NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ec5ea449278cd76ba73444b0cc4e09835cd0577e7ee8eb18c637b609273a9db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,064
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,020
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,064 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Lakers | 58c | 9,608$5,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,571.25 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Thunder | 48c | 4,369$2,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,283.99 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Lakers | 43c | 4,316$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.68 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Thunder | 53c | 4,060$2,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,908.1 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Lakers | 47c | 3,434$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,606.95 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Thunder | 54c | 2,555$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.27 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Thunder | 50c | 1,910$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.2 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers | 44c | 1,698$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.22 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers | 47c | 1,641$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.65 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Thunder | 56c | 1,334$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.09 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Thunder | 57c | 1,207$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.54 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Thunder | 43c | 1,056$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.12 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Thunder | 53c | 896.34$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.27 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…d6a3backed Lakers | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Thunder | 60c | 708.8$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.52 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Thunder | 59c | 693$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.28 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…2c41backed Thunder | 54c | 668$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.04 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Thunder | 47c | 554.26$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.76 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53aa…07fcbacked Lakers | 47c | 550$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.5 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Thunder | 49c | 530.48$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.09 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lakers | 46c | 465.57$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.99 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…4cc6backed Lakers | 14c | 443.39$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 144 | 55.6%80 W · 64 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Lakers | 48c | 402.94$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.13 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Thunder | 58c | 391.55$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.52 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Lakers | 46c | 373.89$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.46 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Thunder | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Lakers | 15c | 338.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Lakers | 44c | 292.31$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.51 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Thunder | 40c | 260.98$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.99 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Lakers | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Thunder | 58c | 216.19$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.64 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf828…00a5backed Thunder | 49c | 203.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.61 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Thunder | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 270 | 52.6%142 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Lakers | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Lakers | 52c | 192.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Lakers | 26c | 187.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…5667backed Lakers | 22c | 185.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 152 | 53.3%81 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…815bbacked Lakers | 20c | 181.7$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Thunder | 59c | 149.15$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.15 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Lakers | 33c | 143.05$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 216 | 42.1%91 W · 125 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Thunder | 46c | 141$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.42 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Lakers | 36c | 135.18$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabd5…93f2backed Lakers | 54c | 129.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.69 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Lakers | 46c | 124.55$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.94 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Lakers | 48c | 122.01$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.11 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Lakers | 41c | 122$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 183 | 39.3%72 W · 111 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Thunder | 55c | 120.66$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.3 | 207 | 54.1%112 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Lakers | 45c | 116.71$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.43 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked Thunder | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 156 | 57.7%90 W · 66 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Thunder | 47c | 88.13$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.09 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Lakers | 51c | 87.57$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Lakers | 48c | 81.44$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.08 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lakers | 35c | 79.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Thunder | 59c | 76.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…4e7abacked Lakers | 45c | 75.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 189 | 57.1%108 W · 81 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…65a6backed Thunder | 55c | 73.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Thunder | 56c | 73$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x193e…76ebbacked Lakers | 49c | 71.73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Lakers | 56c | 71.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Thunder | 57c | 70.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd913…2cf7backed Lakers | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lakers | 18c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Thunder | 59c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Thunder | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Thunder | 56c | 56.92$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Thunder | 55c | 56.76$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Lakers | 46c | 52.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba88…ec75backed Thunder | 56c | 51.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.51 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c4…c5dbbacked Thunder | 43c | 47.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.02 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Lakers | 47c | 42.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 243 | 30.5%74 W · 169 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Thunder | 47c | 42.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 345 | 56.2%194 W · 151 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Thunder | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf891…d3b6backed Lakers | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Lakers | 53c | 38.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b2…4655backed Lakers | 46c | 37.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1084…744abacked Thunder | 55c | 36.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Lakers | 42c | 35.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…e06ebacked Lakers | 47c | 34.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…8db8backed Thunder | 55c | 33.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -47%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…c711backed Thunder | 55c | 32.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbe…33e4backed Thunder | 55c | 32.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Thunder | 59c | 32.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf9…63a5backed Lakers | 68c | 32.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -56%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…ce87backed Thunder | 36c | 32.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadcf…e210backed Thunder | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f61…ab6bbacked Thunder | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13f3…12ffbacked Thunder | 55c | 31.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x137e…20d7backed Lakers | 45c | 31.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 150 | 40%60 W · 90 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…2d96backed Thunder | 55c | 30.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 602 | 67.3%405 W · 197 L | +46.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Lakers | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Thunder | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Lakers | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 268 | 24.6%66 W · 202 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x859f…e766backed Thunder | 55c | 29.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…3468backed Lakers | 46c | 29.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f4…b728backed Thunder | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…39d7backed Lakers | 54c | 27.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 163 | 54%88 W · 75 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…a8b9backed Lakers | 47c | 27.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Thunder | 55c | 27.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Lakers | 55c | 26.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Thunder | 51c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Marcus Smart: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. LakersThunder won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 218.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 219.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 220.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 221.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 223.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.