TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$710,371
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$803,754

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $710,371 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under7c56,629$3,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,956.634,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb9d…92ddbacked Under0c42,105$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.26263.8%1 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under9c25,622$2,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,234.983,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Under24c18,320$4,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,332.2912248.4%59 W · 63 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under6c17,521$1,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,051.2431851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3cd6…18e4backed Under7c15,493$1,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,016.976016.7%10 W · 50 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+48.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd408…e85cbacked Under7c15,243$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,01311149.5%55 W · 56 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under6c15,000$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.491,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under9c11,881$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.3530626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under7c11,544$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.964,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under12c10,438$1,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,243.6244130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under11c9,717$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,068.8266846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed Under2c7,333$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.1119825.3%50 W · 148 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over76c7,051$5,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,684.63,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d33…458ebacked Under21c7,024$1,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,465.6330%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under6c6,957$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.3967447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under10c6,817$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.3428229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Under3c6,764$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.114325.2%36 W · 107 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under8c6,253$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.878,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe700…7005backed Under6c6,148$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.262520%5 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb209…bdafbacked Under7c5,836$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3907510.7%8 W · 67 L-7.8wins-0.10per pick21cpaid-47.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under8c5,025$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.642,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.936235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Under1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019218.8%36 W · 156 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under10c4,398$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.5744539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under1c4,354$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5421314.1%30 W · 183 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+135.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Under11c4,275$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.8331945.1%144 W · 175 L+1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8320…e302backed Under6c3,550$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.2530137.2%112 W · 189 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe538…c28bbacked Under6c3,529$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.5612224.6%30 W · 92 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-40.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under10c3,461$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.061,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f14…29d1backed Under18c3,290$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.3915929.6%47 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick30cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c87…08eebacked Under6c3,077$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002835.7%10 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+66.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under1c2,750$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8321722.1%48 W · 169 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43f6…6de6backed Under9c2,606$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.383342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under6c2,555$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.7636031.7%114 W · 246 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Under1c2,500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2523540.4%95 W · 140 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Under6c2,333$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14026534%90 W · 175 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2b4…3c5abacked Under6c2,098$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.2310815.7%17 W · 91 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under13c2,096$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.881,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under6c2,093$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.3835719.6%70 W · 287 L-13.8wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under2c2,046$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.482537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under19c2,023$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.371,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under8c1,884$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.582,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under3c1,875$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5043737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4078…eed8backed Under6c1,867$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.45250%26 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over76c1,650$1,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39675335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Under20c1,641$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33013731.4%43 W · 94 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd050…d9fdbacked Under3c1,640$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.194850%24 W · 24 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+31.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa57e…9df6backed Over79c1,620$1,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.577368.5%50 W · 23 L+12.2wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+45.6%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xd105…3613backed Under6c1,606$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002119%4 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick31cpaid-43.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x459e…7dd1backed Under6c1,598$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.861926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-29.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f42…b88fbacked Under6c1,578$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick20cpaid-84.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Under6c1,529$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.761,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Under6c1,514$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.1622029.5%65 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0056…d0ecbacked Under6c1,500$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.7516927.8%47 W · 122 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-35.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc29…383bbacked Under8c1,393$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.7924626%64 W · 182 L+1.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under9c1,284$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.482,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd66…48e4backed Under6c1,150$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6910148.5%49 W · 52 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Under17c1,111$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.0623857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xef84…6872backed Under2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201375.1%7 W · 130 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick2cpaid+94.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3642…74eabacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1013727%37 W · 100 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd016…6114backed Under6c999.98$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.52828.6%8 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-40.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x30d6…8c9dbacked Under19c989.99$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.053748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under13c909.09$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.1838437%142 W · 242 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd45f…c086backed Over78c764.33$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.335151%26 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x56cb…9550backed Under7c740.74$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508734.5%30 W · 57 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeadf…26efbacked Over79c700$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.512854.7%70 W · 58 L+5.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ed…3363backed Under7c669.83$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.544422.7%10 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-37.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under11c660.67$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.462,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under6c651$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0670244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed Under19c639.5$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.5123036.1%83 W · 147 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4f…88f0backed Under18c638.45$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.736533.8%22 W · 43 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Under16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.977731.2%24 W · 53 L-9.3wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-41.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Under11c620.26$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.1437223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc827…ff0fbacked Under4c600$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2411412.3%14 W · 100 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick3cpaid+348.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Under17c588.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under9c560$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7845248.9%221 W · 231 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under19c557.31$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.7667354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Under8c528.05$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0695037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8981…ce82backed Under6c500$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.759830.6%30 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed Under7c499.83$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2419723.4%46 W · 151 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Under22c470$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0522639.4%89 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f0c…ba73backed Under6c461.54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010224.5%25 W · 77 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Under11c459.37$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.771,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under8c451.69$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9384751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over78c414.65$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.3951250.4%258 W · 254 L+31.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe827…5209backed Under23c410$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.2511440.4%46 W · 68 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x83f6…25b6backed Under7c385.71$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2713932.4%45 W · 94 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Under6c359.74$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8522731.7%72 W · 155 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over76c342.81$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.6285550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Under6c330$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.824825.8%64 W · 184 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under8c323.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.582,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c20…41b3backed Under6c300$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1818118.2%33 W · 148 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Under7c300$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5935034.3%120 W · 230 L-24.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x28e7…98b8backed Under7c294.11$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.121010%1 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick19cpaid-82.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under6c288.62$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8568141.1%280 W · 401 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Under6c279.92$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1732837.2%122 W · 206 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked Under19c256.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015418.8%29 W · 125 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-27.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Under20c253.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020337.9%77 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40b5…6b5fbacked Under6c250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520025.5%51 W · 149 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.