TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 227.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$943,848

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $943,848 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 548 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a72…33eebacked Under50c444,629$223,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221,100.8126253.8%141 W · 121 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over50c200,754$100,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100,361.766248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Over50c136,510$68,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68,253.9643148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over49c134,713$66,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66,579.451,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under49c37,692$18,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,222.9243542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ffd…3993backed Over51c33,871$17,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,274.21683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick50cpaid+68.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa729…9326backed Over51c29,388$14,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,987.884949%24 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Over51c26,445$13,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,447.9687451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f20…0aa3backed Over51c21,306$10,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,866.06757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3b6…301ebacked Over51c20,875$10,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,646.251266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x10b6…afbdbacked Over51c20,524$10,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,467.24771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+44.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb805…29d6backed Over51c15,184$7,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,743.84862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+27.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38d3…3e0bbacked Over51c13,067$6,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,664.17666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under49c12,245$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,244.91,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4089…f46ebacked Over51c11,780$6,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,007.8771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+38%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbb1…f3acbacked Over51c10,839$5,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,527.891369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+41.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b28…cbf3backed Over51c10,655$5,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,434.05757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x80c3…f831backed Over51c10,174$5,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,188.741154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over50c9,979$4,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,969.479,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Over52c9,706$5,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,047.2325945.6%118 W · 141 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e79…04c7backed Over51c9,482$4,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,835.82475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+55.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Under49c8,006$3,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,083.1220948.8%102 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over50c7,405$3,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,682.263,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x06fe…9807backed Over51c6,990$3,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,564.9666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+37.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x94df…a64dbacked Over51c6,984$3,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,561.84560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94b9…9640backed Over51c6,612$3,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,371.76862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d2b…f78abacked Under49c6,555$3,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,343.05560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x693c…39f2backed Under49c6,535$3,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,332.85683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+65.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6f7…4b8cbacked Under49c6,268$3,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,196.68450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33b2…0e5bbacked Under49c6,249$3,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,186.99475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+52%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under51c5,451$2,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6801,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78bf…f0ccbacked Over51c5,168$2,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,635.68966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+35.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Under48c5,086$2,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,644.98839.8%35 W · 53 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x51dc…b43ebacked Under49c5,035$2,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,567.85666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+33.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fd9…9d0bbacked Under49c5,025$2,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,562.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x365f…a337backed Under49c5,025$2,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,562.755100%5 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.8%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5002,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f7c…cb55backed Under49c4,990$2,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,544.9666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+33.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x92a0…0d3fbacked Under49c4,937$2,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,517.87580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+66.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb57…8da6backed Under49c4,937$2,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,517.87560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8587…b0d8backed Under49c4,898$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,497.98475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+54.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1ea…82f5backed Under49c4,882$2,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,489.82450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb14a…0abfbacked Under49c4,875$2,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,486.254100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x34de…16b0backed Under49c4,837$2,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,466.87475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+48.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x546d…5ca3backed Under49c4,818$2,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,457.18475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+53.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21dc…e78bbacked Under49c4,784$2,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,439.84560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e63…5713backed Under49c4,757$2,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,426.07560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c12…b341backed Under49c4,745$2,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,419.954100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+107.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6be2…9e23backed Under49c4,633$2,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,362.83560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b6a…6178backed Under49c4,570$2,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,330.7650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71f0…a2e5backed Under49c4,537$2,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,313.87366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Under51c4,534$2,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,221.5113563%85 W · 50 L+15.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x32b5…0296backed Under49c4,485$2,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,287.35560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2994…da85backed Under49c4,480$2,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,284.8450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb595…7237backed Under49c4,475$2,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,282.254100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6bc…beb3backed Under49c4,449$2,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,268.99580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+60.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb2d6…3bbebacked Under49c4,443$2,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,265.93580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+56.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3ed…fb75backed Over51c4,425$2,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,256.75250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e16…f883backed Over52c4,411$2,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,293.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a0c…8c05backed Under49c4,362$2,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,224.62475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+48.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x553c…3c95backed Under49c4,325$2,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,205.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88fc…1e06backed Under49c4,255$2,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,170.05475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+48.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4c6…38d5backed Under49c4,243$2,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,163.93366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa15a…5ae2backed Under49c4,226$2,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,155.26475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+56.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x666f…7704backed Over52c4,212$2,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,190.2420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc94d…1531backed Under49c4,145$2,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,113.95650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Under49c4,082$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,081.638154.3%44 W · 37 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over54c3,922$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1001,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5a0…5ee2backed Under49c3,887$1,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,982.37366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f5a…2f41backed Under49c3,839$1,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,957.89450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0839…6ab0backed Over52c3,811$1,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,981.7220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce63…62cabacked Over51c3,753$1,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,914.03560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x427f…4509backed Under49c3,745$1,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,909.95580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+66.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1af8…5017backed Under49c3,724$1,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,899.24560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdea…7c65backed Over52c3,625$1,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,88520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54b8…0268backed Under49c3,429$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,748.79475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick48cpaid+57.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab70…7732backed Under48c3,422$1,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,779.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x189d…54e6backed Over52c3,414$1,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,776.2520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7a8…4707backed Under48c3,366$1,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,750.32250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c3,346$1,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,718.514,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x541f…af2ebacked Under49c3,343$1,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,704.93650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dc7…7ee0backed Under49c3,262$1,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,663.62771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+44.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a93…497cbacked Over52c3,232$1,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,680.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x475d…7a41backed Under49c3,222$1,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,643.22560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e28…88adbacked Over52c3,215$1,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,671.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x083f…af76backed Under49c3,139$1,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,600.89560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe07f…c36dbacked Under48c3,100$1,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6122100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa962…42b0backed Under49c3,080$1,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,570.8862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf727…d276backed Under49c3,074$1,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,567.74650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8295…b450backed Under49c3,039$1,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,549.89580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+62%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f7b…472ebacked Over52c3,017$1,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,568.84250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa61f…a7c3backed Over52c3,015$1,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,567.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b95…0880backed Under49c2,963$1,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,511.13580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+56.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7113…01b0backed Under49c2,951$1,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,505.01450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd016…38f9backed Under48c2,945$1,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,531.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36b1…2b75backed Under48c2,933$1,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,525.162100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54a2…1888backed Under49c2,929$1,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,493.79450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32a3…cceebacked Over52c2,889$1,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,502.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3859…2c6cbacked Under49c2,871$1,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,464.21450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc40…5e6abacked Under48c2,862$1,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,488.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.