NBA · resolved market

Spread: Heat (-4.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38c63f01ef52eec70ef3fbff8623ad60f55dfb90a0c29892ae16dd3c98307fdc

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Magicof Heat, Magic
Resolved: Mar 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $580,508

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $580,508 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Heat	48c	195,032$94,485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94,485.23	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Magic	52c	170,000$88,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81,599.91	603	51.4%310 W · 293 L	+16.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Heat	49c	107,000$52,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52,120	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Magic	52c	64,298$33,435 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30,862.85	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e4a…311cbacked Heat	48c	50,931$24,447 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,447.04	114	43.9%50 W · 64 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Magic	52c	50,753$26,391 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,361.36	231	47.6%110 W · 121 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Heat	48c	42,000$20,160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,159.99	404	46.8%189 W · 215 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Heat	48c	32,033$15,364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,364.21	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Magic	52c	30,531$15,876 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,654.78	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Magic	50c	20,015$10,008 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,007.5	316	43.4%137 W · 179 L	-18.0wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Heat	48c	15,897$7,660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,659.69	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Magic	52c	15,385$8,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,384.62	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Magic	50c	13,276$6,638 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,638.16	387	50.4%195 W · 192 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Magic	52c	10,172$5,290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,882.63	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Magic	52c	8,464$4,401 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,062.72	274	55.5%152 W · 122 L	+15.2wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Heat	48c	8,185$3,929 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,929	209	48.8%102 W · 107 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Magic	74c	8,026$5,931 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,095.43	209	63.2%132 W · 77 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Magic	51c	7,185$3,664 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,520.65	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Magic	51c	6,920$3,510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,409.17	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Magic	50c	6,260$3,156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,103.7	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Magic	50c	6,000$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,000	389	46%179 W · 210 L	-13.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe33f…eed7backed Magic	50c	5,706$2,853 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,853	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31c5…ede4backed Magic	51c	5,286$2,695 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,591.35	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Magic	50c	5,014$2,507 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,507	485	46.4%225 W · 260 L	-14.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Heat	48c	5,000$2,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,400	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Heat	9c	4,455$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.84	263	37.3%98 W · 165 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Magic	63c	4,030$2,542 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,487.98	487	51.7%252 W · 235 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Magic	50c	3,807$1,904 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,903.5	702	46.4%326 W · 376 L	-20.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Heat	48c	3,800$1,824 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,824	357	44.3%158 W · 199 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Heat	48c	3,616$1,748 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,747.74	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde79…2a1bbacked Magic	51c	3,531$1,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,730.6	173	49.7%86 W · 87 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Magic	52c	2,893$1,504 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,388.63	178	50%89 W · 89 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Magic	51c	2,693$1,374 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,319.73	321	50.8%163 W · 158 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Magic	50c	2,667$1,333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,333.3	194	45.4%88 W · 106 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Magic	50c	2,667$1,333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,333.3	304	46.7%142 W · 162 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Magic	50c	2,405$1,193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,211.29	382	51%195 W · 187 L	+8.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Magic	53c	2,334$1,232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,101.83	419	47.7%200 W · 219 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Magic	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	166	40.4%67 W · 99 L	-14.6wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed Heat	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	108	47.2%51 W · 57 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Heat	48c	1,959$940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$940.32	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Heat	48c	1,926$924 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$924.48	348	51.7%180 W · 168 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Magic	52c	1,900$996 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$904	251	55%138 W · 113 L	+9.4wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Heat	50c	1,779$889 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$889.41	173	48.6%84 W · 89 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Heat	21c	1,745$367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$366.55	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Heat	19c	1,703$316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$316.18	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Heat	49c	1,669$816 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$816.33	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Magic	53c	1,661$873 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$787.85	304	53.3%162 W · 142 L	+8.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Heat	50c	1,500$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	224	47.8%107 W · 117 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed Magic	50c	1,315$658 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$657.35	169	53.3%90 W · 79 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd36…6ec9backed Heat	49c	1,200$588 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$588.03	50	44%22 W · 28 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-18%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Magic	51c	1,152$587 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$564.25	259	51.4%133 W · 126 L	+3.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Magic	52c	1,130$585 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$545	824	42.2%348 W · 476 L	-3.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Magic	51c	1,000$510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$490	489	57.5%281 W · 208 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xfcd8…9908backed Magic	52c	999.84$520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$479.92	225	52.4%118 W · 107 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4630…1968backed Magic	53c	995.39$523 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$472.13	126	50%63 W · 63 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Magic	51c	980.39$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480.39	419	54.4%228 W · 191 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Heat	48c	900$432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$432	544	43%234 W · 310 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Magic	51c	820$418 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$401.8	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b46…121dbacked Heat	51c	784.31$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	315	51.7%163 W · 152 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Heat	48c	773.47$371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$371.27	1,139	48.3%550 W · 589 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Magic	53c	752.4$396 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$355.92	898	53.1%477 W · 421 L	+21.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc308…c3b9backed Magic	53c	684.07$360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$323.65	313	54.6%171 W · 142 L	+10.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Magic	52c	679.96$354 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$326.38	267	56.2%150 W · 117 L	+12.6wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x65d3…a266backed Magic	51c	668.55$341 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$327.59	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Heat	50c	600$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	1,389	54.9%762 W · 627 L	+16.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca28…ceb2backed Magic	52c	558.94$288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270.63	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-13%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf73e…f800backed Heat	38c	530.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed Heat	49c	500$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245	200	51.5%103 W · 97 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x649a…ff76backed Heat	48c	447.25$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.68	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe86…6763backed Magic	51c	393.61$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.87	102	43.1%44 W · 58 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cf1…8277backed Magic	51c	392.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.16	172	36%62 W · 110 L	-19.3wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9094…dcabbacked Magic	53c	374.6$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.44	236	55.5%131 W · 105 L	+12.4wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Heat	10c	359.39$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.68	766	53.5%410 W · 356 L	+65.5wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Magic	53c	353.02$187 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165.92	685	42.6%292 W · 393 L	-6.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf60…79c5backed Heat	50c	336.69$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.35	92	42.4%39 W · 53 L	-3.7wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x190f…01f3backed Magic	52c	310$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.8	91	50.5%46 W · 45 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Magic	78c	302.82$236 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.62	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0020…4610backed Magic	51c	294.12$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.12	48	54.2%26 W · 22 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa028…0031backed Magic	53c	267.71$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.66	306	54.6%167 W · 139 L	+9.6wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Magic	52c	266.03$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.69	806	53.6%432 W · 374 L	+16.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Magic	53c	264.15$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.15	521	46.6%243 W · 278 L	-14.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Magic	50c	256.11$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.06	182	35.7%65 W · 117 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480e…90c7backed Magic	51c	255.16$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.03	154	46.8%72 W · 82 L	-12.0wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Magic	53c	235.25$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.57	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94c4…2a41backed Magic	53c	234.26$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.61	229	53.3%122 W · 107 L	+5.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e4a…7045backed Magic	53c	230.89$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.25	227	48.9%111 W · 116 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Heat	49c	227.21$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.03	576	50%288 W · 288 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf2f8…383bbacked Magic	53c	224.51$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.62	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	+31%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Heat	50c	220.58$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.29	765	52.9%405 W · 360 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2cdc…60a4backed Magic	51c	213$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.37	25	64%16 W · 9 L	+3.2wins	+0.13per pick	51cpaid	+24.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x10ce…d766backed Magic	53c	204.27$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.23	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Heat	49c	204.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1,433	47.2%676 W · 757 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Heat	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	661	53.3%352 W · 309 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f50…3191backed Magic	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	78	65.4%51 W · 27 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	63cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Magic	51c	200$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98	619	57.5%356 W · 263 L	+21.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Heat	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	141	55.3%78 W · 63 L	+9.4wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6d6…be17backed Heat	51c	198$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.84	104	48.1%50 W · 54 L	-7.3wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe906…5a44backed Magic	52c	196.22$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.24	46	45.7%21 W · 25 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Magic	51c	196.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.08	295	54.6%161 W · 134 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3542…24f0backed Magic	51c	196.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.08	38	47.4%18 W · 20 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Heat (-4.5)this page
1H Spread: Heat (-1.5)Magic won
1H Spread: Heat (-2.5)Magic won
Desmond Bane: Points O/U 22.5No won
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 14.5No won
Jalen Suggs: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Jett Howard: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
Jevon Carter: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
Magic vs. HeatMagic won
Magic vs. Heat: 1H MoneylineMagic won
Magic vs. Heat: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
Magic vs. Heat: O/U 234.5Over won
Magic vs. Heat: O/U 235.5Over won
Magic vs. Heat: O/U 236.5Over won
Magic vs. Heat: O/U 237.5Over won
Norman Powell: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Spread: Heat (-2.5)Magic won
Spread: Heat (-3.5)Magic won
Tristan da Silva: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Tyler Herro: Points O/U 23.5No won
Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Heat (-4.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event