TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Rangers vs. Senators

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rangersof Rangers, Senators
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$577,757
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$615,244

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $577,757 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 779 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Rangers43c50,000$21,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,499.9842552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Rangers56c37,028$20,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,440.591,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Senators57c30,000$17,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,1007850%39 W · 39 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Rangers44c21,045$9,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,697.861,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Senators57c18,357$10,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,463.498354.2%45 W · 38 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x07c8…2696backed Rangers47c15,957$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,457.457844.9%35 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Senators57c14,996$8,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,547.6124349.8%121 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Senators54c13,000$7,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,019.958952.8%47 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked Senators53c9,936$5,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,266.084546.7%21 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Senators55c9,736$5,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,35547951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Rangers46c8,838$4,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,748.521,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Senators55c7,339$4,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,028.9221755.3%120 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Rangers43c7,068$3,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,028.5130152.5%158 W · 143 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Senators18c6,569$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.5889547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Rangers45c6,565$2,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,610.7588151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Rangers43c6,009$2,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,424.8810554.3%57 W · 48 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Senators54c5,633$3,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,041.8238844.6%173 W · 215 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Senators55c5,442$2,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,971.67659.2%45 W · 31 L+7.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+29.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed Senators54c5,411$2,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,921.862955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52e8…c4cdbacked Senators56c5,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8001752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Senators53c4,875$2,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,583.7432251.9%167 W · 155 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked Senators54c4,467$2,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,389.785259.6%31 W · 21 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9e8…731cbacked Senators57c4,136$2,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,357.416835.3%24 W · 44 L-9.6wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-31.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Rangers43c4,060$1,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,311.827548.7%134 W · 141 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Senators54c3,500$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,89026955.8%150 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Rangers47c3,400$1,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,80222946.3%106 W · 123 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Rangers43c3,000$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,71086649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed Senators55c3,000$1,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6607546.7%35 W · 40 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x29bf…1e8bbacked Senators56c3,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6801533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-36.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Rangers53c2,645$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,244.585250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Senators53c2,576$1,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,377.5461959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Senators37c2,574$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.0827143.5%118 W · 153 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3679…2bacbacked Rangers70c2,572$1,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.298952.8%47 W · 42 L+7.6wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked Senators57c2,453$1,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,402.457250%36 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Rangers46c2,307$1,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,245.558450%42 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Senators57c2,129$1,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,206.4822150.2%111 W · 110 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Senators56c2,072$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,169.661,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Senators10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Rangers46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08068449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Rangers46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.9916241.4%67 W · 95 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a4f…3aa5backed Senators54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.992360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+38.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3e58…3864backed Senators54c1,987$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,073.046246.8%29 W · 33 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Senators55c1,843$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.581,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Rangers42c1,748$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,013.9283652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Senators56c1,658$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.2369550.1%348 W · 347 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Rangers47c1,596$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.7443743%188 W · 249 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed Rangers48c1,514$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.6415954.1%86 W · 73 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb322…6495backed Senators55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8251338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c43…a0f7backed Senators55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8251428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.5wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-43.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd56a…b266backed Senators55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8251323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.9wins-0.30per pick53cpaid-48.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe3b1…53e4backed Senators55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8251428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-42.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x5f3d…1371backed Senators55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8251414.3%2 W · 12 L-5.4wins-0.38per pick53cpaid-69.1%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xa3bc…57aebacked Rangers45c1,500$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8251145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f6c…b248backed Senators55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8251428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.8wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-49.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7212…eb36backed Rangers45c1,500$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8251553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb30…77cdbacked Senators55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8251526.7%4 W · 11 L-4.3wins-0.29per pick55cpaid-48.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd08e…da4dbacked Senators55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8251330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-39.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0cda…381bbacked Senators55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8251450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b2c…168bbacked Senators55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8251450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7499…065ebacked Senators55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8251145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x484c…ee61backed Rangers45c1,500$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8251369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+49%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x93ec…4041backed Senators55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8251533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-26.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xffc4…3812backed Senators55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8251338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf136…ed08backed Senators55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8251353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x768c…3e43backed Senators55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+24.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76df…d1e5backed Rangers45c1,500$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8251250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51af…7c2ebacked Senators55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8251540%6 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x572f…7958backed Senators55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8251546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8023…875fbacked Rangers45c1,500$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8251573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.5wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+52.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9d84…b39ebacked Rangers45c1,500$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8251662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+26.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc966…47e0backed Senators55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8251546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd7…2f37backed Senators55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8251145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3ee…49b0backed Senators55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8251414.3%2 W · 12 L-5.2wins-0.37per pick51cpaid-64.1%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x76c7…1d67backed Rangers45c1,500$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8251258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+30.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb68…d03dbacked Rangers45c1,500$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8251258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+35.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9aca…148abacked Rangers45c1,500$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8251457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6773…bddabacked Rangers45c1,500$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8251952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fc2…caffbacked Rangers45c1,500$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8251729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.8wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-43.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa7f6…c296backed Rangers45c1,500$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8251442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x48e0…9865backed Senators55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8251435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x18fc…57b8backed Senators55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8251346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d38…cdebbacked Rangers45c1,500$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8251656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x70c5…0278backed Senators55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8251861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+26.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c4a…48d6backed Rangers45c1,500$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8251861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+21.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fb0…3ed4backed Rangers45c1,500$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8251650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd14b…bd40backed Senators55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8251838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-25.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9497…35dfbacked Rangers45c1,500$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8251435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4acf…ce1ebacked Senators55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8251258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+33.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc745…b313backed Senators55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8251346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x437f…5739backed Rangers45c1,500$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8251540%6 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5cde…4f84backed Senators55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8251241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43c4…11f2backed Senators55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8251338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7eab…c581backed Rangers45c1,500$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8251338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbcec…b57bbacked Rangers45c1,500$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8251573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+51.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf401…a35abacked Rangers45c1,500$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8251656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7036…23bbbacked Rangers45c1,500$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8251233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7c3…df3fbacked Senators55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8251637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcbcb…b7b5backed Rangers45c1,500$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8251560%9 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+28.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fec…7258backed Rangers45c1,500$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8251330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-28.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb283…05d0backed Rangers45c1,500$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8251346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.