TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score in Second Half

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,531
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$29,915

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,531 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x17cd…7423backed No70c3,091$2,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,158.136159%36 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes30c2,999$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,096.622,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked No30c2,539$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.2745145%203 W · 248 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked No73c1,336$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.3570648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed No1c1,111$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1119825.3%50 W · 148 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed No70c1,089$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.3761752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed No68c925$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6296445.3%29 W · 35 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d5b…6c2abacked No70c875$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.354763.8%30 W · 17 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes57c833.69$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.122,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes30c699$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.32,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9b2…8e7dbacked Yes30c691.27$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.3112740.9%52 W · 75 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes40c652.81$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.738,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes30c621.65$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.274,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x789f…3e7dbacked No63c500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31514745.6%67 W · 80 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x780d…d20cbacked Yes33c443.83$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.094440.9%18 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No67c393.81$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.851,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes46c362.62$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.552,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes32c300$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20422731.7%72 W · 155 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes48c275.87$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.442,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa42f…b629backed Yes39c259.92$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.738453.6%45 W · 39 L+10.8wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+45.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No69c254.07$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.3156541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd5e…9d93backed Yes43c233$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.815062%31 W · 19 L+10.7wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+73.1%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x3e68…fcb9backed Yes43c227.34$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.584761.7%29 W · 18 L+9.7wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+116.3%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No36c217.99$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.661,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked No67c204.64$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.1134249.1%168 W · 174 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked No69c198.55$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1377761%47 W · 30 L+8.1wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+30.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes46c197$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.011,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc36…d35dbacked No68c180.88$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1237945.6%36 W · 43 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked No70c171.43$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12038155.4%211 W · 170 L-0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Yes47c162$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1687237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes41c159$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.571,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f8b…4ca3backed Yes33c146.94$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.4510844.4%48 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18b6…babfbacked No69c145.28$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021240.6%86 W · 126 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No68c143.26$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.412,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1b6…e0a0backed No74c141.76$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1057448.6%36 W · 38 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked No50c136$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.6382537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41e2…3ad5backed No65c134.63$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.517834.6%27 W · 51 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf3c…1c3dbacked Yes35c134.63$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.512020%4 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e21…5fd8backed Yes32c125$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855418.5%10 W · 44 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-65%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No64c121.26$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.41,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc374…cee1backed Yes32c109.38$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.383441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdeec…99c8backed Yes32c109.38$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.3811619%22 W · 94 L0.0wins0.00per pick19cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No16c101.42$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.562,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4020…11d1backed Yes31c96.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.7715853.2%84 W · 74 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3cab…db1dbacked Yes32c90.63$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.6313339.1%52 W · 81 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes30c73.59$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.161,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked No70c65$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.282,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f30…2a54backed No68c64.93$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.151741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes36c57.73$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.871,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9b5…5e3fbacked Yes36c55.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.562744.4%12 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0082…c023backed No37c52.13$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.033828.9%11 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-44%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes49c50.53$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.642,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9991…36b8backed Yes65c48$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.819257.8%111 W · 81 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95e9…67b6backed No70c47.14$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3316344.2%72 W · 91 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes32c46.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8821525.1%54 W · 161 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c75…c91fbacked Yes27c44.44$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4410737.4%40 W · 67 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x330b…6e60backed Yes34c44.12$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1224132.8%79 W · 162 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No71c42.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.593,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes26c40.75$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.153,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes31c39.99$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.591,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed No65c38$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5777051.3%395 W · 375 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed No60c35.17$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0279149.2%389 W · 402 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No64c34.41$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.092,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Yes49c31.92$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2858642.8%251 W · 335 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x474c…16aabacked Yes32c31.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.252737%10 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-28.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8da0…5fe0backed Yes32c31.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.259336.6%34 W · 59 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9440…70f4backed Yes32c31.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.25757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+40.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c9…6410backed Yes32c31.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.252128.6%6 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick20cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No73c27.76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.272,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked No68c26$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6841551.8%215 W · 200 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed No70c25.86$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.071,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb4c…f815backed No69c24$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.563063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Yes75c23.17$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7819064.2%122 W · 68 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked No70c21.17$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8245548.6%221 W · 234 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fca…b025backed Yes70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65949.2%29 W · 30 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x80fc…d9ecbacked No68c19.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.592927.6%8 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed No68c19.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5917271.5%123 W · 49 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x635b…2bdbbacked Yes80c12.58$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.532454.2%13 W · 11 L+4.2wins+0.18per pick37cpaid+61.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.