CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0cda2a36e2a79e4cd522c34f700170e192b73a05ab927de21c6937f3be08b79f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Legacyof Aurora Gaming, Legacy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,168
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,168 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed Legacy | 73c | 1,626$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.42 | 258 | 45.7%118 W · 140 L | -18.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Legacy | 49c | 1,472$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.52 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda1c…15f2backed Aurora Gaming | 45c | 1,134$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.09 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Aurora Gaming | 27c | 933.44$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.03 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Aurora Gaming | 55c | 500$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.77 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Legacy | 72c | 447.63$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.72 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Aurora Gaming | 33c | 424.35$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.46 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Aurora Gaming | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Legacy | 67c | 366.78$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.04 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Legacy | 56c | 354.91$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0640…1cd6backed Aurora Gaming | 29c | 351.13$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.81 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Legacy | 71c | 342.45$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.53 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Legacy | 40c | 295.28$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.17 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Aurora Gaming | 60c | 215.92$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.55 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Aurora Gaming | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Legacy | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Aurora Gaming | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461f…8719backed Aurora Gaming | 59c | 146.7$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Legacy | 57c | 137.7$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.61 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…439fbacked Aurora Gaming | 45c | 125.03$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed Aurora Gaming | 47c | 115.5$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.47 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed Aurora Gaming | 27c | 107.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Aurora Gaming | 28c | 97.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 552 | 36.2%200 W · 352 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8381…a304backed Legacy | 72c | 91.53$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 122 | 73.8%90 W · 32 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Legacy | 70c | 83.87$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Legacy | 34c | 80$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1487…d443backed Aurora Gaming | 30c | 73.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Legacy | 69c | 67.56$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf13d…6b6ebacked Aurora Gaming | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Legacy | 55c | 58.08$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.42 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…1444backed Legacy | 50c | 57.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.58 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Aurora Gaming | 26c | 54.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc110…f3eabacked Aurora Gaming | 54c | 51.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf75…92cfbacked Aurora Gaming | 55c | 42.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f788backed Legacy | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 163 | 38.7%63 W · 100 L | -13.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Legacy | 56c | 39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bd…3c32backed Aurora Gaming | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5100…cee8backed Legacy | 74c | 25.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked Legacy | 74c | 23.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +6.7wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a84…e21abacked Legacy | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8897…149bbacked Legacy | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee59…e42abacked Aurora Gaming | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League PlayoffsAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 WinnerLegacy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.