NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f55319529cb76ad0bc6f3ba60739ecf3326e73b7ede245e8647a91164a78e52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $435,680
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $444,933
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $435,680 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Thunder | 51c | 102,834$52,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,217.34 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Thunder | 51c | 87,669$44,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,957.84 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Thunder | 52c | 85,000$44,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,800 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Lakers | 49c | 80,000$39,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,200 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Lakers | 49c | 59,918$29,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,119.09 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Lakers | 48c | 48,916$23,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,479.67 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Lakers | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Lakers | 49c | 18,214$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Lakers | 49c | 16,899$8,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,280.31 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Lakers | 50c | 14,000$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Lakers | 49c | 10,691$5,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,236.43 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cf…7d64backed Lakers | 48c | 10,315$4,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,951 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Lakers | 49c | 10,153$4,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,974.76 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Lakers | 48c | 9,804$4,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,705.68 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 47c | 9,551$4,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,032.89 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Lakers | 48c | 8,328$3,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,997.44 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Lakers | 49c | 8,163$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4801…61a8backed Lakers | 48c | 8,070$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Lakers | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,080 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Thunder | 51c | 6,300$3,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,086.96 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Thunder | 51c | 6,044$3,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,961.74 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Thunder | 51c | 5,882$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,882.35 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Thunder | 52c | 5,774$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,774.37 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df5…b0ffbacked Lakers | 48c | 5,417$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Thunder | 49c | 5,404$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,764 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Thunder | 52c | 5,081$2,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,459.09 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Thunder | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Thunder | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.97 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0100…f6dcbacked Lakers | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Thunder | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Thunder | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.99 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Thunder | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Thunder | 50c | 3,800$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Lakers | 49c | 3,331$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632.19 | 265 | 44.9%119 W · 146 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers | 48c | 3,005$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442.18 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Lakers | 48c | 2,955$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.35 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3502…7955backed Thunder | 52c | 2,800$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Thunder | 51c | 2,625$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.2 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Thunder | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Thunder | 51c | 2,232$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.49 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Lakers | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 478 | 56.5%270 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Thunder | 50c | 1,951$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.71 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Thunder | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 433 | 52.2%226 W · 207 L | +19.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Thunder | 48c | 1,896$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.26 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Lakers | 52c | 1,771$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.92 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Thunder | 53c | 1,700$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.37 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4949…478ebacked Lakers | 48c | 1,649$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.68 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Lakers | 49c | 1,643$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.58 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Thunder | 51c | 1,633$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.28 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Lakers | 48c | 1,606$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.8 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Lakers | 49c | 1,551$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0865…3dffbacked Lakers | 55c | 1,551$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.58 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Lakers | 49c | 1,406$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.94 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…582dbacked Lakers | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf9…b6d3backed Lakers | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Thunder | 53c | 965.45$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.38 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Lakers | 47c | 806.48$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.04 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers | 48c | 783.1$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.72 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Lakers | 47c | 752.38$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.62 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…d58cbacked Lakers | 51c | 721$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.08 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…38f5backed Thunder | 52c | 621.79$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.46 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Thunder | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1779…eef2backed Lakers | 33c | 599.96$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.99 | 109 | 36.7%40 W · 69 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ee…a073backed Thunder | 69c | 581.63$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.63 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8590…07adbacked Thunder | 52c | 575$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Thunder | 47c | 551.05$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.53 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Thunder | 49c | 508.93$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.28 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Lakers | 49c | 505.05$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.47 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Thunder | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…dc6bbacked Lakers | 49c | 450$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Thunder | 52c | 418.68$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.38 | 384 | 53.4%205 W · 179 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Lakers | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c0…427bbacked Lakers | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Lakers | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1895…efd2backed Thunder | 60c | 341.11$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Lakers | 49c | 326.53$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Lakers | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Thunder | 48c | 293.27$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.83 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Thunder | 50c | 275.98$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.35 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Lakers | 48c | 236.51$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.52 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Thunder | 52c | 227$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.96 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Thunder | 51c | 223.12$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.56 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Lakers | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Thunder | 49c | 205.47$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.79 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b6…13acbacked Lakers | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48c8…72a4backed Lakers | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Lakers | 50c | 199.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 463 | 46.4%215 W · 248 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Thunder | 52c | 195$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x701f…9b8fbacked Lakers | 48c | 192.35$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.33 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Thunder | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c61…4fa6backed Thunder | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6d…c17fbacked Thunder | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…3a14backed Thunder | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Thunder | 52c | 191.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.08 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…8809backed Thunder | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d89…d5a6backed Thunder | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…b518backed Thunder | 54c | 183.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.33 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Lakers | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Thunder | 53c | 178$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.28 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Lakers | 49c | 162$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.38 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Marcus Smart: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. LakersThunder won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 218.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 219.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 220.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 221.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 223.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.