MLB · resolved market
Pirates vs. Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x461e1195343c35bc6ee4d993461cb35d074399e7456a2359a4b1b09efc87e997
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Piratesof Pirates, Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $586,109
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $569,166
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $586,109 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 282 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Pirates | 38c | 456,612$173,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283,099.16 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Red Sox | 62c | 142,477$88,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88,335.93 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Red Sox | 62c | 107,872$66,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,870.61 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Red Sox | 62c | 104,565$65,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,139.3 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Red Sox | 62c | 56,168$34,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,716.49 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Red Sox | 62c | 40,000$24,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,800 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Red Sox | 62c | 17,228$10,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,681.52 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Pirates | 37c | 11,043$4,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,956.81 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pirates | 37c | 11,000$4,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,930 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Red Sox | 0c | 10,841$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Pirates | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,300 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Pirates | 38c | 9,132$3,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,623.2 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Red Sox | 61c | 8,252$5,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,002.46 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Red Sox | 62c | 5,756$3,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,568.85 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Pirates | 43c | 5,746$2,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,292.57 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Pirates | 38c | 5,053$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,132.63 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pirates | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Red Sox | 61c | 4,210$2,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,584.3 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Red Sox | 62c | 3,152$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.24 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Red Sox | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pirates | 45c | 2,211$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.06 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Pirates | 37c | 2,160$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.8 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Pirates | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.97 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Red Sox | 54c | 1,890$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.94 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Red Sox | 62c | 1,802$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.24 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Red Sox | 60c | 1,762$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.9 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Pirates | 51c | 1,652$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.9 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aec…0f2dbacked Pirates | 38c | 1,622$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.63 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Red Sox | 62c | 1,615$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.3 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Red Sox | 62c | 1,270$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.4 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Pirates | 37c | 1,150$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.5 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pirates | 40c | 1,033$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.39 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Pirates | 39c | 1,026$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.64 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Red Sox | 62c | 1,000$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.37 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Red Sox | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Pirates | 50c | 992.16$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.16 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Red Sox | 71c | 847.85$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Pirates | 38c | 789$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.18 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Pirates | 37c | 750$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.5 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7db7…d372backed Red Sox | 43c | 700$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Pirates | 38c | 700$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Red Sox | 62c | 650$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3770…88a6backed Pirates | 39c | 634.12$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.13 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Pirates | 79c | 595.53$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.69 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Red Sox | 57c | 573$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.61 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Red Sox | 55c | 563.29$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.61 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Pirates | 37c | 539.84$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.1 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Pirates | 37c | 521$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.23 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Pirates | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Pirates | 39c | 512$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.32 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Red Sox | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Pirates | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Red Sox | 44c | 478.42$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.7 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Red Sox | 58c | 450$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Pirates | 40c | 450$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Red Sox | 61c | 400$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +30%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Pirates | 43c | 392.47$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.51 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Red Sox | 62c | 388.03$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.27 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Pirates | 38c | 350$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Red Sox | 62c | 344.56$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.63 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Red Sox | 62c | 344.56$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.63 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pirates | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Pirates | 39c | 312.53$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.64 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Pirates | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Red Sox | 60c | 273$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.8 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5032…d300backed Red Sox | 57c | 272.56$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.36 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Pirates | 37c | 270$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.1 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Pirates | 38c | 265$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.3 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Pirates | 38c | 264.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.29 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b3…3e2dbacked Pirates | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Pirates | 39c | 253.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.21 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Red Sox | 63c | 250$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Pirates | 41c | 246.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.34 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Red Sox | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Pirates | 38c | 225.69$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.04 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb1…d44bbacked Pirates | 63c | 201.45$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.64 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +38%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd0…7efcbacked Pirates | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…e142backed Pirates | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8381…ebcfbacked Pirates | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…78e3backed Pirates | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac5…3536backed Pirates | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc94…72debacked Red Sox | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb290…27c5backed Red Sox | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb523…0d72backed Red Sox | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef2…220bbacked Pirates | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc213…f12bbacked Pirates | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…ed7bbacked Red Sox | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2916…bb5bbacked Red Sox | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…f24dbacked Pirates | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf50e…b539backed Red Sox | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e00…c26cbacked Pirates | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c6…ce67backed Pirates | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab5…dce6backed Red Sox | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8be8…7066backed Red Sox | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe91a…5145backed Red Sox | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf01…0439backed Red Sox | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…5d65backed Pirates | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ce…215fbacked Red Sox | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a6…050cbacked Pirates | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…2522backed Red Sox | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pirates vs. Red Soxthis page
- Pirates vs. Red Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Red Sox (-1.5)No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.