Portugal vs. Croatia: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfcc931e77293413db307dd512d2b27c93a2c59365fedf9ff695ebbd8ede7c01

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $69,668
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $79,369

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,668 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb4d2…ce99backed No	77c	14,684$11,245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,439.27	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb748…dbddbacked Yes	16c	7,298$1,168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,167.7	53	39.6%21 W · 32 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd8e…4fd2backed Yes	24c	3,894$925 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$924.94	46	19.6%9 W · 37 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No	72c	2,637$1,896 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$741.58	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	78c	2,449$1,899 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$549.77	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f5d…80a3backed Yes	21c	1,429$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	38	65.8%25 W · 13 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	62cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	28c	1,351$377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$376.65	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Yes	29c	1,301$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$381.64	197	44.2%87 W · 110 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes	16c	1,250$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	302	20.2%61 W · 241 L	-15.6wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2f4…cddbbacked Yes	16c	1,211$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199	42	38.1%16 W · 26 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe18…3be4backed Yes	17c	1,176$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	68	41.2%28 W · 40 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a4b…03d6backed Yes	17c	1,176$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	125	45.6%57 W · 68 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6783…401abacked Yes	17c	1,176$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.99	52	50%26 W · 26 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Yes	33c	846.94$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.67	306	26.5%81 W · 225 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…ed8dbacked Yes	17c	588.24$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.09per pick	25cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09e2…2675backed Yes	17c	588.24$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-3.8wins	-0.22per pick	46cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x78f0…7bf4backed Yes	17c	588.24$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	106	46.2%49 W · 57 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a9d…30efbacked Yes	23c	572$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.56	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-31%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf83…da82backed Yes	17c	531.82$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.41	102	41.2%42 W · 60 L	+12.7wins	+0.12per pick	29cpaid	+44.4%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6cb5…3238backed No	79c	519.96$411 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.49	47	61.7%29 W · 18 L	+2.8wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Yes	41c	507.07$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.25	323	56%181 W · 142 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc49…6dcabacked Yes	21c	476.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb5…1d5bbacked Yes	44c	447.81$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.84	46	32.6%15 W · 31 L	-3.3wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes	18c	396.44$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.32	1,111	24.3%270 W · 841 L	-32.2wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf63a…90e6backed Yes	37c	377.25$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.7wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No	68c	371.05$252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.73	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d8d…35bfbacked Yes	26c	361.1$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.1	228	25.4%58 W · 170 L	-13.0wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeeae…1455backed Yes	17c	352.94$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9996…bda1backed Yes	59c	337.45$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	61	29.5%18 W · 43 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a14…c927backed Yes	21c	333.57$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.45	44	50%22 W · 22 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x987f…8737backed Yes	38c	328.83$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.71	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc351…7163backed Yes	28c	321.43$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-55.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes	16c	314.97$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.39	200	36%72 W · 128 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27f1…9793backed Yes	16c	312.5$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72ef…cd31backed Yes	5c	300$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	205	11.7%24 W · 181 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf13…3366backed Yes	17c	299.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	56	48.2%27 W · 29 L	+2.7wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8af…0550backed Yes	17c	294.12$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	356	14.3%51 W · 305 L	-14.3wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4d7…22a5backed Yes	17c	294.12$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	79	29.1%23 W · 56 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbed9…225fbacked Yes	17c	258.82$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	40	20%8 W · 32 L	-3.2wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-41%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd0c…fb1abacked Yes	16c	250$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	483	34.2%165 W · 318 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4272…4a17backed Yes	30c	240.37$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.11	62	50%31 W · 31 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81a9…6a2cbacked Yes	17c	235.29$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	87	42.5%37 W · 50 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8eb2…1993backed Yes	45c	233.26$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+106.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cf0…cad2backed Yes	22c	208.57$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	100	40%40 W · 60 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ec…dd6cbacked Yes	12c	208.33$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	28cpaid	-51.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd130…02a3backed Yes	33c	206.35$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.61	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+1.8wins	+0.10per pick	37cpaid	+42.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b4d…c525backed Yes	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	170	20%34 W · 136 L	-7.3wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6f7…27b7backed Yes	50c	199.02$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	176	38.1%67 W · 109 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d3e…061cbacked Yes	35c	191.43$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	+3.4wins	+0.11per pick	42cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1120…70adbacked Yes	26c	189.53$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.17per pick	39cpaid	-55.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bf0…ff0ebacked Yes	27c	185.19$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	+1.2wins	+0.07per pick	28cpaid	+66.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5d7…a50bbacked Yes	17c	176.47$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf011…dc57backed Yes	17c	176.47$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	41	17.1%7 W · 34 L	-4.1wins	-0.10per pick	27cpaid	-59.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdf62…0964backed Yes	17c	176.47$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	+2.0wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	+31%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x87b8…7babbacked No	77c	168.22$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.22	22	72.7%16 W · 6 L	+3.0wins	+0.13per pick	59cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe77c…f2bebacked Yes	17c	153.76$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.14	31	16.1%5 W · 26 L	-2.7wins	-0.09per pick	25cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5de3…3ad2backed Yes	41c	151.71$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.2	67	37.3%25 W · 42 L	+4.1wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb36f…53d0backed Yes	36c	149.44$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.8	72	56.9%41 W · 31 L	+5.1wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e4a…7a46backed Yes	17c	147.06$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	61	52.5%32 W · 29 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0154…30f7backed Yes	17c	147.06$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	69	65.2%45 W · 24 L	+4.8wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x43c9…6af7backed Yes	18c	145$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.25	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+43.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc00…8a82backed Yes	17c	144.59$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.58	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Yes	17c	140$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.8	308	36%111 W · 197 L	-17.3wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c05…fabfbacked No	68c	134.14$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.92	70	78.6%55 W · 15 L	+8.6wins	+0.12per pick	66cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0f20…186bbacked Yes	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	124	17.7%22 W · 102 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ad…2548backed Yes	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	44	40.9%18 W · 26 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Yes	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	293	38.2%112 W · 181 L	+9.0wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7020…d655backed Yes	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	199	39.2%78 W · 121 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fb…481cbacked Yes	17c	124.71$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.2	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.18per pick	42cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Yes	16c	118.75$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	823	40.9%337 W · 486 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1414…4047backed Yes	17c	117.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa5cf…e47fbacked Yes	17c	117.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	52	32.7%17 W · 35 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4049…4db4backed Yes	17c	117.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0459…0fcbbacked Yes	17c	117.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	267	20.6%55 W · 212 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe523…f087backed Yes	17c	117.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	67	26.9%18 W · 49 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfe8…9823backed Yes	17c	117.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-2.2wins	-0.22per pick	42cpaid	-71.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x40fb…3bd7backed Yes	17c	117.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	68	41.2%28 W · 40 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2460…5d84backed Yes	17c	117.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	24	66.7%16 W · 8 L	+2.6wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7db9…668abacked Yes	26c	115.63$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	31	25.8%8 W · 23 L	-2.7wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe219…d8afbacked Yes	29c	113.79$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	+2.0wins	+0.10per pick	32cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa491…c8b8backed Yes	26c	111.54$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No	24c	109.79$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.67	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x70cb…41c8backed Yes	17c	105.88$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	55	7.3%4 W · 51 L	-5.9wins	-0.11per pick	18cpaid	-85.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcd6e…f4dbbacked Yes	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	50	52%26 W · 24 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91e5…0947backed Yes	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	149	53.7%80 W · 69 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8103…4d0abacked Yes	30c	100$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	283	26.1%74 W · 209 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8d5…281fbacked Yes	17c	100$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked No	74c	97.8$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.74	669	32.1%215 W · 454 L	+16.8wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39e…e7c7backed Yes	27c	97.74$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.61	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xab9d…27f3backed Yes	41c	97.56$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe424…d6e3backed Yes	15c	97.03$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.55	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ff3…fa63backed Yes	21c	95.24$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6999…ae54backed Yes	29c	93.68$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.11	245	40.8%100 W · 145 L	+13.1wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x862b…745abacked Yes	26c	89.44$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.89	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf24a…45b1backed Yes	28c	89.29$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	54	37%20 W · 34 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-23%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf254…f312backed Yes	17c	88.24$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd09d…b15dbacked Yes	15c	86.67$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	165	49.1%81 W · 84 L	+7.3wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9986…1dfbbacked Yes	30c	86.67$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	35	34.3%12 W · 23 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc3…4141backed Yes	17c	82.35$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	105	29.5%31 W · 74 L	-4.8wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes	17c	80.88$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.75	514	29.4%151 W · 363 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Portugal vs. Croatia: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?this page
Portugal vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Portugal vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Portugal vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Portugal vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 2.5Under won
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5Over won
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5Over won
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5Under won
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 4.5Under won
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 5.5Under won
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 6.5Under won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal O/U 1.5Over won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal O/U 2.5Under won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to AdvancePortugal won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)Portugal won
Spread: Croatia (-2.5)Portugal won
Spread: Croatia (-3.5)Portugal won
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)Croatia won
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)Croatia won
Spread: Portugal (-3.5)Croatia won
Spread: Portugal (-5.5)Croatia won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Portugal vs. Croatia: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event