TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-13.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pacersof Knicks, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,126,778

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,126,778 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 279 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Knicks47c413,847$194,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194,508.2972648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Pacers53c200,000$106,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94,00032653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Pacers53c144,379$76,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68,329.171,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Pacers51c96,884$49,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,673.0817250.6%87 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Pacers52c88,273$45,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,437.541,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Knicks48c62,062$29,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,789.9843148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Pacers53c60,000$31,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,20023147.6%110 W · 121 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Knicks48c57,432$27,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,567.351,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Knicks48c40,000$19,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,20060351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd9d…b730backed Pacers51c30,788$15,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,086.11741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Pacers52c26,504$13,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,759.3536359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed Pacers50c25,983$13,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,891.86546.2%30 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks49c21,217$10,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,375.624,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7af9…b408backed Pacers52c20,900$10,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,0326657.6%38 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd36…6ec9backed Pacers52c19,389$10,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,306.615044%22 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pacers51c18,726$9,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,160.659,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Knicks48c17,632$8,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,410.171,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Knicks48c12,250$5,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,87726544.9%119 W · 146 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks47c11,562$5,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,445.398,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Knicks47c11,231$5,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,278.551,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Pacers53c11,000$5,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,17058449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pacers53c11,000$5,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,2201,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Knicks50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0008153.1%43 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5664…4843backed Knicks49c9,204$4,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5101136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-28.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Knicks49c8,396$4,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,123.8448546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9963…32e4backed Pacers51c7,600$3,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,724977.8%7 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.35per pick43cpaid+81.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2c86…d939backed Knicks49c7,346$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6005655.4%31 W · 25 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pacers52c7,000$3,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3602,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Pacers54c6,910$3,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,181.1314245.8%65 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeafb…1897backed Knicks49c6,203$3,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,039.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Knicks48c5,864$2,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,822.073,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Pacers52c5,555$2,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,666.474748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f85…7eeebacked Knicks49c5,306$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,600837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Knicks50c5,000$2,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,512.569149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Pacers52c4,653$2,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,233.5817348.6%84 W · 89 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Knicks49c4,082$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0008154.3%44 W · 37 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Knicks52c4,038$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1001,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Knicks47c4,000$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8801,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Knicks48c3,960$1,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,900.825049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x968d…6947backed Knicks49c3,921$1,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,921.2960%0 W · 6 L-3.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8ff3…1aa9backed Pacers51c3,634$1,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,780.6619645.9%90 W · 106 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Knicks49c3,500$1,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,71548054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Knicks49c3,469$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70049246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Knicks51c3,300$1,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,669.7127546.2%127 W · 148 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Knicks48c3,090$1,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,483.21,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x010c…62bbbacked Knicks49c2,931$1,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,436757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Knicks49c2,843$1,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,395.272,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Pacers53c2,823$1,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,326.649838.8%38 W · 60 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pacers51c2,785$1,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,350.894,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Knicks48c2,640$1,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,267.219445.4%88 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4e2…f8a1backed Knicks51c2,476$1,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,262.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde79…2a1bbacked Knicks49c2,462$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20017349.7%86 W · 87 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x836d…b160backed Pacers49c2,434$1,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,241.34250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54d5…06cbbacked Pacers49c2,428$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,238.282100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaed1…0364backed Knicks51c2,400$1,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e35…ead6backed Pacers49c2,394$1,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,220.942100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3100…1dccbacked Pacers49c2,382$1,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,214.82250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe0d…3173backed Pacers49c2,304$1,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,175.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc198…831bbacked Pacers49c2,280$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,162.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ed6…a0bbbacked Pacers49c2,192$1,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,117.922100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4645…d47dbacked Pacers49c2,164$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,103.642100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4f5…459bbacked Knicks51c2,155$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.05250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ac3…cd89backed Knicks51c2,102$1,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,072.0220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa45d…b413backed Knicks48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011653.4%62 W · 54 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Knicks48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00025155%138 W · 113 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d4f…7286backed Knicks51c2,055$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.05250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x816d…517bbacked Knicks51c2,055$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.05250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86b0…a9e6backed Knicks49c2,039$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9997439.2%29 W · 45 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb71…c3bcbacked Knicks51c2,002$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.02250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca38…58f6backed Knicks51c1,965$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.1520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Knicks48c1,928$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.4427455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8cc…164cbacked Knicks51c1,922$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.2220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8979…6e8dbacked Pacers49c1,904$933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a3a…7ce9backed Pacers49c1,890$926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.9250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Knicks49c1,700$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8331,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad80…7bcfbacked Knicks51c1,608$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.0820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82d5…4d19backed Pacers50c1,587$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1efc…71c9backed Knicks51c1,568$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8678…f724backed Knicks51c1,566$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.66250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Pacers52c1,565$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.112,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b60…9c7ebacked Knicks48c1,551$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.522643.8%99 W · 127 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Pacers49c1,500$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76595641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Knicks49c1,460$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.2745151.4%232 W · 219 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66b6…c861backed Knicks51c1,458$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.58250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Knicks48c1,292$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62067252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Knicks50c1,284$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.772,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Knicks47c1,233$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.254,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d0c…43ddbacked Pacers49c1,202$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.02366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc8c…d58cbacked Knicks48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008043.8%35 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Pacers52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48023644.1%104 W · 132 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Pacers49c972.98$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.512,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Knicks48c906.12$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.426839.2%105 W · 163 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Knicks50c848.51$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.344,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Knicks49c727.27$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.3648751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Pacers51c690$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.19842.9%42 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f82…9ae1backed Pacers53c679.25$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.2512048.3%58 W · 62 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Knicks48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Knicks49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30027746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked Pacers53c566.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.049350.5%47 W · 46 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0351…3477backed Knicks49c557.88$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.3620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.