbacked Over38c234.85$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-29.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2184…4c8ebacked Over54c220.67$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203959%23 W · 16 L+5.3wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+21.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x69cf…6273backed Under16c214.29$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1804027.5%11 W · 29 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick15cpaid+63.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfbe2…004dbacked Under9c206.59$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.1911114.4%16 W · 95 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick10cpaid+51.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x92bb…00c9backed Over15c200.5$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x382c…a0d7backed Over25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-43.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5297742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4c1…489fbacked Over27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508331.3%26 W · 57 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over28c182.64$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.152,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under75c180$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.21,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over40c174.96$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3858642.8%251 W · 335 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac60…4c8fbacked Under60c165.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.537358.9%43 W · 30 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb15…b613backed Over33c158.15$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.683956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x828e…c21bbacked Over35c148.36$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.698318.1%15 W · 68 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-41.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Under48c147.48$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.3345145%203 W · 248 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under12c144.66$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.71,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under48c144.29$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.6641331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd3c…fc78backed Over71c140.94$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9622560.4%136 W · 89 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c8e…cebfbacked Over26c131.15$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.15923.7%14 W · 45 L-7.7wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-42.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x682a…c87dbacked Under76c131$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.448639.5%34 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under27c131$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.251,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa734…65dbbacked Over25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307635.5%27 W · 49 L-7.5wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-25.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6025865.9%170 W · 88 L+40.1wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+54.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x786c…dd20backed Over28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010843.5%47 W · 61 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0082…c023backed Under75c100.52$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.133828.9%11 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-44%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd170…a9d9backed Over26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2619040.5%77 W · 113 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x859f…0f26backed Over25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255538.2%21 W · 34 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfecb…4c05backed Over20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208845.5%40 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa270…ecadbacked Over32c99.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3228251.4%145 W · 137 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under69c99.57$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.951,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over26c96$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9628545.3%129 W · 156 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under75c94.79$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.71,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c3…20e0backed Over23c93.87$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.317823.1%18 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-35.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7200…8557backed Over22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204650%23 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+31.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec75…8786backed Over66c89.06$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.491838.9%7 W · 11 L-5.6wins-0.31per pick70cpaid-44.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Over72c83.5$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.1227255.9%152 W · 120 L+36.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+49.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Over24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209442.6%40 W · 54 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over49c77.76$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.135658.7%209 W · 147 L+35.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Over25c74.37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5973234.6%253 W · 479 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.