TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 228.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$704,399

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $704,399 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over49c557,521$272,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272,854.2887451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under51c196,904$100,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96,483.1666248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under51c153,990$79,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74,860.774,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under51c100,000$51,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,0002,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Under52c24,001$12,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,520.6126253.8%141 W · 121 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Under51c20,000$10,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,9008839.8%35 W · 53 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under51c19,000$9,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,2202,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under51c15,686$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,686.271,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under53c11,000$5,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,17058449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c10,121$4,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,823.259,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Under51c9,804$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,803.9216640.4%67 W · 99 L-14.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over48c8,188$3,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,967.3434851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under51c8,159$4,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,998.1131644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over49c7,584$3,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,700.982,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under51c4,886$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,386.3456453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33d7…76d9backed Under50c3,967$1,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,983.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under53c3,959$2,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,865.41,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under51c3,892$1,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,909.843,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fd2…e32ebacked Under50c3,766$1,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8831100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b79…82b6backed Over50c3,745$1,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,872.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca41…5729backed Under50c3,455$1,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,722.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xade9…3f11backed Under50c3,422$1,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,711250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f3c…8ae6backed Over50c3,342$1,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,67120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Under51c3,333$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,633.1714753.1%78 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x272a…dd43backed Under50c3,333$1,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,666.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4600…c657backed Under50c3,266$1,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6332100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under51c3,134$1,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,550.532,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1423…ea78backed Under50c3,002$1,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5012100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0dbc…6f81backed Over50c2,935$1,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,467.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1440…eb0ebacked Over50c2,793$1,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,396.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacba…a273backed Under50c2,726$1,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,363250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43ab…b6ffbacked Under54c2,533$1,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,165.168555.3%47 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x239d…c368backed Over50c2,422$1,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,21120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b4a…6258backed Under50c2,366$1,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Under64c2,352$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.7631453.5%168 W · 146 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fb2…c1eebacked Over50c2,233$1,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,116.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae9f…ae50backed Over50c2,233$1,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,116.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Over47c2,128$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00022648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1563…51acbacked Over50c2,122$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked Under51c2,000$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9908747.1%41 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b43…4eb8backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under51c1,998$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978.974,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd9d…27f6backed Over50c1,933$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Under53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.3717246.5%80 W · 92 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under51c1,765$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.7134854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x59a0…2b45backed Under50c1,722$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+28.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc201…b290backed Over50c1,722$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc81f…4a16backed Over50c1,722$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x75e1…3ff3backed Under52c1,708$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.698853.4%47 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf64…e157backed Over50c1,633$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under51c1,620$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.821653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9540…34aabacked Over50c1,602$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over48c1,579$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.873,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1ecc…4588backed Over50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x28f2…e58dbacked Over50c1,423$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe942…f7adbacked Over49c1,304$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.522250%11 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Under53c1,264$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.5654443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under51c1,205$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.356,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eab…7e13backed Under55c1,100$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49514152.5%74 W · 67 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1cf…9bafbacked Under50c1,040$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over28c947.31$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.8726839.2%105 W · 163 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Under53c815.93$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.4916844%74 W · 94 L-11.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9645…6a60backed Under52c808$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.841369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+39.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over36c768.34$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.783,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over48c594.05$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.112,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x787b…cd2bbacked Over50c575$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23580737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad6f…cbcdbacked Under52c497$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.821942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Over35c433.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.6422154.8%121 W · 100 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Over49c381.2$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.7923446.2%108 W · 126 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5302…0a6fbacked Under54c370$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.211957.1%68 W · 51 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over20c307.6$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.521,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Over48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14445646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab70…7732backed Over50c266$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7a8…4707backed Over50c232$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4112…5d9dbacked Over47c231.95$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.2523348.9%114 W · 119 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Over23c216.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508952.8%47 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Under51c199.94$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9762844.9%282 W · 346 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x383d…87eabacked Under53c196.23$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.2347852.9%253 W · 225 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36b1…2b75backed Under50c192$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe07f…c36dbacked Under50c188$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcafe…56e2backed Under50c168$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+57.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4796…79fcbacked Over48c166.65$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.953748.6%18 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Over12c162.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.110623.6%25 W · 81 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ea3…a8aebacked Over50c155.71$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.56858.8%40 W · 28 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under53c150.95$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.4251438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Over48c150$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7256547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd590…5eeebacked Under80c150$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-29.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Under54c148.15$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1510850%54 W · 54 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe2ba…882abacked Over39c147$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.475650%28 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf60…79c5backed Under51c135.49$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.399242.4%39 W · 53 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Over20c130$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2652052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Under51c124.8$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1562541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over48c122.94$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over28c120.09$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.043,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over48c103.23$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5053453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa380…55e3backed Over49c102.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504630.4%14 W · 32 L-6.2wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-32.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Over51c100.24$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5155533.5%186 W · 369 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62ff…ec56backed Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4925245.2%114 W · 138 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x819a…4b03backed Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4714151.8%73 W · 68 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.