TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Portugal vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$94,860
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$93,763

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,860 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf164…8fa4backed Over12c28,750$3,450 inLost-$3,4502729.6%8 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+46.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over9c10,420$888 inLost-$888.133,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over11c10,000$1,100 inLost-$1,10074447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over6c5,480$354 inLost-$354.4851514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f0f…1366backed Over13c3,734$485 inLost-$485.4113043.8%57 W · 73 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Over13c1,864$242 inLost-$242.3216946.2%78 W · 91 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over11c1,728$187 inLost-$186.594,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa599…5230backed Over13c1,538$200 inLost-$20028535.8%102 W · 183 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over14c1,273$178 inLost-$17815034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37d9…5442backed Over12c1,250$150 inLost-$15031435.7%112 W · 202 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over6c1,215$70 inLost-$70.042,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over13c769.23$100 inLost-$10032922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Over13c615.38$80 inLost-$8019329%56 W · 137 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over12c473.53$56 inLost-$56.023,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe497…927fbacked Over12c393.75$47 inLost-$47.257222.2%16 W · 56 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-28.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa967…9871backed Over10c300$30 inLost-$306639.4%26 W · 40 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44e6…e00abacked Over12c269.28$33 inLost-$32.87147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick14cpaid-60.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bed…d03cbacked Over13c265.25$36 inLost-$35.5760%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x660e…0e69backed Over13c207.69$27 inLost-$273129%9 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb349…d14bbacked Over12c200$24 inLost-$2427637.7%104 W · 172 L+15.3wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked Over12c125$15 inLost-$1536631.1%114 W · 252 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+34.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe80f…3354backed Over12c125$15 inLost-$1531728.1%89 W · 228 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over12c105.79$13 inLost-$12.681,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.