Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88ce67656cf3d766c9b1cb1021cad8586120863d11997004cb6f3614951fee79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, Tundra Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $685,724
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $685,724 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 353 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed PARIVISION | 50c | 62,358$31,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,105.73 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…fec3backed PARIVISION | 49c | 39,647$19,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,209.25 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Tundra Esports | 47c | 29,222$13,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,810.36 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed PARIVISION | 53c | 26,802$14,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,629.01 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,799.98 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed PARIVISION | 51c | 12,694$6,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,165.79 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 11,890$5,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,826.09 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Tundra Esports | 49c | 11,541$5,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,675.35 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Tundra Esports | 48c | 11,233$5,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,433.6 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Tundra Esports | 23c | 10,749$2,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,517.43 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Tundra Esports | 52c | 8,886$4,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,616.77 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked PARIVISION | 52c | 8,688$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,187.68 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Tundra Esports | 53c | 8,428$4,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,457 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f40…e1f2backed PARIVISION | 52c | 7,684$3,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,690.75 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -7.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 7,500$3,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,674.98 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed Tundra Esports | 48c | 6,664$3,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,209.81 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 6,364$3,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,118.36 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 5,938$3,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,434.42 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Tundra Esports | 43c | 5,914$2,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,515.64 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Tundra Esports | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked PARIVISION | 40c | 4,390$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,623.77 | 410 | 42.4%174 W · 236 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed PARIVISION | 53c | 4,349$2,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050.08 | 963 | 57.3%552 W · 411 L | +48.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7d…fbafbacked PARIVISION | 51c | 4,244$2,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.88 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Tundra Esports | 71c | 4,051$2,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,870.03 | 504 | 49.2%248 W · 256 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed PARIVISION | 53c | 3,989$2,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,874.74 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Tundra Esports | 9c | 3,567$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.6 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…5a4ebacked Tundra Esports | 22c | 3,224$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 3,055$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,029.7 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed Tundra Esports | 6c | 2,442$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.86 | 168 | 21.4%36 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Tundra Esports | 27c | 2,293$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.03 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Tundra Esports | 4c | 2,263$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.88 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked PARIVISION | 51c | 2,178$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.43 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 2,042$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.49 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed PARIVISION | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed PARIVISION | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 795 | 59.4%472 W · 323 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Tundra Esports | 22c | 1,947$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.72 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8247…ee42backed PARIVISION | 43c | 1,827$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.83 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed Tundra Esports | 44c | 1,753$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.44 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Tundra Esports | 45c | 1,661$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.26 | 340 | 44.4%151 W · 189 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Tundra Esports | 31c | 1,654$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed PARIVISION | 49c | 1,610$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.81 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2266…138abacked Tundra Esports | 49c | 1,495$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Tundra Esports | 46c | 1,483$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.92 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Tundra Esports | 63c | 1,471$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.73 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Tundra Esports | 39c | 1,346$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.82 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c45…0ac6backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 1,294$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a9…3d6fbacked PARIVISION | 51c | 1,246$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.54 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked PARIVISION | 77c | 1,183$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.44 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked PARIVISION | 53c | 1,161$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.09 | 772 | 58.5%452 W · 320 L | +74.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Tundra Esports | 28c | 1,135$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.26 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked PARIVISION | 39c | 1,118$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.36 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c52…e75fbacked Tundra Esports | 13c | 1,081$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.62 | 137 | 32.8%45 W · 92 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed Tundra Esports | 11c | 1,062$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.82 | 110 | 43.6%48 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…39dabacked Tundra Esports | 13c | 1,035$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.29 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked PARIVISION | 49c | 1,030$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.89 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4533…ef2bbacked Tundra Esports | 50c | 1,004$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed PARIVISION | 50c | 1,000$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.76 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed PARIVISION | 49c | 961.39$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.31 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed PARIVISION | 50c | 951.53$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.79 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6878…6cdbbacked Tundra Esports | 53c | 945.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Tundra Esports | 50c | 900$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Tundra Esports | 6c | 900$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.82 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Tundra Esports | 43c | 830.29$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.67 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked PARIVISION | 50c | 817.66$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.83 | 145 | 15.2%22 W · 123 L | -16.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Tundra Esports | 5c | 800$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 776.92$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4c…e430backed PARIVISION | 53c | 764.81$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.46 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Tundra Esports | 55c | 710.25$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.78 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked PARIVISION | 45c | 710.04$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.26 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Tundra Esports | 5c | 663.22$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed Tundra Esports | 15c | 656.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Tundra Esports | 42c | 653.98$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.5 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…4a8dbacked Tundra Esports | 79c | 634.18$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0e…62f0backed PARIVISION | 18c | 625.29$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +117.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed PARIVISION | 52c | 619.97$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.59 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73c…21f2backed Tundra Esports | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Tundra Esports | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 692 | 35.3%244 W · 448 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked PARIVISION | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.62 | 917 | 56.5%518 W · 399 L | +79.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Tundra Esports | 28c | 600$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…895dbacked PARIVISION | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…7fbfbacked Tundra Esports | 50c | 579.17$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41cc…adc7backed PARIVISION | 67c | 566.12$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.22 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01d4…33d8backed PARIVISION | 65c | 549.98$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.98 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3297…43cdbacked Tundra Esports | 52c | 535.84$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked Tundra Esports | 40c | 527.5$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.75 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tundra Esports | 29c | 526.93$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.66 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 520.01$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.6 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked PARIVISION | 51c | 519.07$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.34 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Tundra Esports | 50c | 500.84$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.42 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Tundra Esports | 5c | 500.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 27.3%62 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61e9…cb1bbacked Tundra Esports | 27c | 490$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.3 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0622…cbc0backed PARIVISION | 48c | 483.29$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 481.35$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.48 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tundra Esports | 19c | 467.83$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.01 | 1,894 | 47.7%903 W · 991 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…81f2backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 460$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1854…be98backed PARIVISION | 47c | 460$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.8 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked Tundra Esports | 49c | 452.16$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.56 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageTundra Esports won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)PARIVISION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.