TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,537,363
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,635,077

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,537,363 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 626 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Under33c120,707$39,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,417.561,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over68c100,000$68,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,00074752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b89…4244backed Under32c96,601$30,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,912.3217550.3%88 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over70c74,684$52,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,183.688,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under37c73,697$27,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,521.464,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d6d…2654backed Over52c61,665$32,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,664.532657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Under49c51,343$25,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,129.5513543%58 W · 77 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under25c44,258$11,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,065.713,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under49c37,926$18,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,709.8142345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over79c29,896$23,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,311.12,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over76c28,660$21,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,832.112,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Under21c26,721$5,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,537.7833538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7a4…e371backed Over51c21,000$10,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,2904235.7%15 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Over78c20,777$16,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,637.1366846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe159…d987backed Under24c20,000$4,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,760.881346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick31cpaid+60.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over51c17,997$9,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,837.2277152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Over77c17,961$13,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,085.9534731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under22c16,762$3,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,643.0444539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55f5…e2a0backed Over79c14,129$11,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,963.934870.8%34 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under21c12,500$2,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,593.7574447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over49c10,154$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,153.9831644.9%142 W · 174 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Under49c10,000$4,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9251942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid+21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over54c8,925$4,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,10124533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under21c8,888$1,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,877.5731851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under29c8,723$2,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,554.41,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Under29c8,335$2,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,457.0835034.3%120 W · 230 L-24.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Under19c7,990$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,490.2323857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under20c7,562$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,540.081,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed Under0c7,500$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7519825.3%50 W · 148 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under29c7,167$2,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,107.331,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0079…1139backed Over76c6,579$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,578.953855.3%21 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Under23c6,196$1,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,406.0375335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under24c6,137$1,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,452.023,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over51c6,000$3,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,92559230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18f3…b4e9backed Over55c6,000$3,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,692.471464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked Under23c5,840$1,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,341.7114250%71 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under15c5,737$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.132,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under21c5,562$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.9647144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6801…b0ddbacked Under9c5,477$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50040%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc96e…f1f9backed Under21c5,140$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.48048.8%39 W · 41 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+27.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa704…11c1backed Over79c5,047$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.328672.1%62 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under20c5,028$1,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.1770244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Under20c5,012$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.4820724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cd6…18e4backed Under21c5,001$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.126016.7%10 W · 50 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+48.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23b0…13a3backed Under24c5,000$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,18015128.5%43 W · 108 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over79c4,743$3,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.2328258.2%164 W · 118 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Over78c4,704$3,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,041.4317827.5%49 W · 129 L+0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over79c4,671$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.2236539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over66c4,513$2,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,536.311,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under23c4,500$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.530626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over49c4,500$2,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,294.9611042.7%47 W · 63 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Under22c4,169$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.595037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Under11c4,167$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.0327931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0e1…b9b4backed Under24c4,105$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.657146.5%33 W · 38 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under21c4,079$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.61,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Over51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,96026445.1%119 W · 145 L+17.5wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x46cd…6b95backed Under19c3,904$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.4113542.2%57 W · 78 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x227c…9133backed Over78c3,846$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.153154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Under21c3,708$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.4444144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over73c3,602$2,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.722,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6102…1913backed Under22c3,473$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.9411637.1%43 W · 73 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26f1…6d2fbacked Over79c3,345$2,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.297342.5%31 W · 42 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under32c3,323$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,064.762,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over74c3,323$2,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.314,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under24c3,133$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.2537650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under22c3,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66050243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under21c3,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63048441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Under13c2,929$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.2821946.1%101 W · 118 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over77c2,834$2,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.6325865.9%170 W · 88 L+40.1wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+54.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xd8a5…26a1backed Under26c2,805$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.451145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f14…29d1backed Under16c2,740$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.5715929.6%47 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick30cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc82f…66a7backed Over79c2,700$2,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.533235.5%118 W · 214 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Under22c2,679$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.0534533.6%116 W · 229 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under29c2,635$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.614,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over51c2,623$1,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,285.2529138.8%113 W · 178 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under24c2,593$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.5943737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe700…7005backed Under21c2,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5252520%5 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over50c2,100$1,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.2535036.3%127 W · 223 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under21c1,951$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.7567447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3642…74eabacked Under18c1,944$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35013727%37 W · 100 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Over80c1,875$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37517569.1%121 W · 54 L+14.4wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5a61…5781backed Over55c1,790$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.451060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over76c1,712$1,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.661,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0f…9f36backed Over80c1,691$1,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.13977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+44.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Under26c1,657$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.7411952.9%63 W · 56 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3171…b991backed Over79c1,651$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.496556.9%37 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under20c1,610$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.91,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under44c1,608$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.8919744.2%87 W · 110 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under20c1,570$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.9636031.7%114 W · 246 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07e2…4b9cbacked Under15c1,558$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.6918929.1%55 W · 134 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ef4…f90abacked Over51c1,555$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.847930.4%24 W · 55 L-9.0wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-35.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over77c1,541$1,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.6828964.4%186 W · 103 L+42.6wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+44.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Over79c1,500$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.518644.6%83 W · 103 L+0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under22c1,492$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.8836235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a8c…ba13backed Under21c1,474$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.584854.2%26 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53c0…08e9backed Over69c1,459$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.014245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over77c1,455$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.5135658.7%209 W · 147 L+35.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Over45c1,447$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.8626447.7%126 W · 138 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc387…5a97backed Under21c1,429$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010356.3%58 W · 45 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd20b…3a20backed Over77c1,425$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.8912663.5%80 W · 46 L+8.9wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.