TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
UCLA Bruinsof Purdue Boilermakers, UCLA Bruins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$129,365

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,365 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xabb8…bba3backed Purdue Boilermakers52c117,761$60,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60,891.7924351.4%125 W · 118 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed UCLA Bruins50c55,550$27,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,77517742.9%76 W · 101 L+0.8wins0.00per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked UCLA Bruins46c31,713$14,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,192.9890645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed UCLA Bruins48c7,649$3,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,977.312,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed UCLA Bruins51c3,997$2,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,958.761,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked UCLA Bruins43c3,698$1,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,090.084,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked UCLA Bruins47c2,376$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.1846246.5%215 W · 247 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed UCLA Bruins50c2,052$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.931,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked UCLA Bruins51c1,500$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73527947.3%132 W · 147 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1da3…2f94backed UCLA Bruins52c1,430$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.262171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+30.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked UCLA Bruins43c1,333$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.3312,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked UCLA Bruins45c1,093$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.021,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed UCLA Bruins50c1,023$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.393,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed UCLA Bruins40c585.38$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.421,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed UCLA Bruins52c552.83$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.3610543.8%46 W · 59 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed UCLA Bruins48c505.96$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.114728.6%42 W · 105 L-0.7wins0.00per pick29cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a61…1787backed UCLA Bruins52c384.41$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.1616445.1%74 W · 90 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked UCLA Bruins47c363.77$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.85,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a80…49bfbacked UCLA Bruins51c244.99$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.052441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed UCLA Bruins48c237.49$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.4964647.5%307 W · 339 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked UCLA Bruins43c230.56$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.421844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked UCLA Bruins48c206.51$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.395234.6%18 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb68b…9b23backed UCLA Bruins50c203$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.52969%20 W · 9 L+6.1wins+0.21per pick48cpaid+46.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xec14…7fafbacked UCLA Bruins50c198.25$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.134837.5%18 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Purdue Boilermakers50c198.25$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1333855%186 W · 152 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed UCLA Bruins51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0882846.1%382 W · 446 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed UCLA Bruins52c190.63$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.52330.4%7 W · 16 L-6.1wins-0.26per pick57cpaid-46.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed UCLA Bruins51c186.65$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.9660954.5%332 W · 277 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x50ed…cbbebacked UCLA Bruins56c175.97$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.831435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-42.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x63ed…92bebacked Purdue Boilermakers54c151.38$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.511637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed UCLA Bruins43c146.18$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.824951.8%129 W · 120 L+19.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed UCLA Bruins48c133.82$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.5972248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc7e…06a2backed UCLA Bruins51c97.18$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.622128.6%6 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick22cpaid-25.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Purdue Boilermakers55c93.93$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5335338.5%136 W · 217 L-18.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f34…94d0backed Purdue Boilermakers50c79.3$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6511654.3%63 W · 53 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x584c…0da9backed UCLA Bruins53c59$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.733560%21 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+19.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f4e…5e06backed UCLA Bruins51c58.31$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.57771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+41.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed UCLA Bruins49c55.06$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.085444.4%24 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed UCLA Bruins50c53.53$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7610045%45 W · 55 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd454…b47fbacked UCLA Bruins50c51.4$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.721850.9%111 W · 107 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4855…6a41backed Purdue Boilermakers49c50.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7832652.8%172 W · 154 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed UCLA Bruins54c42.32$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.476963.8%44 W · 25 L+10.0wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+32.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7795…1db8backed UCLA Bruins50c39.65$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.836357.1%36 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…a219backed UCLA Bruins53c37.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.587542.7%32 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x804c…7846backed Purdue Boilermakers53c37.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.834032.5%13 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked UCLA Bruins48c36.08$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7230652%159 W · 147 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8897…149bbacked UCLA Bruins47c33.75$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Purdue Boilermakers47c33.74$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.862,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe164…acfebacked UCLA Bruins50c32.35$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.183161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x62ff…ec56backed UCLA Bruins50c27.77$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.895743.9%25 W · 32 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d7d…b015backed Purdue Boilermakers47c22.66$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.651723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.20per pick43cpaid-55.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.