TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,193
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,620

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,193 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xecaa…77a9backed Under59c2,350$1,386 inLost-$1,386.4431152.7%164 W · 147 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Over38c700$266 inWon+$43418642.5%79 W · 107 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over41c489.61$201 inWon+$288.871,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Over38c394.74$150 inWon+$244.7426047.3%123 W · 137 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3968…85b5backed Over41c244.95$100 inWon+$144.5710761.7%66 W · 41 L+20.4wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+66.4%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xa42f…b629backed Over41c244.83$100 inWon+$144.458453.6%45 W · 39 L+10.8wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+45.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3e68…fcb9backed Over41c244.83$100 inWon+$144.454761.7%29 W · 18 L+9.7wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+116.3%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x09b0…a3b6backed Over41c244.83$100 inWon+$144.4514260.6%86 W · 56 L+25.7wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+49.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xcd5e…9d93backed Over41c244.83$100 inWon+$144.455062%31 W · 19 L+10.7wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+73.1%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x5cce…4b52backed Over41c219.98$91 inWon+$128.8221938.8%85 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e18…f3b1backed Over41c209.51$85 inWon+$124.514339.5%17 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Over38c200$76 inWon+$124.0614949.7%74 W · 75 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x425e…ecfabacked Over41c195.66$80 inWon+$115.4411360.2%68 W · 45 L+22.2wins+0.20per pick41cpaid+63.7%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under59c180.86$107 inLost-$106.7153448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked Under58c129.3$75 inLost-$74.9923943.5%104 W · 135 L-11.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over38c121.75$46 inWon+$75.491,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x113f…ae4dbacked Over38c121.75$46 inWon+$75.4917448.9%85 W · 89 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Under62c121.75$75 inLost-$75.4945145%203 W · 248 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe9d1…6194backed Over41c111.11$46 inWon+$65.5520056%112 W · 88 L+12.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+21.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1882…1af4backed Over41c97.9$40 inWon+$57.765446.3%25 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3f9…b54ebacked Over41c36.02$15 inWon+$21.133076.7%23 W · 7 L+6.0wins+0.20per pick57cpaid+59.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Over43c36$15 inWon+$20.5277051.3%395 W · 375 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80fc…d9ecbacked Under61c30$18 inLost-$18.32927.6%8 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb223…3772backed Over41c26.24$11 inWon+$15.515550.3%78 W · 77 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b92…7c8fbacked Over42c23.96$10 inWon+$13.945855.2%32 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x14bc…3904backed Under68c14.89$10 inLost-$10.126637.9%25 W · 41 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+31.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.