MLB · resolved market
Cubs vs. Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a1a5d8a8496d663faa8173b6e62540f429bea2196ee95e22f7ff5a0cdc0e5b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cardinalsof Cubs, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $813,898
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $966,317
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $813,898 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 278 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Cubs | 54c | 165,289$89,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89,256.22 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Cardinals | 46c | 146,699$67,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,275.14 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Cardinals | 46c | 145,225$66,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,421.71 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Cubs | 54c | 70,401$38,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,016.45 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Cubs | 31c | 49,154$15,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,013 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6790…5e06backed Cardinals | 46c | 44,730$20,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,306.91 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Cubs | 55c | 39,913$21,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,952.15 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Cardinals | 46c | 31,450$14,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,983 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Cardinals | 45c | 27,131$12,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,921.86 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37be…c646backed Cardinals | 65c | 26,926$17,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,426.72 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Cubs | 54c | 26,334$14,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,270.36 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cardinals | 63c | 23,833$15,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,821.61 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Cubs | 54c | 19,000$10,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,169.99 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Cubs | 39c | 16,466$6,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,486.14 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Cubs | 54c | 9,918$5,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,355.97 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Cubs | 54c | 9,683$5,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,229.03 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Cubs | 57c | 8,501$4,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,858.93 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Cubs | 55c | 8,182$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Cubs | 54c | 7,787$4,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,204.72 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Cubs | 44c | 7,305$3,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,210.11 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Cardinals | 45c | 6,194$2,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,406.78 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Cubs | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cardinals | 77c | 5,152$3,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.02 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Cubs | 26c | 5,135$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.42 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f07…9517backed Cubs | 52c | 4,674$2,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,437.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Cubs | 55c | 4,522$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Cubs | 53c | 4,444$2,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,355.27 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Cardinals | 47c | 4,231$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,231.07 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Cubs | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Cubs | 54c | 3,695$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Cubs | 46c | 3,040$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.1 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cubs | 54c | 3,012$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.67 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Cardinals | 48c | 2,819$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.51 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…d3d0backed Cardinals | 46c | 2,667$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Cubs | 36c | 2,508$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.26 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Cubs | 36c | 2,287$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.56 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Cubs | 54c | 2,150$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Cubs | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Cubs | 54c | 1,972$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.17 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Cubs | 54c | 1,931$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.58 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…482cbacked Cardinals | 45c | 1,900$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Cubs | 54c | 1,619$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Cubs | 54c | 1,603$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.68 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Cubs | 35c | 1,538$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Cardinals | 47c | 1,527$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.36 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Cardinals | 47c | 1,489$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.36 | 181 | 55.8%101 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…5dedbacked Cubs | 55c | 1,441$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.12 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.4wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…1742backed Cardinals | 47c | 1,348$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.47 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…5bd1backed Cubs | 41c | 1,322$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.9 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c44…6ecebacked Cubs | 51c | 1,231$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.77 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Cubs | 54c | 1,212$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.34 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c11…02c8backed Cubs | 55c | 1,182$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.16 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Cardinals | 79c | 1,158$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.3 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Cubs | 54c | 1,052$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.88 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Cubs | 29c | 1,030$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.83 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Cubs | 39c | 1,000$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Cardinals | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Cubs | 53c | 999.99$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.99 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Cubs | 53c | 999.98$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.99 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Cubs | 53c | 992.7$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.13 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Cubs | 54c | 954.59$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.48 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Cardinals | 46c | 925.63$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.84 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Cubs | 57c | 877.02$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.9 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Cardinals | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.06 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Cubs | 54c | 800$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cardinals | 49c | 794.26$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.54 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Cardinals | 45c | 763$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.65 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Cardinals | 46c | 741$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.14 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Cubs | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Cardinals | 68c | 719.08$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.98 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Cubs | 54c | 707.41$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Cubs | 34c | 702.05$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.47 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcab0…4cd3backed Cardinals | 49c | 650$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.35 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc352…51e3backed Cubs | 54c | 642.59$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Cardinals | 48c | 636.54$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.25 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x589f…b2a8backed Cardinals | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Cubs | 53c | 599.99$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cubs | 42c | 571.36$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.72 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Cubs | 35c | 550.54$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.48 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Cubs | 55c | 548.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Cardinals | 47c | 540.43$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.43 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…0c8fbacked Cubs | 53c | 528.81$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…3464backed Cubs | 40c | 501.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.89 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Cubs | 54c | 485.22$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.02 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Cubs | 52c | 451.45$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.49 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Cubs | 51c | 451.2$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.11 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cubs | 54c | 443.63$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.25 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cardinals | 48c | 431.77$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.9 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Cardinals | 47c | 426.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.08 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Cardinals | 79c | 420.18$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.24 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Cubs | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Cardinals | 46c | 399.97$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.45 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Cubs | 52c | 394.99$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.39 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Cardinals | 45c | 387.64$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.2 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…0cc5backed Cubs | 26c | 387.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Cubs | 55c | 385$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.75 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3770…88a6backed Cubs | 55c | 379.33$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.78 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Cubs | 54c | 367$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked Cubs | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Cardinals | 68c | 354.94$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.37 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.