MLB · resolved market
Twins vs. Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x196d28f0d590e5320c0e4bff55b03c40339e618ea29c3fdab8023be91df6593b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yankeesof Twins, Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,312,217
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,314,456
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,312,217 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Twins | 35c | 795,445$275,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275,731.71 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Twins | 35c | 319,452$111,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111,579.63 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Yankees | 65c | 312,009$202,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109,203.18 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Yankees | 65c | 267,499$173,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93,624.71 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Yankees | 65c | 163,072$106,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,331.88 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Yankees | 65c | 71,289$46,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,774.72 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yankees | 66c | 59,067$38,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,246.13 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Yankees | 67c | 51,268$34,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,000.09 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Yankees | 67c | 50,610$33,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,867.2 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Yankees | 66c | 50,000$33,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,000 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Yankees | 65c | 25,035$16,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,762.23 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Twins | 34c | 21,971$7,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,399.11 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Yankees | 67c | 21,653$14,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,138.03 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Twins | 33c | 20,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37be…c646backed Yankees | 66c | 14,798$9,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,041.86 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yankees | 65c | 14,065$9,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,988.4 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yankees | 66c | 11,273$7,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,825.07 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Twins | 36c | 7,940$2,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,858.4 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yankees | 65c | 6,500$4,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,275 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Yankees | 65c | 6,160$4,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,156 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Yankees | 66c | 5,891$3,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,002.91 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Yankees | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yankees | 65c | 4,362$2,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.8 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4950…0031backed Twins | 35c | 4,000$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Yankees | 65c | 3,455$2,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.25 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yankees | 65c | 3,200$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Yankees | 65c | 3,138$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.46 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yankees | 65c | 3,005$1,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.75 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x712f…b93bbacked Yankees | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Yankees | 65c | 2,933$1,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.55 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Twins | 36c | 2,651$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.45 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d34…b76fbacked Yankees | 67c | 2,525$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Twins | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.99 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7e…7bb1backed Twins | 35c | 1,943$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d57…d7ffbacked Twins | 35c | 1,777$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.92 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Yankees | 66c | 1,739$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.7 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yankees | 69c | 1,596$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.87 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Yankees | 66c | 1,447$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.98 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Yankees | 65c | 1,440$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Yankees | 71c | 1,417$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.57 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8867…4bb7backed Yankees | 65c | 1,400$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c4…8c91backed Twins | 35c | 1,371$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Twins | 35c | 1,369$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.12 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab7…d6eebacked Yankees | 64c | 1,306$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…c483backed Twins | 36c | 1,200$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc1…1d10backed Twins | 36c | 1,200$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yankees | 67c | 1,186$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.23 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Yankees | 66c | 1,181$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.55 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc81c…9e5cbacked Twins | 36c | 1,111$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.96 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.7wins | -0.41per pick | 52cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Twins | 36c | 1,100$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.98 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x475e…f5fcbacked Yankees | 64c | 1,094$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.84 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Yankees | 67c | 1,055$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.04 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3b…7cf5backed Yankees | 65c | 1,020$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Twins | 6c | 1,003$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Twins | 3c | 1,001$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Twins | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Twins | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x095a…2400backed Yankees | 55c | 999.99$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba2b…3641backed Yankees | 65c | 923$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…1ccbbacked Yankees | 65c | 858.46$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.46 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Yankees | 48c | 856.07$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.68 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Twins | 10c | 843.11$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.71 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Twins | 33c | 824$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.92 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Twins | 33c | 782$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.06 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Yankees | 64c | 770$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.2 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef4c…e162backed Yankees | 65c | 756$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Twins | 32c | 750$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Twins | 2c | 732.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Twins | 35c | 724.28$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.53 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Yankees | 69c | 681$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.17 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Twins | 34c | 663.16$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.64 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbb…3582backed Yankees | 64c | 625$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 52cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Twins | 32c | 624.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…26f9backed Yankees | 65c | 615$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Twins | 23c | 606.36$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.96 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Yankees | 64c | 560.94$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.94 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Yankees | 63c | 523.98$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.33 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Twins | 33c | 523$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.59 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked Yankees | 68c | 505$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.55 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Twins | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b5…0e50backed Yankees | 64c | 486$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Twins | 27c | 465.23$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.81 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd08a…f1babacked Yankees | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd805…0d78backed Twins | 13c | 440$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Yankees | 77c | 387.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.82 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Yankees | 67c | 356.39$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.61 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd93…bd6fbacked Yankees | 68c | 323.1$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Yankees | 65c | 307.79$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.79 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Yankees | 65c | 305.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.36 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Yankees | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Twins | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Twins | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Twins | 36c | 299.57$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.8 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…5e30backed Yankees | 69c | 294.8$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.39 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 69cpaid | +35%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yankees | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Twins | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Yankees | 66c | 285.08$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.86 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Twins | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Twins | 36c | 268.75$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.75 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e32…a30ebacked Yankees | 67c | 253.73$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.73 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.