NBA · resolved market
Spread: Heat (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd282ab4a31a34203b251dde259067c0842647d623aef0915028c74c3cef6009f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Heat, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $171,053
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,053 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Heat | 54c | 54,168$29,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,008.59 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Heat | 54c | 35,000$18,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,899.98 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Magic | 46c | 25,176$11,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,576.08 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Magic | 47c | 22,491$10,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,920.23 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07d8…9f3fbacked Magic | 46c | 15,217$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,217.39 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Heat | 53c | 9,404$4,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,962.95 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 71c | 8,160$5,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,333.63 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Magic | 48c | 6,280$3,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,265.56 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Magic | 46c | 6,217$2,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,357.39 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Heat | 53c | 6,008$3,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,184.44 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1c…4694backed Magic | 46c | 5,435$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,934.77 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Magic | 46c | 4,907$2,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.52 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Heat | 52c | 4,314$2,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,243.21 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Heat | 52c | 4,159$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Magic | 46c | 3,463$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,874.6 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Magic | 47c | 2,920$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.6 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 47c | 2,860$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.01 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Heat | 52c | 2,846$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.76 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Magic | 46c | 2,609$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.7 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Magic | 48c | 2,578$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.97 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Magic | 46c | 2,453$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.76 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Heat | 52c | 2,323$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.96 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fcb…9fcdbacked Magic | 50c | 2,260$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Magic | 47c | 2,200$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.81 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Magic | 62c | 2,196$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.54 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Magic | 46c | 2,170$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.57 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Magic | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Heat | 53c | 2,000$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.93 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3118…d244backed Heat | 50c | 1,972$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46b6…c5f9backed Heat | 50c | 1,790$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Magic | 48c | 1,683$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.11 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Heat | 38c | 1,676$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.05 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabcd…43ffbacked Heat | 50c | 1,478$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…1aa9backed Heat | 51c | 1,473$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.23 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Magic | 48c | 1,438$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.62 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x178b…ea4bbacked Heat | 50c | 1,346$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Magic | 49c | 1,300$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Heat | 31c | 1,240$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.28 | 182 | 35.7%65 W · 117 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Heat | 52c | 1,219$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.05 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…87b6backed Magic | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Heat | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf61a…dd23backed Magic | 50c | 1,150$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.3 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4e…baa9backed Heat | 50c | 1,106$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16d8…2a72backed Magic | 50c | 1,106$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…5a70backed Magic | 50c | 1,014$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Magic | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Magic | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked Heat | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Magic | 48c | 919.45$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc1…63b3backed Magic | 50c | 910$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Heat | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7169…0d7dbacked Magic | 50c | 691$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d3…2996backed Magic | 50c | 668$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…cf85backed Magic | 45c | 666.66$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.66 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…b1c7backed Magic | 50c | 654$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…c497backed Magic | 50c | 636$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0869…325ebacked Magic | 50c | 627$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Magic | 49c | 619.99$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.2 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Heat | 54c | 602.27$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.23 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91f7…4767backed Magic | 46c | 595.67$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.66 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Heat | 54c | 555$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.7 | 235 | 53.6%126 W · 109 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Magic | 50c | 468$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e9…fd22backed Heat | 50c | 446$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe89a…6552backed Heat | 50c | 428$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Magic | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x640e…f2d4backed Heat | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Heat | 49c | 391.12$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.65 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Magic | 48c | 324.52$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Magic | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Magic | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Magic | 51c | 263.78$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.25 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9325…adafbacked Heat | 54c | 261.11$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Heat | 54c | 233.49$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.96 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4923…6866backed Heat | 54c | 230$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Magic | 47c | 219.45$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.31 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -11.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d38…71efbacked Heat | 55c | 219.18$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Magic | 48c | 208$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.16 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Heat | 54c | 204.54$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.45 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Magic | 46c | 202$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.08 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Heat | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Heat | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb090…28d1backed Magic | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.8 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…22b8backed Magic | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…de1ebacked Magic | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Magic | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 381 | 52.8%201 W · 180 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…6e63backed Magic | 50c | 183.83$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.63 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Magic | 48c | 181.09$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.17 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Heat | 53c | 176.14$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.35 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Magic | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.21 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Magic | 47c | 152.33$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.74 | 215 | 46.5%100 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Magic | 46c | 152.17$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.17 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Magic | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Heat | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Magic | 48c | 149.17$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.57 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfedd…32c4backed Magic | 47c | 121.28$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.28 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Magic | 49c | 118.8$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.59 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf219…76bbbacked Magic | 50c | 114$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Heat | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…53d7backed Magic | 51c | 110$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x289e…4df8backed Magic | 51c | 110$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Heat (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Heat (-1.5)Magic won
- 1H Spread: Heat (-2.5)Magic won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jett Howard: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Jevon Carter: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Magic vs. HeatMagic won
- Magic vs. Heat: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Magic vs. Heat: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Magic vs. Heat: O/U 234.5Over won
- Magic vs. Heat: O/U 235.5Over won
- Magic vs. Heat: O/U 236.5Over won
- Magic vs. Heat: O/U 237.5Over won
- Norman Powell: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Heat (-2.5)Magic won
- Spread: Heat (-4.5)Magic won
- Tristan da Silva: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Tyler Herro: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.