MLB · resolved market
Diamondbacks vs. Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0161383f4112c58335489846fa564c96d98b83774b97261c59d1c35ff841a8fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Diamondbacksof Diamondbacks, Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $379,232
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $385,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $379,232 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Diamondbacks | 40c | 299,997$120,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179,398 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Blue Jays | 59c | 101,328$59,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,772.83 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Blue Jays | 60c | 61,604$36,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,962.14 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Blue Jays | 60c | 30,000$18,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,000 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Blue Jays | 60c | 26,980$16,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,187.93 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Blue Jays | 60c | 20,390$12,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,234 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Blue Jays | 60c | 18,658$11,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,191.85 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Blue Jays | 60c | 13,345$8,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,006.7 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Blue Jays | 28c | 10,155$2,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,816.14 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Blue Jays | 60c | 7,777$4,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,632.86 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blue Jays | 60c | 5,640$3,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,356.71 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Diamondbacks | 76c | 5,251$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.39 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Blue Jays | 60c | 4,750$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,849.92 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 4,223$2,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.61 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Blue Jays | 55c | 4,000$2,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,186.64 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Blue Jays | 60c | 3,417$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Blue Jays | 60c | 2,415$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.87 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Diamondbacks | 40c | 2,286$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.73 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 2,200$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Blue Jays | 50c | 2,127$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.87 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Blue Jays | 3c | 2,037$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.89 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Diamondbacks | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Blue Jays | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Blue Jays | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Blue Jays | 1c | 1,887$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Diamondbacks | 43c | 1,780$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.6 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Blue Jays | 3c | 1,686$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Blue Jays | 35c | 1,620$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Diamondbacks | 78c | 1,525$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.03 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Diamondbacks | 61c | 1,404$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.17 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…07e0backed Diamondbacks | 42c | 1,300$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.66 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Diamondbacks | 49c | 1,254$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.18 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Blue Jays | 60c | 1,200$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jays | 42c | 1,028$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.32 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Blue Jays | 24c | 1,027$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.37 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Blue Jays | 60c | 961$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.6 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Blue Jays | 56c | 810.71$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Blue Jays | 2c | 809.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…fa04backed Diamondbacks | 63c | 701.3$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.79 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Blue Jays | 4c | 699.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe6…5cf6backed Blue Jays | 39c | 631.41$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.66 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Blue Jays | 5c | 478.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Blue Jays | 2c | 476.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Blue Jays | 24c | 450$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.18 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Blue Jays | 60c | 435$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…51c6backed Diamondbacks | 76c | 423.08$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Blue Jays | 59c | 400$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Blue Jays | 24c | 382.3$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.11 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Blue Jays | 40c | 369$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.6 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Blue Jays | 37c | 368.96$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.75 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Blue Jays | 60c | 363$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.8 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Blue Jays | 13c | 355.68$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.73 | 123 | 14.6%18 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Diamondbacks | 39c | 265.84$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.16 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Diamondbacks | 42c | 247.96$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.82 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 243.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.76 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Diamondbacks | 41c | 243.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.61 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Blue Jays | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Blue Jays | 57c | 197.24$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.43 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Blue Jays | 59c | 170.98$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.88 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Blue Jays | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Blue Jays | 60c | 167.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd22d…6e49backed Blue Jays | 60c | 166.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Blue Jays | 55c | 165.28$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.9 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x998c…6f97backed Blue Jays | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -8.0wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3d27…f6cfbacked Blue Jays | 21c | 157.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Blue Jays | 60c | 151.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.1 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Diamondbacks | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.86 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Blue Jays | 34c | 130.36$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.17 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Blue Jays | 24c | 126.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f18…77c9backed Blue Jays | 21c | 121.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Diamondbacks | 58c | 117.55$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.93 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Diamondbacks | 43c | 116.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.38 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Blue Jays | 57c | 114.04$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf59b…6ea1backed Blue Jays | 12c | 108.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b8…0646backed Blue Jays | 46c | 105.84$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.61 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Blue Jays | 60c | 90$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Blue Jays | 60c | 86.3$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.78 | 259 | 52.5%136 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7295…fc62backed Blue Jays | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -4.6wins | -0.33per pick | 61cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Diamondbacks | 41c | 69.07$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.75 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Blue Jays | 58c | 68.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd28…2e65backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 64.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77d6…4fd2backed Blue Jays | 66c | 60.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.92 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c9…0400backed Blue Jays | 57c | 57.89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3480…a6c1backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 57.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…73c3backed Blue Jays | 56c | 56.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7822…f8b8backed Blue Jays | 55c | 47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…93f4backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 46.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…3abfbacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Diamondbacks | 41c | 43.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.18 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Diamondbacks | 75c | 42.45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Blue Jays | 38c | 39.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7c…920ebacked Blue Jays | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Blue Jays | 57c | 36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab6…cfecbacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed Blue Jays | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 31.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6e…f363backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9657…9968backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 30.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +126%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.