Fifa International · resolved market
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score in First Half
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf65e31b95ce5b8c4f91170cf888b9893aa3746ecab55180b7b0f34b8b4e011bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,202
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,297
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,202 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 4c | 9,628$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.8 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 20c | 3,083$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 20c | 2,556$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e17…9d3cbacked No | 79c | 1,701$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.27 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed No | 80c | 1,251$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.25 | 351 | 50.7%178 W · 173 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 316 | 11.4%36 W · 280 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8007…fb8ebacked Yes | 22c | 845.45$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed Yes | 19c | 554.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.45 | 198 | 25.3%50 W · 148 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0a…8e05backed Yes | 19c | 507.89$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 7c | 499.93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 278 | 11.9%33 W · 245 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf51a…7e42backed Yes | 21c | 471.43$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51cf…106cbacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 153 | 21.6%33 W · 120 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd68f…8d49backed Yes | 19c | 444.84$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.52 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 20c | 408.84$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.76 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 18c | 368.16$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.91 | 238 | 20.6%49 W · 189 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 12c | 353.19$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.82 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 78c | 340.09$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.82 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2014…54ecbacked Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 17c | 299.13$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.63 | 735 | 36.3%267 W · 468 L | -32.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61e7…afddbacked Yes | 19c | 281.47$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.48 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked Yes | 21c | 280$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 82 | 13.4%11 W · 71 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…7cf0backed Yes | 19c | 278.95$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f62…1239backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…8557backed Yes | 22c | 214$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.08 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x323b…df9abacked Yes | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…b59cbacked Yes | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 75c | 207.87$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db2…dacabacked Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 193 | 24.9%48 W · 145 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 18c | 191$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.38 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes | 25c | 149.8$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Yes | 23c | 144.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.26 | 872 | 37.8%330 W · 542 L | -39.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 79c | 134.98$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.34 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b20…2f94backed Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 207 | 29%60 W · 147 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 366 | 31.1%114 W · 252 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 317 | 28.1%89 W · 228 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee81…df6abacked Yes | 22c | 102.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d5…281fbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e21…5fd8backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -65%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd91e…a433backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 167 | 39.5%66 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 18c | 93.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5090…9e15backed Yes | 21c | 90.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…c701backed Yes | 22c | 85.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 215 | 25.1%54 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5362…d3fbbacked Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 20c | 65.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 74c | 61.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 650 | 36.9%240 W · 410 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbecf…0f51backed No | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 128 | 60.2%77 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 161 | 57.8%93 W · 68 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 81 | 67.9%55 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 79c | 19.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 79c | 15.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df0…1376backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score in First Halfthis page
- Portugal vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 6.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to AdvancePortugal won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Croatia (-1.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Croatia (-2.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Croatia (-3.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Portugal (-1.5)Croatia won
- Spread: Portugal (-2.5)Croatia won
- Spread: Portugal (-3.5)Croatia won
- Spread: Portugal (-5.5)Croatia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.