TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Team Yandexof Team Yandex, BetBoom Team
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,347

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,347 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 8 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa02b…70d6backed BetBoom Team21c1,319$282 inLost-$282.132147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+62.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe92e…535dbacked BetBoom Team79c1,266$1,000 inLost-$1,0003855.3%21 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Yandex21c907.36$191 inWon+$716.812,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Team Yandex29c312.99$91 inWon+$222.2223746.8%111 W · 126 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62e4…e326backed Team Yandex49c236.58$116 inWon+$120.462100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04a1…d6e6backed BetBoom Team60c130$78 inLost-$782254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8897…149bbacked BetBoom Team73c90$66 inLost-$65.651442.9%6 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.22per pick65cpaid-31.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked BetBoom Team71c51.96$37 inLost-$36.891650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.