TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$304,177
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$318,347

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $304,177 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 277 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over57c90,979$51,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,172.6823942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under46c71,182$32,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,941.14,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under0c15,516$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.922,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1617…d790backed Under0c14,000$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1424843.1%107 W · 141 L-0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over48c11,431$5,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,973.132,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under42c9,747$4,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,076.2974447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under43c8,979$3,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,874.222,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over48c7,521$3,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,877.142,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under53c6,449$3,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,418.534,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under43c5,379$2,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,318.671,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over57c5,287$3,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,259.232,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under43c4,559$1,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,963.983,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under43c4,495$1,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,945.51,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under50c4,274$2,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,145.723,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x158d…9c64backed Over53c3,801$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,801.513454.5%73 W · 61 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under47c3,471$1,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,641.932,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Over33c2,917$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,948.6477433.1%256 W · 518 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under43c2,719$1,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,162.851,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Over30c2,689$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,869.136728.4%19 W · 48 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over53c2,414$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.428,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under43c2,405$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.352,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6aa…01f0backed Over58c2,233$1,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.06450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Over57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86035446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x819b…d996backed Over53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.7914546.9%68 W · 77 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed Over56c1,880$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.4819750.3%99 W · 98 L-1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5415…f764backed Over35c1,443$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.449428.7%27 W · 67 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6859…fb90backed Over56c1,374$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.3917650%88 W · 88 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under44c1,250$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.53,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under44c1,250$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.453,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under49c1,150$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.074,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20f…6ccebacked Over58c1,034$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.4818435.3%65 W · 119 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Under44c1,034$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.0324950.2%125 W · 124 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under43c1,024$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.21,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under43c1,000$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4251,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43046546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1056…3c9dbacked Over52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48045445.4%206 W · 248 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked Over38c1,000$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62519823.7%47 W · 151 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under42c999.97$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.991,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under42c952.37$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40067447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over58c862.07$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.0730465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c87…08eebacked Under45c831.11$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3742835.7%10 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+66.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce91…21a4backed Under55c769.17$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.6540%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under46c750$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34540736.6%149 W · 258 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Under56c699.63$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.7918642.5%79 W · 107 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37d9…5442backed Over58c689.66$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.6631435.7%112 W · 202 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc096…9e8dbacked Over58c689.66$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.6611335.4%40 W · 73 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+42.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bcf…c767backed Under51c612.78$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.5211552.2%60 W · 55 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under45c537.78$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24228025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c5b…a736backed Over37c533.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.5131941.4%132 W · 187 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x66a2…d3fcbacked Over58c520.16$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.471323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-59.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under43c518.58$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.491,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Under44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22045038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e34…63f7backed Under48c500$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.9528164.1%180 W · 101 L+16.0wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xed13…6382backed Over57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2154148.8%20 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5669…0f13backed Over40c499.57$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.748140.7%33 W · 48 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xccca…4c02backed Over58c477.86$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.72948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8583…3f3cbacked Over56c461.41$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.028652.3%45 W · 41 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under50c457.22$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.711,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa678…bc50backed Over56c441.96$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.466749.3%33 W · 34 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+52.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under43c440.56$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.461,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb4d…bb58backed Over58c437$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.5434751%177 W · 170 L+19.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9249…01f8backed Over58c431.03$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.036650%33 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under44c430.48$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.653,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under62c426.22$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.032,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x20dd…f6acbacked Under45c416.8$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.564233.3%14 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe620…03acbacked Over58c405.1$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.1417045.9%78 W · 92 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf676…b039backed Over38c400$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24818448.9%90 W · 94 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd602…d370backed Under76c396.63$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Over34c393.94$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26010832.4%35 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under67c392.37$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.472,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under59c387.76$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.322,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked Over34c378.49$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.818742.8%80 W · 107 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ce…fa8dbacked Over56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1423554.9%129 W · 106 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Over30c347.64$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24310535.2%37 W · 68 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.8337955.7%211 W · 168 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe98c…91a9backed Over58c341.38$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.382454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under17c338.38$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.91,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under7c334.63$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.391,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b9a…12a5backed Under73c333$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.097558.7%44 W · 31 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+76.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Under45c329.88$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15013729.9%41 W · 96 L-12.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under44c300$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1311,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Over34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.1248526.8%130 W · 355 L+0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9996…bda1backed Over34c293.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.936129.5%18 W · 43 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Over58c293.1$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.135848.6%174 W · 184 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a18…99c9backed Under45c288.89$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1306445.3%29 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under48c277.76$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.531,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc36…d35dbacked Over57c272.78$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.297945.6%36 W · 43 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Over56c267.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.8623736.3%86 W · 151 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over33c264.87$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.511,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60f1…dc7cbacked Over56c260$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.418441.8%77 W · 107 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x597b…9ea8backed Over24c256.33$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.814839.6%19 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+1.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a49…a53bbacked Over57c250$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.510149.5%50 W · 51 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdcc…7c07backed Over40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1505745.6%26 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4b4…37d2backed Over58c241.38$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.383540%14 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x407c…4ba3backed Under43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015947.2%75 W · 84 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefa6…ae45backed Under44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x682a…c87dbacked Under45c222$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.98639.5%34 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb54…d452backed Under45c221.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8220851%106 W · 102 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b6b…584cbacked Over50c221.16$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.161275%9 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a14…c927backed Over56c220.07$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.834450%22 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.