TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Yandexof BetBoom Team, Team Yandex
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$466,050

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $466,050 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 372 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x66fb…9f72backed BetBoom Team45c109,606$49,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,00054556.5%308 W · 237 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Team Yandex49c52,398$25,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,665.7428748.8%140 W · 147 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Team Yandex51c30,000$15,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,699.92580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+53.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Team Yandex73c22,222$16,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,999.9212560%75 W · 50 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Team Yandex49c19,270$9,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,827.216147.2%76 W · 85 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Yandex39c10,545$4,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,464.852,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Team Yandex53c10,435$5,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,904.5318452.2%96 W · 88 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked BetBoom Team46c10,207$4,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,695.1855157%314 W · 237 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed Team Yandex51c10,003$5,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,901.4727645.3%125 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c23…f642backed BetBoom Team50c10,000$4,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,971.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked BetBoom Team21c9,620$1,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,973.21,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd81…5f12backed BetBoom Team69c7,052$4,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,868.28540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf393…9b65backed Team Yandex50c5,696$2,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,854.557650%38 W · 38 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e85…3015backed BetBoom Team51c5,100$2,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6013450%17 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed BetBoom Team49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,449.998242.7%35 W · 47 L-8.2wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-22.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2698…0958backed BetBoom Team47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,349.9913441.8%56 W · 78 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Team Yandex54c4,630$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,129.6320367%136 W · 67 L+14.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd7cf…a603backed BetBoom Team49c4,615$2,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,271.556349.2%31 W · 32 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb187…bbe1backed Team Yandex50c4,589$2,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,294.551546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36d9…c3cabacked Team Yandex72c4,509$3,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,253.6844149.4%218 W · 223 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ebb…00febacked Team Yandex49c4,130$2,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,086.32572%18 W · 7 L+5.6wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+38.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb517…434bbacked BetBoom Team50c3,987$1,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,993.2722842.1%96 W · 132 L-25.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked BetBoom Team48c3,854$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,849.84156.1%23 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x085e…9aeabacked BetBoom Team50c3,681$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,840.449650%48 W · 48 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked BetBoom Team50c3,540$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,769.891735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed BetBoom Team25c3,443$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.97449.1%4 W · 40 L-0.1wins0.00per pick9cpaid-81.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa526…c9f9backed BetBoom Team53c3,422$1,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,828.571855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed BetBoom Team50c3,181$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.891844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed BetBoom Team50c3,003$1,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,501.58749.4%43 W · 44 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Yandex57c3,000$1,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,28089440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x249f…fed3backed Team Yandex51c2,430$1,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,190.7462650.5%316 W · 310 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa8…c667backed Team Yandex48c2,363$1,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,218.18728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x115f…e217backed BetBoom Team50c2,278$1,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.195747.4%27 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked BetBoom Team9c2,200$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19822954.1%124 W · 105 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x538e…c195backed BetBoom Team52c2,152$1,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.2812966.7%86 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Yandex50c2,026$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.8160542.6%258 W · 347 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dc5…d1a4backed BetBoom Team51c2,003$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.369045.6%41 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22fd…184dbacked BetBoom Team50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Team Yandex50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00011557.4%66 W · 49 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51c7…98aabacked Team Yandex52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.0829160.1%175 W · 116 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc30d…d4a7backed BetBoom Team53c1,874$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.39475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+64%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a46…32f9backed Team Yandex37c1,808$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.03560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+65.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8894…085cbacked BetBoom Team49c1,800$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.51338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team Yandex51c1,800$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.9634544.3%153 W · 192 L-15.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f5…c074backed BetBoom Team32c1,748$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.7757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+77.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d2a…9ee3backed BetBoom Team47c1,732$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.642972.4%21 W · 8 L+5.3wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+40.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8aca…fc47backed BetBoom Team63c1,726$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.38450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9780…bbefbacked Team Yandex54c1,667$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.671450%7 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Team Yandex51c1,636$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.2520156.7%114 W · 87 L+0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked BetBoom Team51c1,580$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80048539.2%190 W · 295 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked BetBoom Team49c1,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73539936.8%147 W · 252 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed BetBoom Team49c1,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73581029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Team Yandex58c1,499$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.7171142.6%303 W · 408 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x515c…fd9abacked BetBoom Team57c1,489$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.15933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Team Yandex50c1,440$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7204658.7%27 W · 19 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe491…ccd1backed Team Yandex74c1,370$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.852650%13 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x469f…3d4fbacked BetBoom Team41c1,343$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55023546.8%110 W · 125 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1d3…b8debacked BetBoom Team31c1,301$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.7869552.2%363 W · 332 L+45.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Yandex57c1,300$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.5877258.5%452 W · 320 L+74.8wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x86e0…c394backed Team Yandex58c1,300$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.9580742.6%344 W · 463 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Yandex75c1,255$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.751,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed BetBoom Team42c1,252$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.067955.7%44 W · 35 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dde…cff5backed Team Yandex50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.833644%148 W · 188 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed BetBoom Team23c1,128$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.961,11336.2%403 W · 710 L-37.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d03…9a41backed BetBoom Team40c1,100$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44023050.9%117 W · 113 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73c9…df64backed BetBoom Team47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-35.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked BetBoom Team9c1,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9064123.4%150 W · 491 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Team Yandex54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.3142145.4%191 W · 230 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed BetBoom Team51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016641.6%69 W · 97 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7353…b476backed BetBoom Team51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010645.3%48 W · 58 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb110…21eabacked BetBoom Team51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007550.7%38 W · 37 L-7.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a8c…f872backed Team Yandex53c943.87$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.878164.2%52 W · 29 L+7.0wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Team Yandex76c937.34$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.631,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked BetBoom Team51c925.96$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4724533.3%15 W · 30 L-5.9wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-33%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x78a2…d0a5backed Team Yandex51c912.04$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.98845.5%40 W · 48 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x20b2…f114backed Team Yandex61c911.29$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.7115131.8%48 W · 103 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae9e…41f2backed BetBoom Team28c882.14$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2454141.5%17 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd12d…f0dbbacked Team Yandex57c880.94$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.9414956.4%84 W · 65 L+0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed BetBoom Team8c863$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.479145.1%41 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd73e…bb87backed BetBoom Team49c851.41$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.197252.8%38 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed Team Yandex51c830.41$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.957355.5%318 W · 255 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed BetBoom Team27c800$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2161,24744.4%554 W · 693 L+17.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Yandex43c790.2$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.351751.3%265 W · 252 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x682c…ef07backed Team Yandex51c784.31$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.319946.5%46 W · 53 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x730e…fca0backed BetBoom Team26c750.3$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.2320535.1%72 W · 133 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Team Yandex71c739.73$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.5255751.7%288 W · 269 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf219…47e9backed BetBoom Team31c736.73$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.732864.3%18 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+5.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfadf…dda0backed BetBoom Team52c704.65$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.4229245.9%134 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb963…3fa0backed BetBoom Team50c700$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3506150.8%31 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5061…1b03backed BetBoom Team49c690$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.12352.2%12 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BetBoom Team34c615.81$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.742,36747.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L+17.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed BetBoom Team51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30620642.2%87 W · 119 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf41…bfd4backed BetBoom Team27c600$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1621758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xecaa…a779backed Team Yandex50c599.99$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3022060%12 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b56…ee03backed Team Yandex39c588$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.68450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eb3…4d75backed BetBoom Team49c581.9$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.1311653.4%62 W · 54 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d1c…1a43backed BetBoom Team60c581$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed BetBoom Team19c563.29$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.314050%20 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Team Yandex49c555.97$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.2122727.3%62 W · 165 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc3e…6774backed BetBoom Team51c554.99$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2853336.4%12 W · 21 L-5.3wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-40%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.