TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-14.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pacersof Knicks, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,692

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,692 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x72b4…7d67backed Knicks46c22,372$10,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,291.130845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x07d8…9f3fbacked Pacers54c18,468$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,468.013240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pacers54c8,161$4,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,737.589,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c86…d939backed Knicks46c7,760$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6005655.4%31 W · 25 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Knicks45c5,490$2,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,470.528649.7%142 W · 144 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00d5…ed84backed Knicks46c2,941$1,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,341.4817050%85 W · 85 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7108…56aebacked Knicks48c2,335$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14cf…c1c8backed Pacers52c2,309$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,108.32250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c40…5326backed Knicks48c2,290$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc01…4af8backed Pacers52c2,275$1,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,092250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83ba…cc4dbacked Pacers52c2,185$1,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,048.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks45c2,184$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.944,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Knicks44c2,145$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.7337842.9%162 W · 216 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4d7…b16dbacked Pacers52c2,010$1,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8434…20ecbacked Knicks48c1,990$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ca9…c03abacked Knicks48c1,985$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3e2…5284backed Knicks48c1,940$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd69a…da98backed Pacers52c1,891$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab8a…a165backed Knicks48c1,810$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eff…00c0backed Pacers52c1,680$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86b0…a9e6backed Pacers54c1,644$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.447439.2%29 W · 45 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Pacers54c1,500$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6901,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Pacers53c1,287$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.7670246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Knicks47c1,117$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.9458347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Knicks44c1,100$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48495651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Pacers56c1,065$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.2134851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Pacers62c974.09$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.0920963.2%132 W · 77 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Knicks40c707.57$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.9526839.2%105 W · 163 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Knicks43c644.62$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.194,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Knicks34c634.21$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.511,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Knicks48c627.08$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Knicks48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Knicks52c553.23$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.392,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pacers59c528.97$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.418,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Pacers55c483.64$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.6447651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Pacers54c463.91$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.963,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Knicks42c434.04$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.833,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Pacers58c410$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.61,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Pacers52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19284150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Knicks44c277.54$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.141,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480e…90c7backed Pacers57c266.33$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.5215446.8%72 W · 82 L-12.0wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Pacers53c250$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.52,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Pacers51c233.12$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.895,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Pacers54c222.22$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.2252146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Pacers57c212.2$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.2576552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Knicks48c201.47$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.423,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Pacers54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1913750.4%69 W · 68 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Pacers54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1943447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Pacers58c172.61$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.6195452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4cc…b3eebacked Knicks46c170$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.98425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-56.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xae35…5dd3backed Pacers66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5213837%51 W · 87 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pacers55c144.8$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.952,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4670…103dbacked Knicks47c131$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Pacers53c120.5$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.062,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Pacers42c120$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.635849.7%178 W · 180 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6630…703cbacked Knicks46c115.68$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6411258.9%66 W · 46 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Knicks46c112.2$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6162541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Pacers71c111.11$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3190357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Pacers62c110$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.81,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Pacers53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4795848.7%467 W · 491 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7157…7ba4backed Pacers45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5523246.1%107 W · 125 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8bd…463dbacked Pacers57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4338261.5%235 W · 147 L+30.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Knicks46c99.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4633949.9%169 W · 170 L-1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Pacers54c97$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.622,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea1c…b810backed Pacers55c97$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.656852.9%36 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0b3…091cbacked Knicks46c97$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.628251.2%42 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Knicks45c88.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4055444.4%246 W · 308 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Pacers70c88.18$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.841,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x882e…40b4backed Pacers54c79$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.344100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+78.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Knicks45c77.27$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7760945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Pacers49c70.63$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1129645.6%135 W · 161 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Knicks45c64.87$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1955347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c4d…884bbacked Pacers50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302669.2%18 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf548…1702backed Pacers54c57$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.22475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+49.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Pacers53c51.13$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0393145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe768…b331backed Pacers57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.539864.3%256 W · 142 L+33.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pacers54c47.71$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.956,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5ab…582cbacked Pacers54c47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.62650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69bb…d2c2backed Pacers54c45$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03b8…cb9cbacked Pacers54c39$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2425…189abacked Pacers55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.36540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x15c8…0eb5backed Pacers54c34$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8c…686fbacked Knicks35c28.73$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.062449.4%23 W · 221 L-27.5wins-0.11per pick21cpaid-72.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Knicks45c26.04$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.721,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Knicks43c24.12$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.41,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xf7bf…95cdbacked Knicks46c21.98$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.11333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Knicks46c21.74$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1091746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Knicks49c21.28$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.394,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.