MLB · resolved market
Rockies vs. Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d425eb316077c84ab7e384ebfcaf47cf2ebb530b461190bcbe1c65b3e0a2ea2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rockiesof Rockies, Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $453,436
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $453,579
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $453,436 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 325 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Rockies | 35c | 149,551$52,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97,302.75 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Marlins | 65c | 99,845$64,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,899.26 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6c…6c77backed Marlins | 64c | 38,890$24,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,889.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…42f2backed Rockies | 36c | 35,478$12,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,705.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8130…5a82backed Marlins | 66c | 24,190$15,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,928.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Marlins | 65c | 19,305$12,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,543.32 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Marlins | 65c | 19,116$12,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,393.24 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Marlins | 63c | 18,664$11,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,672.01 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Marlins | 65c | 13,991$9,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,154.84 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Rockies | 30c | 13,687$4,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,559.87 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…6a9bbacked Rockies | 35c | 12,166$4,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,929.42 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rockies | 35c | 10,750$3,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,019.48 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df0…9efebacked Rockies | 36c | 9,999$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,399.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe60…0b25backed Marlins | 64c | 9,998$6,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,398.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62d9…3d3cbacked Marlins | 65c | 9,996$6,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,497.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aba…4a14backed Rockies | 35c | 9,995$3,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,496.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Rockies | 17c | 8,384$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,994.44 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Rockies | 37c | 7,487$2,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,684.53 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…c953backed Rockies | 39c | 7,256$2,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,418.9 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 57cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rockies | 31c | 6,428$1,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,447.27 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Rockies | 35c | 5,253$1,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,403.82 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rockies | 35c | 5,200$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,380 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Rockies | 35c | 4,770$1,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100.4 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Marlins | 64c | 4,300$2,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,751.91 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Rockies | 36c | 4,103$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,625.84 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rockies | 30c | 3,544$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,471.21 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x169a…e191backed Rockies | 36c | 3,412$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,183.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rockies | 36c | 3,344$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,143.88 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00be…5acabacked Marlins | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.2wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad1…6d88backed Rockies | 68c | 2,767$1,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.37 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Rockies | 38c | 2,082$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.24 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Marlins | 60c | 2,034$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.44 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Rockies | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd54b…c312backed Rockies | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc221…a9eebacked Rockies | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9718…fa5dbacked Marlins | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfc…b032backed Rockies | 35c | 1,980$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Marlins | 74c | 1,897$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.89 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Rockies | 36c | 1,800$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Rockies | 33c | 1,774$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.13 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…13eebacked Marlins | 66c | 1,679$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.41 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe190…a627backed Rockies | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.89 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -34%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Marlins | 71c | 1,344$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.73 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Marlins | 51c | 1,217$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Rockies | 22c | 1,195$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.76 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3582…c82dbacked Marlins | 65c | 1,174$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Marlins | 70c | 1,138$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8704…4b8dbacked Marlins | 55c | 1,120$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Rockies | 41c | 1,120$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.99 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Marlins | 23c | 1,106$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbec2…10dabacked Marlins | 62c | 1,094$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.79 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd61…eb3dbacked Marlins | 65c | 1,077$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…118cbacked Marlins | 65c | 1,046$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.9 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Marlins | 66c | 1,030$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Marlins | 51c | 1,025$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.71 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Rockies | 35c | 1,004$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.01 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Marlins | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Rockies | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…b17bbacked Rockies | 35c | 999.94$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.96 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b20…a52ebacked Marlins | 66c | 973.47$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62d7…90babacked Marlins | 65c | 954$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.1 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc1…2279backed Marlins | 65c | 923$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Marlins | 46c | 922.95$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.03 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Rockies | 35c | 865.17$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.07 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Marlins | 78c | 853$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.37 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe7…7896backed Rockies | 36c | 815.15$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +175.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Marlins | 65c | 796.08$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.45 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Marlins | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…9996backed Rockies | 22c | 747.47$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.9 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Rockies | 43c | 744.58$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.67 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rockies | 35c | 733.48$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.95 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…337fbacked Rockies | 57c | 733.18$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.47 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…4faabacked Rockies | 36c | 730.56$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.56 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeed1…d086backed Rockies | 19c | 697.57$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.15 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Rockies | 19c | 676.32$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.82 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Marlins | 65c | 655.73$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.52 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…e54bbacked Marlins | 65c | 615.26$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.92 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2252…3f47backed Rockies | 37c | 580.16$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.46 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…c481backed Marlins | 65c | 548.98$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.84 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.21per pick | 60cpaid | -38%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Rockies | 35c | 525$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.25 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…2c92backed Rockies | 36c | 508.64$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.53 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0419…4e83backed Rockies | 36c | 508.47$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.42 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Rockies | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Rockies | 8c | 500$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.34 | 123 | 14.6%18 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…34b9backed Rockies | 65c | 500$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.23 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked Marlins | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccb3…2e03backed Marlins | 70c | 495.26$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Rockies | 63c | 479.21$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.31 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Rockies | 35c | 477$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.05 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Marlins | 42c | 460$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.84 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x307e…2a3ebacked Rockies | 36c | 440$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b14…1165backed Rockies | 38c | 426.89$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Rockies | 34c | 421.49$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.08 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5af1…8ff2backed Rockies | 38c | 410.65$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.17 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Rockies | 37c | 403.56$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.33 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Rockies | 13c | 400$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c88…d15dbacked Rockies | 36c | 398$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.72 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Marlins | 66c | 395.45$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x379f…bd87backed Marlins | 65c | 390.48$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80f8…6713backed Marlins | 66c | 378.79$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.