MLB · resolved market
Pirates vs. Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7bf55d881d7541729085ea938be79d403946794689d3c8516ca1b1e742ab8b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cubsof Pirates, Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $554,457
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $755,152
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $554,457 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa0b…4908backed Cubs | 68c | 185,804$125,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,001.57 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Pirates | 32c | 85,000$27,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,200 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Pirates | 46c | 68,039$31,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,297.44 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Pirates | 33c | 66,399$21,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,633.09 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Cubs | 54c | 43,989$23,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,234.88 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Cubs | 54c | 21,441$11,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,858.49 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Pirates | 34c | 9,467$3,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,237.78 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Pirates | 34c | 8,766$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Pirates | 32c | 8,506$2,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,721.87 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pirates | 32c | 8,278$2,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,648 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…e954backed Cubs | 67c | 8,139$5,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,685.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Pirates | 32c | 6,760$2,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,163.28 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Pirates | 32c | 6,568$2,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,101.88 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Cubs | 70c | 6,205$4,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,852.28 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Cubs | 68c | 5,560$3,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.6 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3447…3495backed Pirates | 33c | 5,012$1,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,653.96 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Cubs | 65c | 4,471$2,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.92 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Cubs | 64c | 4,400$2,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.89 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Pirates | 33c | 4,204$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.27 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcab0…4cd3backed Pirates | 34c | 3,969$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.11 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98fd…b575backed Cubs | 67c | 3,675$2,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.74 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Cubs | 67c | 3,170$2,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.07 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Cubs | 68c | 3,131$2,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.76 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Pirates | 33c | 3,038$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.66 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe785…e106backed Cubs | 67c | 2,681$1,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.83 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Pirates | 32c | 2,500$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8867…4bb7backed Cubs | 66c | 2,062$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.18 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cubs | 66c | 1,950$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.53 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Pirates | 32c | 1,900$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Pirates | 32c | 1,600$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Pirates | 35c | 1,592$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.25 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Pirates | 36c | 1,566$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.19 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Cubs | 68c | 1,540$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.8 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Pirates | 32c | 1,200$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Cubs | 67c | 1,076$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.08 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Cubs | 67c | 1,045$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.78 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Pirates | 32c | 1,004$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.72 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Pirates | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.08 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Pirates | 32c | 900.97$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.31 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…2305backed Pirates | 33c | 827.8$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.12 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Pirates | 36c | 824.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Cubs | 67c | 800$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.01 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Cubs | 66c | 799.99$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…1ccbbacked Cubs | 67c | 797.61$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.61 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Cubs | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Cubs | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Cubs | 53c | 680.6$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.38 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Cubs | 66c | 674.03$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.17 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Pirates | 32c | 604.99$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.6 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Pirates | 33c | 601.7$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pirates | 36c | 599.76$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.73 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Pirates | 31c | 576.18$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.58 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Cubs | 68c | 531$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.92 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…6ce2backed Cubs | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Cubs | 65c | 500$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Pirates | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Pirates | 32c | 464.6$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.67 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…143cbacked Cubs | 68c | 463.94$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.23 | 217 | 53.9%117 W · 100 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Cubs | 67c | 447$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.51 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b63…d2cfbacked Pirates | 33c | 438.45$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.69 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Pirates | 31c | 430.16$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.58 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be9…97ecbacked Cubs | 67c | 429.76$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.22 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pirates | 33c | 392.42$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.31 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Pirates | 33c | 387.4$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.91 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Cubs | 67c | 372.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.09 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Pirates | 33c | 349.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Pirates | 33c | 349.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7d…0a62backed Cubs | 66c | 340.91$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.91 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Pirates | 32c | 340$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.2 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Pirates | 35c | 328.17$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.86 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed Cubs | 68c | 313.24$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.24 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Pirates | 10c | 312.1$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.21 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Pirates | 8c | 308.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6f…e87cbacked Cubs | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Pirates | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Pirates | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 171 | 39.2%67 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pirates | 33c | 298.03$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.87 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Cubs | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Cubs | 67c | 289.04$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.04 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Pirates | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…da2cbacked Cubs | 69c | 270.93$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.93 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Pirates | 8c | 270$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Pirates | 34c | 259$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.06 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Cubs | 58c | 257.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.32 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Pirates | 32c | 245.35$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.55 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfef0…1282backed Cubs | 67c | 240$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Pirates | 18c | 227.19$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Pirates | 41c | 224.8$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.17 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Cubs | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Pirates | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9026…6924backed Pirates | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd47…4563backed Cubs | 67c | 191.04$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02c…2cf8backed Cubs | 66c | 190.75$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.85 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Pirates | 32c | 182.71$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.69 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Cubs | 67c | 168.37$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Pirates | 38c | 159.84$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.36 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…c0b6backed Cubs | 68c | 157.35$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.35 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Cubs | 65c | 153.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.7 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Pirates | 33c | 152$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Cubs | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.