NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2f322d109afa3d86f205b37dca31cd865fc0bdcfa7deb78a5f44d79e3231415
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,700
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,866
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,700 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Lakers | 54c | 18,737$10,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,088.37 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Thunder | 46c | 13,936$6,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,525.46 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Lakers | 52c | 13,291$6,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,911.09 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Lakers | 55c | 7,312$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Thunder | 47c | 6,813$3,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,610.99 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Thunder | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,179.94 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Thunder | 47c | 5,602$2,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,969.13 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Thunder | 49c | 4,341$2,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.68 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Thunder | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.32 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lakers | 53c | 4,085$2,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,164 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder | 47c | 3,276$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,736.28 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Thunder | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.99 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 48c | 2,273$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.9 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…59d0backed Lakers | 40c | 2,245$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6fc…3e7fbacked Thunder | 66c | 1,805$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.26 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Lakers | 56c | 1,429$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Thunder | 47c | 1,318$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.27 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Lakers | 54c | 1,306$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Thunder | 21c | 1,058$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.05 | 188 | 35.1%66 W · 122 L | +24.5wins | +0.13per pick | 22cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7476…d670backed Lakers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 6cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lakers | 52c | 878.52$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.27 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Thunder | 47c | 835.7$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.92 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Lakers | 53c | 801$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.53 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Thunder | 48c | 772$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.44 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Lakers | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Thunder | 45c | 705.4$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.28 | 220 | 44.5%98 W · 122 L | -14.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Lakers | 53c | 667$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.51 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Thunder | 50c | 602.18$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.99 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Lakers | 75c | 599.81$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.35 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33e6…0244backed Lakers | 49c | 567.44$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.71 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Thunder | 55c | 402.35$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.73 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6967…7f28backed Lakers | 48c | 335.14$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f6…db6bbacked Lakers | 50c | 308$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Lakers | 53c | 301.89$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Lakers | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 255 | 59.2%151 W · 104 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Thunder | 47c | 298.04$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.96 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Thunder | 37c | 291.29$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.76 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Thunder | 50c | 267.5$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.75 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Lakers | 54c | 251.85$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 231 | 43.3%100 W · 131 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x763d…0ec9backed Lakers | 54c | 251.85$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Thunder | 46c | 250.13$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.53 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Thunder | 46c | 200.01$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Lakers | 53c | 188.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Thunder | 16c | 155$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.25 | 455 | 42.4%193 W · 262 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Lakers | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…dc1fbacked Lakers | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Lakers | 54c | 140$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Thunder | 49c | 138.43$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.51 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…bac6backed Thunder | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 383 | 50.4%193 W · 190 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…2c41backed Thunder | 40c | 120$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…ce87backed Lakers | 61c | 116.27$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.67 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Thunder | 48c | 108.38$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.27 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Lakers | 52c | 106.73$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fad…374cbacked Thunder | 47c | 105.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.84 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0196…b9c3backed Thunder | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb568…14d4backed Lakers | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -20.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Lakers | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed Lakers | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 138 | 37%51 W · 87 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Thunder | 52c | 95.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Lakers | 53c | 94.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.34 | 183 | 39.3%72 W · 111 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Thunder | 49c | 88.59$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec2…c5f1backed Lakers | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Thunder | 47c | 73$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.69 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Thunder | 47c | 72$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Lakers | 56c | 71.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lakers | 62c | 69.12$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lakers | 41c | 62.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Lakers | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Lakers | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 332 | 49.7%165 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fb…b665backed Lakers | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6e…6a74backed Lakers | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…4e7abacked Thunder | 50c | 44.34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 189 | 57.1%108 W · 81 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Lakers | 59c | 42.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadcf…e210backed Thunder | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…200ebacked Thunder | 47c | 41.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…66acbacked Lakers | 58c | 41.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Lakers | 53c | 41.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 243 | 30.5%74 W · 169 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Thunder | 34c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.48 | 424 | 34.4%146 W · 278 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x679f…2940backed Lakers | 53c | 37.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Thunder | 51c | 35.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db2…cc8cbacked Lakers | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Lakers | 53c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Thunder | 51c | 33.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50b6…0da7backed Lakers | 76c | 32.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb774…7a01backed Thunder | 47c | 31.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Thunder | 44c | 30.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7279…a05cbacked Lakers | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Thunder | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x285d…f500backed Lakers | 49c | 27.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -6.7wins | -0.24per pick | 56cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e2…3c77backed Thunder | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…87eabacked Thunder | 47c | 23.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 478 | 52.9%253 W · 225 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Lakers | 77c | 23.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc6…c936backed Lakers | 73c | 20.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf35e…f846backed Lakers | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aea…34b7backed Lakers | 72c | 20.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Marcus Smart: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. LakersThunder won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 218.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 219.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 220.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 221.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 223.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.