TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8897…149b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
40
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 52 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.22per pick65cpaid-31.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$29.99
Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.65
Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Tundra Esports (+1.5)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.82
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Dota 2: Team Shpilit vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.6
Dota 2: Team Shpilit vs Team Lynx (BO3) - CCT Group Bbacked Team Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$14.97
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+75.1%+$15.03
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$197.36
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.32
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Knicksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$13.58
Nuggets vs. Lakers: O/U 244.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$32.31
Spread: Heat (-3.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Magic vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Magic vs. Heat: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.11
Hornets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$12.13
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+50.3%+$10.92
Pelicans vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.06
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+56.6%+$14.14
Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.74
Suns vs. Pacersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$10.51
Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.67
All 13 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.2
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+38%+$13.3
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$132
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$95.36
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$61.27
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.27
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+68.3%+$23.91
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5)backed UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$17.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will West Ham United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$68.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+64.2%+$10.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will I Lied to You - Sinners win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.61
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.