NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Lakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc0c198d4c140e959a1c70773defb0094f2a8ba77f5abe64f62af38816fc1a24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,843,128
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,011,951
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,843,128 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,677 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x14f6…af37backed Lakers | 31c | 359,230$112,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112,461.39 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8764…604abacked Lakers | 32c | 312,500$100,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,999.95 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +14.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +47%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Thunder | 68c | 138,648$94,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,367.33 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Thunder | 71c | 137,972$97,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,012.01 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac7…e0efbacked Thunder | 68c | 129,361$87,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,395.61 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Lakers | 32c | 117,208$37,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,006.68 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Lakers | 23c | 104,379$24,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,489.07 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5cebbacked Lakers | 50c | 90,300$45,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,149.88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d19…f2f9backed Thunder | 50c | 90,288$45,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,144.03 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Lakers | 36c | 90,018$32,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,363.07 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Lakers | 30c | 84,010$25,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,583.4 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Thunder | 66c | 77,042$51,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,871.18 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Thunder | 68c | 73,600$50,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,552 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Thunder | 69c | 73,600$50,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,816 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Lakers | 32c | 72,000$23,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,040 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Thunder | 68c | 70,075$47,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,757.12 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Lakers | 31c | 57,884$17,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,944.11 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Thunder | 69c | 53,323$36,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,708.9 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Thunder | 69c | 50,000$34,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,500 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 69c | 47,229$32,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,621.85 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Thunder | 68c | 46,219$31,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,674.39 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Thunder | 62c | 43,715$27,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,456.7 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Thunder | 69c | 41,839$28,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,970.05 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Lakers | 31c | 40,003$12,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,400.93 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Thunder | 66c | 34,008$22,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,684.33 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Thunder | 66c | 31,597$20,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,681.93 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Lakers | 44c | 30,000$13,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,191.96 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Lakers | 47c | 28,095$13,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,343.14 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Lakers | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Thunder | 68c | 23,112$15,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,320.56 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Thunder | 60c | 21,651$13,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,629.35 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61e0…4b62backed Lakers | 33c | 21,244$7,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,100 | 527 | 60%316 W · 211 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Thunder | 65c | 20,984$13,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,353.33 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Thunder | 67c | 20,367$13,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,782.59 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Thunder | 66c | 20,151$13,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,938.19 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Thunder | 69c | 20,000$13,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,200 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x938f…f13fbacked Thunder | 70c | 20,000$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,999.99 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Lakers | 31c | 20,000$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,199.99 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Lakers | 25c | 20,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.99 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Thunder | 69c | 19,856$13,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,162.79 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Thunder | 69c | 18,875$13,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,851.36 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Lakers | 30c | 18,138$5,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,370.21 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Lakers | 9c | 18,137$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.02 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd990…4866backed Lakers | 55c | 17,827$9,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,805 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Thunder | 61c | 16,998$10,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,626 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Thunder | 68c | 16,000$10,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,119.99 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Thunder | 65c | 15,854$10,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,618.16 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Thunder | 69c | 15,479$10,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,798.42 | 191 | 36.1%69 W · 122 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Lakers | 32c | 15,392$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Lakers | 37c | 15,374$5,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,716.8 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7f…9550backed Lakers | 32c | 15,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.97 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14cc…7c02backed Lakers | 41c | 14,665$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5926…4c2ebacked Thunder | 69c | 14,571$10,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,457.54 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +5.8wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…8aacbacked Lakers | 31c | 14,546$4,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,553.25 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Lakers | 1c | 14,160$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.6 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Thunder | 69c | 13,583$9,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,210.73 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed Thunder | 69c | 13,463$9,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,173.65 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Thunder | 69c | 13,306$9,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,161.84 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fc…050cbacked Thunder | 67c | 13,000$8,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,249.99 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…0caabacked Lakers | 33c | 13,000$4,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,249.98 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Thunder | 63c | 13,000$8,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.95 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Lakers | 26c | 12,941$3,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,354.88 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 65c | 12,764$8,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,412.86 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e1…60febacked Lakers | 31c | 12,709$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Lakers | 29c | 12,500$3,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,625 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Lakers | 16c | 12,500$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Thunder | 65c | 12,500$8,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,330 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Thunder | 69c | 12,208$8,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,784.47 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Lakers | 30c | 11,500$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.9 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Thunder | 67c | 11,080$7,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,656.54 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19be…2541backed Lakers | 35c | 10,600$3,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,710 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe021…e299backed Thunder | 65c | 10,600$6,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,709.96 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Thunder | 73c | 10,177$7,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,725.47 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed Lakers | 12c | 10,000$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.34 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 12cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Lakers | 33c | 10,000$3,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,295 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbca…3b1ebacked Lakers | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf801…901cbacked Lakers | 32c | 9,757$3,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,122.22 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Lakers | 34c | 9,594$3,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,253 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Thunder | 69c | 9,150$6,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,836.5 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Lakers | 32c | 9,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Lakers | 44c | 8,916$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Thunder | 67c | 8,849$5,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,920.24 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Thunder | 69c | 8,647$5,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,680.65 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Thunder | 69c | 8,379$5,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,560.87 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f26…ea16backed Lakers | 40c | 8,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder | 68c | 7,611$5,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,409.62 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd857…c092backed Thunder | 68c | 7,555$5,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,417.73 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Thunder | 69c | 7,439$5,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,336.71 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Thunder | 66c | 7,247$4,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,455.26 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…f4d6backed Lakers | 35c | 6,811$2,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,383.76 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6131…0550backed Lakers | 46c | 6,706$3,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,107.17 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c6…9211backed Lakers | 34c | 6,614$2,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,229.17 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Lakers | 33c | 6,500$2,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,145 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…b0b3backed Thunder | 69c | 6,451$4,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.72 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…39a6backed Thunder | 68c | 6,400$4,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,048 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09e0…e546backed Thunder | 68c | 6,400$4,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,048 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Thunder | 68c | 6,400$4,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,047.99 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Lakers | 32c | 6,388$2,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,054 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2580…1d56backed Lakers | 47c | 6,321$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…a86bbacked Lakers | 32c | 6,173$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950.39 | 143 | 44.8%64 W · 79 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Lakersthis page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Marcus Smart: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 218.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 219.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 220.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 221.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 223.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.